IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Theresa Fallon
    Theresa Fallon “Many people would like to see China play a constructive role, but I think now that we're in the third year of the war, this idea is wearing a bit thin.” 16 hours ago
  • Mahjoob Zweiri
    Mahjoob Zweiri “What we have witnessed in the past few hours is that they talk about an agreement on the first stage. It could be understood that Hamas wants to release itself from the pressure globally, including the United States. So, they are giving concessions on the first stage, which leads to 40 days of ceasefire and exchange of captives. I think 33 old and sick captives. And then moving on to other stages. But we are seeing that we are going back to the main conditions, which means we are still talking about the main principles [complete ceasefire and withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza] that Hamas talked about. As the time of some sort of agreement on the first stage came, the Israeli military and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu came to say actually, there is no agreement: We will go to Rafah regardless of any agreement. It reflects the divisions within the Israelis and crisis within the Israeli politics. On the other hand, Hamas has been more cautious. They do not want to show real progress made but they also do not want to say things have not changed. I think it's obvious some change has happened otherwise we would not expect [CIA chief] William Burns to be in the region.” 17 hours ago
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#Joe Biden

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #Joe Biden linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“Putin is likely to be smarting and looking for a big win on Ukraine as a diversion from his humiliation in Kazakhstan. [US President Joe] Biden will likely see the situation in Kazakhstan as weakening Putin - the US will appraise the situation as making it less likely that Putin would risk a crisis on two fronts. So Biden is also less likely to compromise. This makes the situation in Ukraine more, not less dangerous.”

author
Senior emerging markets strategist at Bluebay Asset Management
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“A lot of us have underestimated Joe Biden. [But] he clearly understood the moment and has risen to the moment in a way that I did not expect. One year is not enough time to judge a president.”

author
Historian at the University of Connecticut
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“Under the circumstances, Biden's done phenomenally well, getting what he did get done. People will still be disappointed and he will have a rough time in 2022 because it's an election year. It will be an ugly year of confrontation, partisanship and gridlock. Presidents don't do well with major cleavages in their own parties. It's going to be a messy year.”

author
Professor of government at American University in Washington, DC
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“President Joe Biden will hold a call with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday afternoon to discuss a range of topics, including upcoming diplomatic engagements with Russia. The call was requested by Putin and Biden accepted because he believes when it comes to Russia there is no substitute for direct leader-leader dialogue. The Biden Administration continues to engage in extensive diplomacy with our European Allies and partners, consulting and coordinating on a common approach in response to Russia's military build-up on the border with Ukraine. President Biden has spoken with leaders across Europe, and Biden Administration officials have engaged multilaterally with (the North Atlantic Treaty Organization), the (European Union), and the (Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe). They have also held numerous consultations with counterparts, including those from eastern flank countries bilaterally and in the (Bucharest Nine) format as well as Ukraine.”

author
National Security Council Spokesperson
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“The Joe Biden administration has just reinstated the so-called 'Migrant Protection Protocols' (MPP) - the criminally euphemistic Donald Trump-era policy that saw Tijuana and other Mexican border cities converted into holding pens for asylum seekers in the US.”

author
Contributing editor at Jacobin Magazine
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“Myanmar is a textbook case of an aspiring democracy crushed underfoot by a tyrant. It symbolises the global struggle for political pluralism, progressive values, and supposedly universal rights that the democracy summit hopes to advance. It is also a litmus test. Will Biden's well-intentioned waffle-fest, as critics characterise it, make any real difference? If democracy's champions cannot resolve an open-and-shut case such as Myanmar, they may as well abandon their Zoom session and switch to PlayStation.”

author
Columnist for The Guardian newspaper and an assistant editor of the publication
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“For Xi Jinping, the summit was about bolstering his international credentials ahead of his unprecedented third term next year. For Joe Biden, it was about managing voter sentiment ahead of next year's mid-term elections and allying American allies' fears of increasing international disorder. In other words, they needed to take a breather from what Biden called 'extreme competition' to attend to their respective needs, while having an opportunity to size up the other side through the summit.”

author
Visiting scholar at Harvard University's Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies
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“Amidst all these challenges, a key question that Xi [Xi Jinping] will be pondering is how long Biden will be in power. For while the Chinese president is tightening his grip with a third term, it is not certain that his U.S. counterpart will even seek a second one, by which time he will be in his early 80s. This is a non-trivial point as Xi would be more likely to engage, substantively, with Biden if he knows the latter will be in power for eight rather four years. Both may ultimately favor a strategic dialogue to try to find a framework, or 'grand bargain,' to renew bilateral relations, but this is the type of initiative that may require more than a single U.S. presidential term to formulate.”

author
Associate at LSE IDEAS at the London School of Economics and Political Science
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“The attempt of the US congressional advisory body to encourage and support the Taiwan secessionist authority militarily would likely ruin US President Joe Biden's promise to China about no conflict, as this is an act of 'playing with fire' and just as what Xi [Xi Jinping] warned at the virtual summit, 'Whoever plays with fire will get burned'.”

author
Chinese mainland military expert and TV commentator
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“Current trends in the US, with more focused security 'guarantees' to Taiwan (if implicit), are a major impediment to China succeeding in convincing Taiwan that it has no choice but to capitulate. Xi [Xi Jinping] will therefore seek signals [from Biden] which can be exploited for such propaganda efforts; whether Biden will give him that is very much in question. I doubt that he will.”

author
Taipei-based senior fellow at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute in Canada
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“Both Biden and Xi are worried by the risk of a military incident escalating. Biden knows that the tools for prevention and crisis management are rusty, so we should expect him to push to put in place safeguards or 'guardrails' to reduce risk. The Sept. 9 call between the presidents began with Xi listing complaints, but ended with a constructive agreement for officials to continue discussions. This suggests that the personal relationship Biden built with Xi a decade ago is still strong, and that each conversation can add some stability to the mix.”

author
Former US assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific
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“What's happened here is Terry McAuliffe has nationalised the race. He has brought Biden in. This is the first political test of Biden's presidency.”

author
Former Republican member of the House of Representatives from Virginia and former chair of House Republican’s campaign arm
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“Part of the reason the president [Joe Biden] wants to have the chance to coordinate closely with our European partners, particularly with the E3 who are part of the talks, is for us to have a united front after the four years of division on the Iran policy in the last administration. We are alarmed and concerned by the steps that they have taken since they left the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action [JCPOA]. Within the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, there were constraints on that programme that were significant and substantial. We had a lid on that programme. Now we do not because we don't have that deal.”

author
US National Security Adviser
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“The US is in the process of constantly clarifying its one-China policy, including some so-called Taiwan-related legislation passed in the Trump era. No matter what the White House says, Biden's remarks illustrate a US obsession with Taiwan on which his younger aides, including members of Congress, are not backing down... In some areas the adjustment may be positive, in others, however, it may be more negative. Biden is trying to convince himself of what to avoid, but at the same time he can't let go of this hyped-up obsession on certain issues. If this contradiction remains for a long term, there can only be one explanation: Biden wants to see a clash happen in the Taiwan Straits but doesn't want to take responsibility if that happens, which is extremely dangerous.”

author
Associate professor at the Renmin University of China in Beijing
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“Pro-DPP [Democratic Progressive Party] supporters appeared unperturbed by Biden, while those leaning centre or right towards the KMT were more sceptical of the US president's intentions towards Taiwan. They think that Biden's 'Taiwan agreement' is another evidence that Taiwan is just a chess piece on the chessboard, indicating that Taiwan has no say in its own future since the agreement is merely made between Xi and Biden. Moreover, Biden mentioned that his talk with Xi happened last month, but Taiwanese people all witnessed the sharp increase of incursions this week. So, it seems that the talk has no, if not negative, impact on the stability of the Taiwan Strait.”

author
Assistant professor of Political Science at the University of Nevada
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“The biggest difference [between Biden and Trump on China] is that the Trump administration was more unilateralist and even weakened some of our alliances and partnerships, but the Biden administration has come in determined to build coalitions with the countries that share our values and interests.”

author
Director of the Asia Program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States
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“There are a lot of factors that suggest the Democrats are going to have a really hard time holding the House majority and the Senate's 50-50, and so they lose one net seat and the Senate majority is gone. With Biden's majorities in the House and Senate in peril, you'd feel better about Democrats' chances if his approval rating was more like it was two months ago than it is now.”

author
Political analyst at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics
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“He's [Joe Biden] had a bad run between issues on the border, the way the pandemic is beginning to shape up, and Afghanistan. The administration has struggled on the policy side and struggled in ways that people care about and so you'd expect that to do some damage to a president's public approval ratings.”

author
Professor of politics at Princeton University
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“But achieving the $100 billion target alone would not be enough to contain rising global temperatures and cope with the effects of climate change. Instead, the world's financial systems need to reflect the costs of climate inaction. That means companies, banks, investors, and other players will need to reduce investments in high emission activities while boosting funding for climate-friendly goods, services, and infrastructure. The $100 billion is essential as a trust-building issue, and the president's announcement was hugely helpful in that regard. At the same time, it will never be enough to affect the transformation that the Paris Agreement requires-which needs trillions in investment, not billions.”

author
Vice president for international strategies at the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions
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