“Even [leaders of] Russia did not see it coming [recognizing the independence of two Russia-backed separatist regions in eastern Ukraine] - and then, the North reportedly offered to send its workers to the region. Over the past 20 years, Russia's diplomatic strategies on North Korea and the Korean Peninsula have not changed much. But I believe it is now on the verge of a big shift. In the short run, there seems little incentive for the North to make such decisions, which have drawn international criticism. But in the long term, what it can gain from Russia, one of the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council, is enormous. North Korea is probably expecting Russia's support at the U.N. … It is very likely that Russia will offer it. I have heard from sources in Russia that North Korean leader Kim Jong-un may visit Russia this year.”
31 Aug 2022
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