• Kaja Kallas
  • Moussa Faki Mahamat
  • Adrian Zenz
  • Matthew Kroenig
  • Andriy Yermak
  • Vitaly Savelyev
  • Oleksandr Korniyenko
  • Dainius Kreivys
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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Yi Wang
    Yi Wang “No conflict or war ends on the battlefield, but rather at the negotiating table. China supports the convening at an appropriate time of an international peace conference that is acceptable to the Russian and Ukrainian sides with the participation of all parties equally. There, peace plans can be discussed, fairly, to achieve a ceasefire as soon as possible. We must always insist on an objective and just position, there is no magic wand to solve the crisis. All parties should start with themselves.” 9 hours ago
  • Boris Pistorius
    Boris Pistorius “Russia is already producing weapons and ammunition beyond its need for conducting an aggressive war against Ukraine. With increased spending on armaments and the streamlining of the military economy, a significant portion or part of what is produced no longer goes to the front line, but ends up in warehouses. Now you can be naive and say he's doing it just out of caution. As a sceptical person, I would say in this case that he's doing it because he has plans or could have them.” 14 hours ago
  • Emmanuel Macron
    Emmanuel Macron “There is a risk our Europe could die. We are not equipped to face the risks. Russia must not be allowed to win in Ukraine. Europeans should give preference to buying European military equipment. We must produce more, we must produce faster, and we must produce as Europeans.” 15 hours ago
  • Aleksey Kushch
    Aleksey Kushch “By including the Ukraine package in a bill that also provides military aid to Israel and Taiwan, the US shows the world that it equals Ukraine's and Israel's archenemies - Russia and Iran. This is a mighty geopolitical slap for China. As the trade turnover between Russia and China rose to $240bn last year, the more the US pushes Beijing, the more discounts for oil and gas China gets from Russia.” 15 hours ago
  • Nikolay Mitrokhin
    Nikolay Mitrokhin “The aid is a surprisingly exact match of Ukrainian military's needs that mostly has a deficit of air defence weaponry of all kinds and also needs to replenish its arsenal of tank destroyers, anti-infantry landmines and other kinds of ammunition. It's obviously needed to deliver infantry and other ground troops to the front line but not for an advance - otherwise the US would have given tanks.” 15 hours ago
  • Ihor Romanenko
    Ihor Romanenko “The aid can improve the situation on the 1,000km-long (620-mile-long) front line. But the aid looks like a handout to show that we haven't been forgotten, no more than that. They're always late, they hit the brakes, they're afraid. All of that is done to catch up [with Russia], but wars are won by those who act ahead of time.” 15 hours ago
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#recession

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #recession linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Janet Yellen
Janet Yellen

“I believe by the end of next year you will see much lower inflation if there's not ... an unanticipated shock. There's a risk of a recession. But ... it certainly isn't, in my view, something that is necessary to bring inflation down.”

author
United States Secretary of the Treasury
11 Dec 2022 2 3
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Pao-Lin Tien
Pao-Lin Tien

“For the US, if inflation does not show signs of cooling in the last few months of 2022, and measures of inflation expectations start to climb, it would force the Federal Reserve to continue with aggressive rate hikes beyond 2022 into the spring of 2023 - in my opinion that's when the economy will tip into a recession. I think a similar situation would apply to other countries as well, if central banks are forced to increase rates aggressively and persistently, either to defend their currency or to tame inflation, then a recession is inevitable.”

author
Assistant professor of economics at George Washington University
29 Sep 2022 5 3
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Toru Nishihama
Toru Nishihama

“China's economy has stood on the edge of falling into stagflation, although the worst is over as of the May-June period. You can rule out the possibility of a recession, or two straight quarters of contraction. Given the tame growth, China's government is likely to deploy economic stimulus measures from now on to rev up its flagging growth, but hurdles are high for PBOC to cut interest rates further as it would fan inflation which has been kept relatively low at present.”

author
Chief economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute in Tokyo
15 Jul 2022 4 1
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Art Hogan
Art Hogan

“When you're faced with as many inputs as we're going to see this week ... it's not unusual for investors to take a risk-off attitude. If (earnings) estimates for the second half don't go down and actually go up a little bit, that's going to shed some of the concern that we're slamming on the brakes and the economy is getting into a recession.”

author
Chief market strategist at B. Riley
12 Jul 2022 3 1
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Pierluigi Paganini
Pierluigi Paganini

“The consequences of an oil embargo would likely cause a recession in Europe. While the US, the EU, the UK, and other countries have sanctioned Russia, Russian export revenues since the beginning of the invasion is not decreasing. Even if European governments agreed to stop Russian coal imports starting in August, it is not enough. The prices for oil would increase on a global scale. Using alternative oil provisions from the Middle East and Africa would take time, which in turn would force European countries to adopt an energy policy characterised by austerity.”

author
Cybersecurity and intelligence expert in Italy
27 Apr 2022 8 5
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Clayton Allen
Clayton Allen

“You've kind of hit the ceiling - on both sides of the Atlantic - for what can be done easily and what can be done in short order. To move to a tougher round of sanctions, U.S. officials will need to provide some assurances to European countries that energy markets and supplies can be stabilized to avoid severe economic hardship. If Western Europe is plunged into a recession, that's going to drastically limit the amount of support - both moral and material - that they can provide to Ukraine.”

author
U.S. director at the Eurasia Group political risk consultancy
06 Apr 2022 7 2
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Douglas McWilliams
Douglas McWilliams

“The important issue for the 2020s is how the world economies cope with inflation, which has now reached 6.8% in the U.S. We hope that a relatively modest adjustment to the tiller will bring the non-transitory elements under control. If not, then the world will need to brace itself for a recession in 2023 or 2024.”

author
Deputy chairman of the British consultancy Cebr
25 Dec 2021 4 3
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Chrystia Freeland
Chrystia Freeland

“Canada has recovered 100 percent of the jobs lost during the depth of the recession, compared to 78 percent in the US. There are many reasons to be optimistic on what we have already achieved. Our economy is rebounding and we are winning the fight against COVID.”

author
Canada Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance
21 Oct 2021 3 2
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Gita Gopinath
Gita Gopinath

“We are projecting a somewhat less severe though still deep recession in 2020, relative to our June forecast. The revision is driven by second-quarter GDP outturns in large advanced economies, which were not as negative as we had projected. The poor are getting poorer with over 90 million people expected to fall into extreme poverty just this year. Policies for the next stage of the crisis must see lasting improvements and create a prosperous future for all.”

author
Chief Economist of the International Monetary Fund
13 Oct 2020 3 2
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