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  • Ravina Shamdasani
    Ravina Shamdasani “According to international law, Israel must ensure civilians have access to medical care, adequate food, safe water and sanitation. Failure to meet these obligations may amount to forced displacement, which is a war crime. There are strong indications that this [Rafah offensive] is being conducted in violation of international humanitarian law.” 10 hours ago
  • António Guterres
    António Guterres “I appeal to all those with influence over Israel to do everything in their power to help avert even more tragedy. The international community has a shared responsibility to promote a humanitarian ceasefire, the unconditional release of all hostages and a massive surge in life-saving aid. It is time for the parties to seize the opportunity and secure a deal for the sake of their own people.” 10 hours ago
  • Annalena Baerbock
    Annalena Baerbock “I warn against a major offensive on Rafah. A million people cannot simply vanish into thin air. They need protection. They need more humanitarian aid urgently … the Rafah and Kerem Shalom [Karem Abu Salem] border crossings must immediately be reopened.” 10 hours ago
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North Korea - South Korea relations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context North Korea - South Korea relations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“It seems that Yoon [Yoon Suk-yeol] is carrying out what he said during the presidential campaign - rebuilding the South Korea-U.S. alliance. There is no doubt that we should have the alliance as the basis of our diplomacy, but it is also true that we cannot rule out China given the intertwined relationship with North Korea and other neighboring countries. The current situation forces South Korea to choose a side between the U.S. and China, but we also have to think about risks associated with uncertainty surrounding the U.S. side.”

author
Professor of North Korean studies at Ewha Womans University
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“It is obvious fact that the South Korea-U.S. alliance is the main pillar of Seoul's diplomacy, national security and economic policies. However, it is uncertain whether the Yoon administration [Yoon Suk-yeol] is pursuing policies leaning toward the U.S. after considering the costs of such policies. It seems that Yoon is engaging with the U.S. without contingency plans for North Korea's nuclear and missile threats and the side effects of joining the U.S. bandwagon. Regarding the Korean delegation to the U.S., Yoon has revealed his hand too quickly and even if he decides to send delegations to China, he needs to be more prudent about the consequences.”

author
Director of the U.S-China Policy Institute at Ajou University
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“Frankly, there are not many options left for the President-elect, President Moon and even the U.S. but to turn to a hawkish stance. Since the North announced its intention to stick to its own nuclear development plan earlier this year, it did not hesitate in ending the moratorium, meaning the regime will likely pursue its goal of producing various nuclear weapons regardless of outside pressure. The only way that looks effective is joining other countries to impose stronger sanctions on North Korea, but this also relates to the North's relations with China.”

author
Professor of North Korean studies at Ewha Womans University
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“I will respond decisively to the illegal and unreasonable behaviors of North Korea based on principles, while always keeping the door for inter-Korean dialogue open. I will rebuild the ROK-U.S. alliance and strengthen the comprehensive strategic alliance, while sharing the core values of liberal democracy, a market economy and human rights. I will develop bilateral relations of mutual respect between Korea and China and create a future-oriented Korea-Japan relationship.”

author
South Korea President-elect
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“We are taking on the task of improving [South] Korea's diplomatic capability amid North Korea's growing nuclear threats and intensifying U.S.-China competition. To protect the people's safety and the country's sovereignty, I will build a strong national defense capability which can deter any provocation. … I will rebuild the Korea-U.S. alliance and strengthen it further by sharing the value of liberal democracy, free market and human rights.”

author
South Korea President-elect
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“North Korea has kept its moratorium on nuclear tests and ICBM [intercontinental ballistic missiles] launches so far while expressing a willingness for dialogue. But if it did fire an intermediate-range ballistic missile, we can consider it has moved closer to scrapping the moratorium. The latest launch was a challenge to the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula, and diplomatic efforts by the international community, as well as an act that violates the U.N. Security Council resolution.”

author
President of South Korea
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“The international message behind North Korea's month of missile tests is about price. The Kim regime hears external discussions of its domestic weaknesses and sees South Korea's growing strength. So it wants to remind Washington and Seoul that trying to topple it would be too costly. By threatening stability in Asia while global resources are stretched thin elsewhere, Pyongyang is demanding the world compensate it to act like a 'responsible nuclear power'.”

author
Professor at Ewha University in Seoul
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“It has been some 20 years since the idea of an end-of-war declaration was first floated, but now is the first time that all four related countries - South and North Korea, the U.S. and China - have agreed 'in principle' and shown positive responses to an end-of-war declaration. The issue had been mentioned separately by those countries over the years, but since the President's proposal in September, all the relevant parties have concurred on the declaration in principle and in theory. In that respect, it is the best time to pursue the end-of-war declaration.”

author
South Korea Minister of Unification
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“North Korea cares about China's response, but Beijing did not really criticize Pyongyang's latest missile test. This is like North Korea getting a 'green light' to continue its weapons tests. Unless North Korea conducts a test launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile or stages missile tests too often in a short period of time, China is likely to stand back and watch. North Korea is likely to continue its missile tests regardless of the results of the South's next presidential election, as they see it as an independent issue. The North's negotiation strategy toward the South's new administration would be presented in another way. If the candidate of the ruling liberal bloc is elected, North Korea is likely to insist on its previous stance that the South and the U.S. should first withdraw what it calls hostile policies against it. If the candidate of the conservative bloc becomes the next president, it is expected to stage a certain level of provocation to see the response of the new administration.”

author
Professor of North Korean studies at Ewha Womans University
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“Peace on the Korean Peninsula does not come by itself and tensions are sometimes created on the Korean Peninsula. There are concerns that this could create tension and deepen the stalemate in inter-Korean relations. However, we must not let go of the chance for dialogue to fundamentally overcome this situation. North Korea should also make more serious efforts for dialogue. When the two Koreas work together and trust is built between them, peace will come to our side one day.”

author
President of South Korea
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“There was no message from Kim Jong-un toward South Korea or the U.S. in the ruling Workers' Party of Korea plenum in late December. Pyongyang has been remaining unresponsive to the Moon government's call for an end-of-war declaration and the latest missile launch is just another sign that there are no changes in Pyongyang's stance on the matter, that they want withdrawal of what they call hostile policies by South Korea and the U.S. such as joint military drills. But the U.S. government has said the U.S.-South Korea joint drills in March would be conducted as scheduled.”

author
Senior researcher at the Korea Research Institute for National Strategy
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“The missile launch could also be used as a bargaining chip when the North engages in negotiations with the South's next government after the South elects a new president in March. There have been many signs of economic hardships in the North including the news that Kim Jong-un gave fish to Pyongyang residents as presents. In that respect, the missile launch is also aimed at strengthening internal solidarity among the people of North Korea.”

author
Senior researcher at the Korea Defense and Security Forum
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“His extremely cursory mention of inter-Korean relations and foreign policy indicates that North Korea was not ready to come out for contacts with South Korea or the United States in the new year. Faced with the pandemic, North Korea is expected to continue to keep its borders shut, focusing on self-reliance and conducting only the minimum of essential trade with China.”

author
Director of the Center for North Korean Studies at the Sejong Institute
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“Lee [Lee Jae-myung] has consistently called for a universal basic income. He is currently taking a rather soft position on the matter, saying he would not unilaterally push for the basic income policy without social consensus. But it is likely that he would put a stronger drive into introducing a basic income once elected. In contrast, Yoon [Yoon Suk-yeol] would shift the focus of economic policies to encouraging entrepreneurial growth over wealth distribution, introducing more business-friendly policies by easing regulations and offering tax incentives. If Yoon is elected, he would emphasize the principle that denuclearization should come first before inter-Korean cooperation, whereas Lee would continue the engagement policies pursued by the Roh Moo-hyun and Moon Jae-in governments. For other neighboring countries, Lee would try to strike a balance between China and the U.S. amid their growing rivalry, but it would be hard to expect that bilateral relations between South Korea and Japan could improve under Lee's leadership, as he is focused on the historical issues between the countries. For Yoon, it is obvious that he would be committed to strengthening the South Korea-U.S. alliance and improving relations with Japan, considering the figures selected as members of his election camp.”

author
Opinion poll expert and head of Insight K
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“If North Korea builds nuclear submarines, it will be a game-changer. The best way to deal with them is to have our own nuclear subs lurk near a North Korean submarine base, for months if necessary, and follow them when they come out.”

author
Researcher at the Korea Institute for Military Affairs
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“There will be no better way of chasing, monitoring and deterring North Korean nuclear submarines than by deploying our own nuclear submarines. We cannot depend on the United States to do it for us.”

author
South Korean retired navy captain
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“The declaration is a very meaningful measure, as a gateway to peace and as a catalyst for negotiations on denuclearization, and could become an important starting point for making a new order for the two Koreas. The two leaders of South and North Korea confirmed in the 2018 Panmunjeom Declaration as well as in the North-South Korea Summit Declaration on Oct. 4, 2007 that ending the abnormal conflict halted with an armistice for the last 68 years is a historical task that cannot be continuously deferred.”

author
Professor at the University of North Korean Studies
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“For example, if North Korea freezes its nuclear program and accepts inspections of its nuclear facilities in Yongbyon, South Korea and the U.S. may respond by halting their joint military exercises. If the North accepts a phased shutdown of its nuclear facilities, South Korea can respond by controlling its military expansion and the U.S. can join by promising a non-aggression pact. Both South Korea and the U.S. should seriously consider these options, and the involved countries (the two Koreas, the U.S. and China) should come up with plans to have four-way, high-level talks to discuss the options.”

author
Director of the Center for North Korean Studies at the Sejong Institute
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“Our administration has proposed the end-of-war declaration in order to pass on a situation, in which the U.S., South Korea and North Korea are in talks, to the next administration. Close cooperation between Seoul and Washington is more important than anything else.”

author
President of South Korea
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“We don't have to be too strict about interpreting North Korea's precondition. If Seoul and Washington can show a certain level of sincerity, Pyongyang may engage in talks for the end-of-war declaration. For example, a high-level U.S. figure can officially say that the U.S. does not have a hostile policy toward North Korea. South Korea and the U.S. can also say they will not deploy additional ballistic missile defense systems or other strategic weapons on South Korean soil.”

author
Professor at the University of North Korean Studies
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