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US - South Korea military drills and possible consequences on the inter-Korean relations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context US - South Korea military drills and possible consequences on the inter-Korean relations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Kim Yo-jong
Kim Yo-jong

“I surely see the military drill, which takes place at an important turning point like this, will become an unpleasant prelude to seriously hurting the will of the leaders of the North and South seeking to take the step toward rebuilding trust again and further clouding the path lying ahead for inter-Korean relations. Our government and military will closely watch whether South Korea will carry out their hostile war exercise once again or make a bold decision. Hope or despair? The decision is not upon us.”

author
North Korean politician serving as the Deputy Director of the United Front Department of the Workers' Party of Korea
01 Aug 2021 3 4
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Park Won-gon
Park Won-gon

“The summertime exercises have already been scaled down to the point where they cannot be downsized anymore, leaving South Korea and the U.S. with only two options of either totally scrapping them or carrying them out as planned. As it takes about three to six months to prepare for the joint drill, it would be difficult for the countries to cancel or adjust the plan at this last moment.”

author
Professor of North Korean studies at Ewha Womans University
01 Aug 2021 2 5
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Moon Sung-mook
Moon Sung-mook

“The North responded to the South's call for the restoration of communications July 27, the day which the North claims as an anniversary of its victory (in the Korean War). There is the possibility that the North has demanded the South cancel its joint military drill with the U.S.. At the eighth congress of the North's ruling Workers' Party of Korea, the country's leader Kim Jong-un said there were two preconditions for inter-Korean talks - the first was the cancellation of South Korea-U.S. joint military exercises and the second was stopping the introduction of advanced weapons from the U.S.”

author
Senior researcher at the Korea Research Institute for National Strategy
01 Aug 2021 5 4
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Kim Yong-hyun
Kim Yong-hyun

“I believe the chances are slim for North Korea to stage an immediate military provocation, even if the drill takes place as scheduled. The regime is facing difficulties in battling the pandemic and other economic adversities including its food supply, while the U.S. is unfolding its North Korea policies. Against this backdrop, a military provocation may result in the North starting off on the wrong foot. Though it is using bellicose rhetoric, the chances of Pyongyang staging an actual provocation seem to be very slim.”

author
Professor at Dongguk University's Department of North Korean Studies
13 Jul 2021 3 4
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Moon Chung-in
Moon Chung-in

“Even if the exercise is suspended [South Korea - US military exercise], it will become useless unless the North accepts it. If the North does not accept this offer, the public support and momentum for peaceful inter-Korean relations will decline sharply.”

author
Chairman of the Sejong Institute and former special adviser to President Moon for foreign and national security affairs
25 Jun 2021 3 3
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