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  • Ursula von der Leyen
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Russia invasion of Ukraine - Russia's military performance

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russia invasion of Ukraine - Russia's military performance.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Mikhail Khodaryonok
Mikhail Khodaryonok

“You should not swallow informational tranquilizers. The situation, frankly speaking, will get worse for us. The desire to defend one's motherland in the sense that it exists in Ukraine - it really does exist there and they intend to fight to the last. The main thing in our business is have a sense of military-political realism: if you go beyond that then the reality of history will hit you so hard that you will not know what hit you. Don't wave rockets in the direction of Finland for goodness sake - it just looks rather funny. The main deficiency of our military-political position is that we are in full geopolitical solitude and - however we don't want to admit it - practically the whole world is against us - and we need to get out of this situation.”

author
Russian military analyst and retired colonel
16 May 2022 4 3
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Jens Stoltenberg
Jens Stoltenberg

“Russia's war in Ukraine is not going as Moscow had planned. They failed to take Kyiv. They are pulling back from Kharkiv and their major offensive in Donbass has stalled.”

author
Secretary General of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
15 May 2022 4 3
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Marat Gabidullin
Marat Gabidullin

“They were caught completely by surprise that the Ukrainian army resisted so fiercely and that they faced an actual army. People on the Russian side expected to face rag-tag militias when they invaded Ukraine, not well-drilled regular troops. I told them: 'Guys, that's a mistake'.”

author
Former mercenary with the Kremlin-linked Wagner Group
13 May 2022 5 2
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Curtis Michael Scaparrotti
Curtis Michael Scaparrotti

“Putin now has routinely rattled the nuclear saber, and he continues to do so, frankly, because I think he knows that...he has reduced his conventional advantage that he actually had prior to the 24th of February, and so this is his assurance. And I think we should expect that, but we shouldn't blink.”

author
Retired U.S. Army General and former commander of U.S. and NATO forces in Europe
28 Apr 2022 4 2
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Loren Thompson
Loren Thompson

“Moscow may be looking for a way out of its Ukraine quagmire. Focusing its military goals on control of the Donbas could be a way of scaling back without admitting defeat.”

author
Defence analyst at the Lexington Institute, a Washington think-tank
26 Mar 2022 3 3
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Alexander B. Downes
Alexander B. Downes

“In a personalist dictatorship such as Putin's, no one has any incentive to contradict the leader because their own political and often personal survival depends on his whims. If it is known that the leader favours an attack, who wants to be the one who contradicts him? In this regard, the Russian regime is similar to Saddam Hussein's in Iraq. Fed bad information by his underlings only increases the leader's confidence that he will prevail, thus making it even more likely he will attack. The Russian offensive appears to be stalled. There are many reports of supply and morale problems in Russian units. Because they are largely unable to advance - with a few exceptions, mainly in the south - they have fallen back on siege warfare and indiscriminate attacks on civilians. Historically, it is common for attackers, when unable to win a quick and decisive victory on the battlefield, to become frustrated or desperate and turn their guns on civilians to weaken morale and compel their opponent to surrender through a punishment strategy. Punishing civilians, however, rarely succeeds.”

author
Associate professor of political science and international affairs at the George Washington University
22 Mar 2022 9 3
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John R. Deni
John R. Deni

“It does appear that the campaign is experiencing greater difficulty than expected in terms of advancement. This is most likely the result of poor planning, poor morale, poor logistics, and the stiff resistance of Ukrainian forces.”

author
Research professor at the US Army War College’s Strategic Studies Institute
22 Mar 2022 5 3
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Avril Haines
Avril Haines

“Moscow underestimated the strength of Ukraine's resistance and the degree of internal military challenges we are observing, which include an ill-considered plan, morale issues, and considerable logistical issues.”

author
US Director of National Intelligence
08 Mar 2022 6 4
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