China invasion of Taiwan - Considerations in the US | Ipse by Context

Nicholas Burns

Inserted 1 year ago

“The US has a unique responsibility to Taiwan and is obligated to maintain a military presence in the region. The passing of the Taiwan Relations Act in 1979 meant that the US has the obligation to ensure that Taiwan is able to deter possible Chinese invasion, present or future.”

Taipeitimes

US ambassador to China

28 Feb 2023 4 4

Michael McCaul

Inserted 1 year ago

“If China failed to take control of Taiwan bloodlessly then they are going to look at a military invasion in my judgement. We have to be prepared for this. The odds are very high that we could see a conflict with China and Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific.”

Aljazeera

Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee in the US House of Representatives

29 Jan 2023 3 3

Joe Biden

Inserted 1 year ago

“I absolutely believe there need not be a new Cold War. I've met many times with Xi Jinping. And we were candid and clear with one another across the board. And I do not think there's any imminent attempt on the part of China to invade Taiwan. And I made it clear that our policy in Taiwan has not changed at all. We're going to compete vigorously, but I'm not looking for conflict. I'm looking to manage this competition responsibly. And I want to make sure that every country abides by the international rules of the road.”

Aljazeera

President of the United States

14 Nov 2022 2 7

William Burns

Inserted 1 year ago

“China probably saw in Ukraine that you don't achieve quick, decisive victories with underwhelming force. Our sense is that it [Russia's five-month-old war in Ukraine] probably affects less the question of whether the Chinese leadership might choose some years down the road to use force to control Taiwan, but how and when they would do it. I suspect the lesson that the Chinese leadership and military are drawing is that you've got to amass overwhelming force if you're going to contemplate that in the future.”

Aljazeera

CIA Director

20 Jul 2022 3 4

William Burns

Inserted 1 year ago

“I think the Chinese leadership is looking very carefully at all this - at the costs and consequences of any effort to use force to gain control over Taiwan. I don't for a minute think that this has eroded Xi's [Xi Jinping] determination over time to gain control over Taiwan. But I think it's something that's affecting their calculation about how and when they go about doing that.”

Taipeitimes

CIA Director

07 May 2022 4 4

Mark Green

Inserted 1 year ago

“[Can the world come together against China if they invade Taiwan?] Yeah, I think so. While you're sort of looking at the difference between China and Russia, I'd suggest you look at the difference economically between Taiwan and Ukraine. Taiwan makes 94 percent of all the high-end semiconductors. The West cannot tolerate China seizing control of Taiwan. So absolutely we are going to push back. Everyone is going to unite and probably even more so than with Ukraine. What we've got to do is make the consequence of China attacking Taiwan so great that they choose not to do so. That's real deterrence.”

Taipeitimes

US Representative

05 May 2022 4 4

James Risch

Inserted 1 year ago

“We must accelerate existing foreign military sales to Taiwan so they get there quicker, and we should use security assistance to help Taiwan acquire additional capabilities. We should absolutely spend more to help with Taiwan's defence. I hope you [Antony Blinken] can commit to that during today's hearing.”

Scmp

United States Senator from Idaho

26 Apr 2022 5 6

Antony Blinken

Inserted 1 year ago

“The administration is determined to make sure that [Taiwan] has all necessary means to defend itself against any potential aggression, including unilateral action by China, to disrupt the status quo that's been in place now for many decades. We're focused on helping them think about how to strengthen asymmetric capabilities … as a deterrent.”

Scmp

U.S. Secretary of State

26 Apr 2022 5 6

Mark Milley

Inserted 2 years ago

“Taiwan is a defensible island. We just need to help the Taiwanese to defend it a little bit better. China is continuing to develop significant nuclear, space, cyber, land, air and maritime military capabilities. They are working every day to close the technology gap with the US and its allies. In short, they remain intent on fundamentally revising the global international order in their favor by mid-century, they intend to be a military peer of the US by 2035 and they intend to develop the military capabilities to seize Taiwan by 2027.”

Taipeitimes

US Army general and the 20th Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

07 Apr 2022 3 6

William Burns

Inserted 2 years ago

“While the partnership between Russia and China has strengthened since 2019, [Chinese] President Xi Jinping and the Chinese leadership are a little bit unsettled by what they're seeing in Ukraine. China did not anticipate the difficulties that the Russians were going to run into in Ukraine, and is concerned by the reputational damage coming from its close association with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Beijing is also worried about the conflict's effects on the global economy, coming at a time when China's annual growth has slowed, as well as the way it has driven Europeans and Americans closer together. Despite these concerns, I would not underestimate President Xi and the Chinese leadership's determination with regard to Taiwan, although the conflict might change the Chinese calculus on the issue.”

Taipeitimes

CIA Director

08 Mar 2022 6 5

Philip Davidson

Inserted 2 years ago

“I believe the next six years is going to be a very worrying time for Taiwan, the U.S., Japan, and all of East Asia. I still believe that now. The PLA's training and war plans for conflict scenarios in the Taiwan Strait all aim at stopping the U.S. from intervening and coming to Taiwan's aid. The U.S. and its allies must let China know that it will pay a huge price if it continues its aggression.”

Taiwannews

Former US Navy Admiral

20 Dec 2021 5 4

Antony Blinken

Inserted 2 years ago

“I hope that China's leaders think very carefully about this and about not precipitating a crisis that would have I think terrible consequences for lots of people and one that's in no one's interest, starting with China.”

Taipeitimes

U.S. Secretary of State

03 Dec 2021 2 2

Joe Biden

Inserted 2 years ago

“Yes [US will defend Taiwan if the island is attacked by China]. We have a commitment to that.”

Aljazeera

President of the United States

22 Oct 2021 2 6

Daniel Davis

Inserted 2 years ago

“Bluntly put, America should refuse to be drawn into a no-win war with Beijing. It needs to be said up front: there would be no palatable choice for Washington if China finally makes good on its decades-long threat to take Taiwan by force. Either choose a bad, bitter-tasting outcome or a self-destructive one in which our existence is put at risk.”

Theguardian

Senior fellow for defense priorities and a former lieutenant colonel in the US army

05 Oct 2021 2 5

Herbert Raymond McMaster

Inserted 2 years ago

“China will keep turning up the heat with provocations in the region, especially next year since Xi [Xi Jinping] will likely continue as chairman for an unprecedented third term. It is a very dangerous time. I think it is probably not the most dangerous time yet. I do think that 2022, as many people have pointed out, is a critical period.”

Taiwannews

Former United States National Security Advisor (2017 to 2018)

04 Oct 2021 2 7

Kathleen Hicks

Inserted 2 years ago

“It's something we watch very carefully [potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan]. If you're out, the Indo-Pacific Command in Hawaii, you're watching it day to day, we have a significant amount of capability forward in the region to tamp down any such potential. We have good relations, of course, with Taiwan. We have commitments to Taiwan that are enduring since the 1970s. And central to that is helping the Taiwanese with their self-defense capabilities. That's really important.”

Csis

United States deputy secretary of defense

01 Oct 2021 4 3

Sam Paparo

Inserted 2 years ago

“China is a pacing threat. I worry about China's intentions. It doesn't make a difference to me, whether it is tomorrow, next year or whether it is in six years. At Pacific Fleet and Indo-Pacific Command we have a duty to be ready to respond to threats to U.S. security. That duty includes delivering a fleet capable of thwarting any effort on the part of the Chinese to upend that [world] order, to include the unification by force of Taiwan to the People's Republic of China. But I also feel confident in our Sailors, Marines and Coast Guardsmen … as well as our operational designs to thwart such an effort with the teamwork of our allies and partners.”

Seapowermagazine

Commander of U.S. Pacific Fleet

29 Jun 2021 6 6

Mark Milley

Inserted 2 years ago

“There's no reason to do it militarily, and they know that. So, I think the probability is probably low, in the immediate, near-term future. My assessment in terms of capability, I think China has a ways to go to develop the actual, no-kidding capability to conduct military operations to seize through military means the entire island of Taiwan, if they wanted to do that.”

Taipeitimes

US Army general and the 20th Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

17 Jun 2021 3 5

Christopher Maier

Inserted 2 years ago

“I do think that is something [helping Taiwan strengthen its ability to conduct irregular warfare] that we should be considering strongly as we think about competition across the span of different capabilities we can apply, [special operations forces] being a key contributor to that.”

Military

Nominee to be assistant secretary of defense for special operations and low-intensity conflict

27 May 2021 2 5

John Aquilino

Inserted 3 years ago

“They view it [the annexation of Taiwan] as their No 1 priority. The rejuvenation of the Chinese Communist party is at stake, very critical, as they look at the problem. My opinion is that this problem is much closer to us than most think and we have to take this on. The Chinese Communist party has generated some capabilities in the region that are designed to keep us out. The most dangerous concern is that of a military force against Taiwan.”

Theguardian

Admiral in the United States Navy, serving as the commander of the United States Pacific Fleet since May 17, 2018

23 Mar 2021 3 4

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China invasion of Taiwan - Considerations in the US

“The US has a unique responsibility to Taiwan and is obligated to maintain a military presence in the region. The passing of the Taiwan Relations Act in 1979 meant that the US has the obligation to ensure that Taiwan is able to deter possible Chinese invasion, present or future.”

“If China failed to take control of Taiwan bloodlessly then they are going to look at a military invasion in my judgement. We have to be prepared for this. The odds are very high that we could see a conflict with China and Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific.”

“I hope that China's leaders think very carefully about this and about not precipitating a crisis that would have I think terrible consequences for lots of people and one that's in no one's interest, starting with China.”

“Yes [US will defend Taiwan if the island is attacked by China]. We have a commitment to that.”

“I do think that is something [helping Taiwan strengthen its ability to conduct irregular warfare] that we should be considering strongly as we think about competition across the span of different capabilities we can apply, [special operations forces] being a key contributor to that.”

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