IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Yi Wang
    Yi Wang “No conflict or war ends on the battlefield, but rather at the negotiating table. China supports the convening at an appropriate time of an international peace conference that is acceptable to the Russian and Ukrainian sides with the participation of all parties equally. There, peace plans can be discussed, fairly, to achieve a ceasefire as soon as possible. We must always insist on an objective and just position, there is no magic wand to solve the crisis. All parties should start with themselves.” 7 hours ago
  • Boris Pistorius
    Boris Pistorius “Russia is already producing weapons and ammunition beyond its need for conducting an aggressive war against Ukraine. With increased spending on armaments and the streamlining of the military economy, a significant portion or part of what is produced no longer goes to the front line, but ends up in warehouses. Now you can be naive and say he's doing it just out of caution. As a sceptical person, I would say in this case that he's doing it because he has plans or could have them.” 12 hours ago
  • Emmanuel Macron
    Emmanuel Macron “There is a risk our Europe could die. We are not equipped to face the risks. Russia must not be allowed to win in Ukraine. Europeans should give preference to buying European military equipment. We must produce more, we must produce faster, and we must produce as Europeans.” 12 hours ago
  • Aleksey Kushch
    Aleksey Kushch “By including the Ukraine package in a bill that also provides military aid to Israel and Taiwan, the US shows the world that it equals Ukraine's and Israel's archenemies - Russia and Iran. This is a mighty geopolitical slap for China. As the trade turnover between Russia and China rose to $240bn last year, the more the US pushes Beijing, the more discounts for oil and gas China gets from Russia.” 13 hours ago
  • Nikolay Mitrokhin
    Nikolay Mitrokhin “The aid is a surprisingly exact match of Ukrainian military's needs that mostly has a deficit of air defence weaponry of all kinds and also needs to replenish its arsenal of tank destroyers, anti-infantry landmines and other kinds of ammunition. It's obviously needed to deliver infantry and other ground troops to the front line but not for an advance - otherwise the US would have given tanks.” 13 hours ago
  • Ihor Romanenko
    Ihor Romanenko “The aid can improve the situation on the 1,000km-long (620-mile-long) front line. But the aid looks like a handout to show that we haven't been forgotten, no more than that. They're always late, they hit the brakes, they're afraid. All of that is done to catch up [with Russia], but wars are won by those who act ahead of time.” 13 hours ago
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#Russians

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #Russians linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“According to our assessment, we are anticipating a rather difficult situation shortly. However, it is not catastrophic, and this must be understood. Armageddon will not happen, despite what many are starting to claim. But we anticipate problems from mid-May. The Russians will adopt a multifaceted approach. They are orchestrating a complex operation... It will be a difficult period. [Expect this to unfold] around mid-May to early June.”

author
Head of Ukraine's military intelligence service
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“Since the fall of Avdiivka in Ukraine's east on February 17 [2024], its forces have oozed forward, swallowing several villages, as Ukrainian forces have performed tactical retreats. Here we are in April [2024], and [the Russians] are oozing out. Why is that? I think it's because that's the best the Russians can do. They do not have the capability to knock Ukraine out of the war. Russia lacked the ability to equip large armoured formations that could move rapidly, with supporting artillery, engineers and logistics. I don't think it exists. That's why I feel fairly confident that the mission for [Ukrainian] general Oleksandr Syrskyi for the next several months is to stabilise this as much as he can to buy time for Ukraine to grow the size of the army, to rebuild the defence industry of Ukraine, as well as give us time to find more ammunition for them. I think of 2024 as a year of industrial competition. So the army has got to buy time.”

author
Retired U.S. General and former Commander of NATO forces in Europe
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“War is a physical human endeavour and you have a force that is utterly exhausted, not slightly fatigued. It's a heavily attritional war. It's messy, it's bloody, there is nothing glorious about this. The glide bombs that are currently used are hugely devastating. They're cheap to make. They are pretty damn accurate and they can be adapted really quickly. They are fast and [the Russians] have a lot of them. This is a war of mass cost and pace. That's the operational factor on the ground.”

author
Head of military research at the RAND Corporation, a US Air Force think tank
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“According to international law, we all recognise another country's territorial integrity, sovereignty, and the inviolability of its borders. This is a sound theory of international law. But the Russians will never give up Crimea, Donbas, or Luhansk. There is no military solution and never will be. There will only be 100,000 more dead on one side or the other. The only thing that can help is for NATO to interfere, and this is World War III.”

author
Slovak Prime Minister
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“The Russians both seemed to draw as much Ukrainian air defence as possible to Kyiv, then spread the rest out around the country with a series of attacks. And then, when they had basically reduced Kharkiv's air defence to as small as possible, they launched a mass attack against Kharkiv's power.”

author
Professor of Strategic Studies at St Andrews University
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“They [Russian troops] are ready to pay bribes, which is happening on a massive scale, injure themselves or simply run away to avoid the frontline, as the chances of survival there and the number of losses…remain sky-high for Russians.”

author
Ukrainian Defense Intelligence representative
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“So will Russians blame Putin for failing to avert the tragedy? Collective psychology is notoriously unpredictable. Some may, but it is unlikely that anything would come of it. Even without this attack, it has been clear to the Russian population that the period of stability, security and economic growth that Putin has been lauded for is long over. War is literally at the door with Ukrainian forces conducting incursions into Russian territory, sending drones to strike oil refineries and destroying Russian battleships in the Black Sea.”

author
Freelance journalist based in Riga
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“The Ukrainians are not running out of courage, they are running out of ammunition. NATO allies are not providing Ukraine with enough ammunition and that has consequences on the battlefield every day. It is one of the reasons why the Russians have been able to make some advance on the battlefield over the last weeks and months. It is an urgent need for allies to make the decisions necessary to step and provide more ammunition to Ukraine. That's my message to all capitals. We have the capacity, the economies, to be able to provide Ukraine what they need. This is a question of political will. To take the decisions and to prioritise support for Ukraine.”

author
Secretary General of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
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“The capture of Avdiivka has not led to the collapse of Ukrainian lines, the possibility for the Russians to move onto open ground or even to make major gains. There's no decisive action or breakthrough.”

author
Deputy director of the Institute for Strategic and Defense Studies, a French research center
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“They [Ukrainians] say this was a small village [Krokhmalne] and they gave up only a couple of kilometres to the Russians…they say it was of little consequence for the overall situation.”

author
Al Jazeera’s journalist reporting from Kyiv
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“The winter is just going to reinforce the misery … neither side is going to have a tactical or operational breakthrough. I think they're going to try to push through in the winter. The ground freezes, [they'll] try to make some moves because they're desperate. I don't mean the Ukrainians. I mean the Russians. The soldiers won't want to do it. It will be a disaster. There will be more dead bodies.”

author
Colonel who has led special forces detachments in Afghanistan and the Middle East - Vice president for Global Guardian
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“If ordinary Russians continued getting their children back in coffins while the children of the elite shook their arses in the sun. Russia would face turmoil along the lines of 1917 that brought the Bolsheviks to power. This divide can end as in 1917 with a revolution. First, the soldiers will stand up and after that, their loved ones will rise up. There are already tens of thousands of them - relatives of those killed. And there will probably be hundreds of thousands - we cannot avoid that.”

author
Founder of Russia’s Wagner Group, a private mercenary force
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“The Russians attack mainly in small groups of five to six people who, under the cover of artillery, try to penetrate the battle formations of the Defence Forces of Ukraine and engage in close-range shooting battles.”

author
Colonel who commands a Ukrainian battalion in Bakhmut called the Teronoron Force
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“Gaining Patriot air defence capability would be very, very significant for Kyiv. These are going to be quite capable of dealing with a lot of different challenges the Ukrainians have, especially if the Russians bring in short-range ballistic missiles.”

author
Retired Army lieutenant colonel and onetime leader of Ukraine policy at the White House
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“The Russians have intensified their efforts in Donetsk and Luhansk. They are now in a very active phase of attempting to conduct offensive operations. We are advancing nowhere but, rather, defending, destroying the enemy's infantry and equipment wherever it tries to advance.”

author
Adviser to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy
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“Izyum was a key military strongpoint for the Russians for many months. It took the Russians six weeks of fighting to get a hold of that city, and now it appears that the Ukrainians will have retaken it, in pretty much a 12-to-24-hour timeframe. It gives you an idea of how the tide is certainly turning. Ukrainians clearly have the momentum in this battle right now in the northeast, as they continue to push the Russian forces back.”

author
Al Jazeera’s journalist reporting from Kiev
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