China - Russia relations | Ipse by Context

Aleksandr Gabuyev

Inserted 1 year ago

“It's very important for Beijing to show to the US that it has levers to pressure America and its global interests. The joint manoeuvres with Moscow, including the naval drills, are intended to signal that if the pressure on Beijing continues it will have no other choice but to strengthen the military partnership with Russia. It will have a direct impact on the interests of the US and its allies, including Japan.”

Aljazeera

Senior fellow at the Moscow Carnegie Center

01 Sep 2022 3 2

Hu Qingxin

Inserted 2 years ago

“A common view is that while the war is bad, we must support Russia in this battle to defend China's interests. Because without Russia to hold up the West, China will be the next target. Such a view has not been formed in a day but instilled over time. State media might have fed the information, but the public sentiment has always been there. People worship Putin, because he is aligned with Xi Jinping. They share the same strongman image and governance style.”

Aljazeera

Media veteran now based in Hong Kong

06 Apr 2022 5 4

Helena Legarda

Inserted 2 years ago

“Beijing will do everything in its power to avoid having to openly take sides, but its formerly relatively cost-free relationship with Russia has become complicated and is now exposing China to growing geopolitical, economic and reputational risks.”

Reuters

Senior Analyst at the Mercator Institute for China Studies in Berlin

18 Mar 2022 1 4

Samir Puri

Inserted 2 years ago

“The call between Biden and Xi came as a really important moment, with the US engaging in something of a diplomatic offensive to try to call out, and even to shame, China for its somewhat neutral stance over Ukraine. In particular, the intelligence the US publicised about the Russian request for the provision of Chinese military assistance will almost certainly be a feature of how Biden approaches this call - presumably to berate Xi Jinping for even entertaining this and berating China for not turning their back on Russia during the Russian invasion. However, it is highly unlikely China is going to walk away from its ambitious goal of boosting its already deep economic ties with Russia. Because China trades with Russia openly - it buys its crude oil, gas among other things - it is indirectly supporting Russia and I think it's flight of fancy to think that China would turn its back on its economic relationship with Russia, even if it steps back from providing fresh military support and equipment.”

Aljazeera

Senior fellow in hybrid warfare at the International Institute for Strategic Studies

18 Mar 2022 6 4

Katrina Yu

Inserted 2 years ago

“Since the beginning of the invasion, China has tried, I think, very awkwardly, to play a neutral role. It's refused to take sides, saying that it's got good relations with both Kyiv and Moscow. It says that it's a neutral player and just wants to encourage dialogue. But at the same time, Beijing has made it very clear that it intends to preserve its friendship with Russia, which it has called 'limitless' [and] 'rock solid'.”

Aljazeera

Al Jazeera journalist in Beijing

17 Mar 2022 2 4

Scott Kennedy

Inserted 2 years ago

“China is either going to side with Russia and reinforce the sense that it has joined an 'axis of autocracy,' or it is going to put significant space between Moscow and Beijing and demonstrate that it genuinely cares about preserving even a basic relationship with the rest of the world. If it turns down this opportunity, it's not clear to me there will be a next time to meet and set aside differences. The ball is entirely in Beijing's court.”

Reuters

China expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies

17 Mar 2022 3 3

Kevin Gallagher

Inserted 2 years ago

“China, which announced a no limits strategic partnership with Russia in February, may find it hard to change course and back down after a threat was made public. This wasn't a good strategic move. Like the United States, China has a domestic constituency.”

Reuters

Professor of Global Development Policy; Director, Global Development Policy Center

17 Mar 2022 3 2

Anton Siluanov

Inserted 2 years ago

“We have part of our gold and foreign exchange reserves in the Chinese currency, in yuan. And we see what pressure is being exerted by Western countries on China in order to limit mutual trade with China. Of course, there is pressure to limit access to those reserves. But I think that our partnership with China will still allow us to maintain the cooperation that we have achieved, and not only maintain, but also increase it in an environment where Western markets are closing.”

Aljazeera

Minister of Finance of the Russian Federation

13 Mar 2022 4 3

William Burns

Inserted 2 years ago

“While the partnership between Russia and China has strengthened since 2019, [Chinese] President Xi Jinping and the Chinese leadership are a little bit unsettled by what they're seeing in Ukraine. China did not anticipate the difficulties that the Russians were going to run into in Ukraine, and is concerned by the reputational damage coming from its close association with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Beijing is also worried about the conflict's effects on the global economy, coming at a time when China's annual growth has slowed, as well as the way it has driven Europeans and Americans closer together. Despite these concerns, I would not underestimate President Xi and the Chinese leadership's determination with regard to Taiwan, although the conflict might change the Chinese calculus on the issue.”

Taipeitimes

CIA Director

08 Mar 2022 6 5

Kaho Yu

Inserted 2 years ago

“Although Russia's Pivot to the East has accelerated gas cooperation with China via gas infrastructure ... all these developments are still in their infancy compared to the mature markets in Europe.”

Reuters

Principal Asia analyst at risk consultancy Verisk Maplecroft

08 Mar 2022 4 3

Peter Piatetsky

Inserted 2 years ago

“China can essentially do one thing here, which is to buy more Russian goods, but they don't seem to be willing to do that and Russia doesn't have that many different goods that China is willing to buy. The relationship between Russia and China is very transactional. It's not an ideology-based relationship. They both dislike the United States and dislike the U.S.-led world order, but aside from that, I don't think there's much there.”

Rferl

Ormer U.S. Treasury official and now CEO of the consultancy Castellum.AI

05 Mar 2022 3 6

Gary Ng

Inserted 2 years ago

“With China's support, the pressure on Russia will definitely be less, especially for financial linkages. This is especially true as Russia is isolated and China is the only country with meaningful economic size that can offer help. The real tricky moment will come if the US expands the scope and enforces secondary sanctions, which will become a tug-of-war between China's support for Russia versus whether the West is willing to pressure or put secondary sanctions on China given its large role in global trade. The pressure campaign could prompt ostracised countries to seek to reduce dollar dependency and establish more cross-border payment systems. This can hurt the effectiveness of sanctions over time, but a complete replacement of the dollar remains very unlikely.”

Aljazeera

Asia economist at Natixis

28 Feb 2022 7 5

Cheng-Yun Tsang

Inserted 2 years ago

“We all know that China holds the biggest forex exchange reserves globally, and among them, the US dollar dominates. It's also noteworthy that China's foreign exchange reserves fell around $28bn to $3.22 trillion in January this year. China also relies heavily on the SWIFT system. These facts might well lead China to a somewhat prudent move when it comes to providing financing with Russia, as jeopardising its own ability to transact in US dollars would never be a good idea.”

Aljazeera

Expert in financial regulation at National Chengchi University in Taiwan

28 Feb 2022 3 3

Mark Williams

Inserted 2 years ago

“China doesn't want to get so involved that it ends up suffering as a result of its support for Russia. It all hinges on whether they're willing to risk their access to Western markets to help Russia, and I don't think they are. It's just not that big a market.”

Koreatimes

Chief Asia economist for Capital Economics

26 Feb 2022 2 3

Li Xin

Inserted 2 years ago

“China-Russia relations are at the highest level in history, but the two countries are not an alliance.”

Koreatimes

International relations expert at the Shanghai University of Political Science and Law

26 Feb 2022 1 1

Yuri Ushakov

Inserted 2 years ago

“A joint statement on international relations entering a new era has been prepared for the talks. It will reflect Moscow and Beijing's common views on security among other issues. China supports Russia's demands for security guarantees.”

Themoscowtimes

Putin’s foreign policy adviser

26 Feb 2022 1 1

Einar Tangen

Inserted 2 years ago

“They [Russia and China] need each other, but for China this [the invasion] is not in line with their idea of a stable world trying to create more trades, but rather that this is going to create more uncertainty.”

Aljazeera

Beijing-based political analyst

25 Feb 2022 5 3

David Gitter

Inserted 2 years ago

“One has to wonder if Putin directly or indirectly let Xi Jinping know this was coming during their recent meeting. It is not inconceivable that Xi committed China to materially spoiling Western attempts to censure and sanction Russia while still allowing itself the flexibility to pay lip service to UN Charter ideas like sovereignty and the equality of nations in pursuit of its other objectives.”

Aljazeera

President of the Center for Advanced China Research

23 Feb 2022 4 2

Ryan Hass

Inserted 2 years ago

“If China provides public support for Russia and seeks to shield Moscow from international censure following its invasion of Ukraine, it risks hastening the formation of global blocs, with China and Russia on one side and much of the developed world on the other. China would be tethering itself to the weakest major power and aggravating relations with all other major powers in the process.”

Aljazeera

Senior fellow and the Michael H Armacost chair in the foreign policy programme at Brookings Institution

23 Feb 2022 4 2

Bonnie Glaser

Inserted 2 years ago

“China has always prized sovereignty in its foreign policy; it does not want to be associated with Moscow's action. The costs of doing so, in terms of relations with the US and Europe, and its global reputation, are too high. Yet, it has an important relationship with Russia that it doesn't want to damage. I see this as a major foreign policy challenge for Xi Jinping.”

Aljazeera

Director of the Asia Program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States

23 Feb 2022 4 2

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China - Russia relations

“Beijing will do everything in its power to avoid having to openly take sides, but its formerly relatively cost-free relationship with Russia has become complicated and is now exposing China to growing geopolitical, economic and reputational risks.”

“China, which announced a no limits strategic partnership with Russia in February, may find it hard to change course and back down after a threat was made public. This wasn't a good strategic move. Like the United States, China has a domestic constituency.”

“Although Russia's Pivot to the East has accelerated gas cooperation with China via gas infrastructure ... all these developments are still in their infancy compared to the mature markets in Europe.”

“China doesn't want to get so involved that it ends up suffering as a result of its support for Russia. It all hinges on whether they're willing to risk their access to Western markets to help Russia, and I don't think they are. It's just not that big a market.”

“China-Russia relations are at the highest level in history, but the two countries are not an alliance.”

“A joint statement on international relations entering a new era has been prepared for the talks. It will reflect Moscow and Beijing's common views on security among other issues. China supports Russia's demands for security guarantees.”

“They [Russia and China] need each other, but for China this [the invasion] is not in line with their idea of a stable world trying to create more trades, but rather that this is going to create more uncertainty.”

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