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  • Ayman Safadi
    Ayman Safadi “Tremendous effort has been made to produce an exchange deal that'll release hostages and realize a ceasefire. Hamas has put out an offer. If Netanyahu genuinely wants a deal, he will negotiate the offer in earnest. Instead, he is jeopardizing the deal by bombing Rafah.” 6 hours ago
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28 Feb 2022

“With China's support, the pressure on Russia will definitely be less, especially for financial linkages. This is especially true as Russia is isolated and China is the only country with meaningful economic size that can offer help. The real tricky moment will come if the US expands the scope and enforces secondary sanctions, which will become a tug-of-war between China's support for Russia versus whether the West is willing to pressure or put secondary sanctions on China given its large role in global trade. The pressure campaign could prompt ostracised countries to seek to reduce dollar dependency and establish more cross-border payment systems. This can hurt the effectiveness of sanctions over time, but a complete replacement of the dollar remains very unlikely.”

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Asia economist at Natixis
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  • 28 February 2022
  • 28 February 2022
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