IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Jimmy Rushton
    Jimmy Rushton “Shoigu's replacement with a (relatively experienced and apparently competent) economist [Andrei Belousov] pretty clearly signals Putin believes victory in Ukraine will come via outproducing (and outlasting) Ukraine and her Western allies. He's preparing for many more years of war.” 3 hours ago
  • Konstantin Sonin
    Konstantin Sonin “Things are not going according to Putin's plan, but he will endlessly rotate the same small group of loyalists. Putin has always feared to bring new people to the positions of authority - even in the best of times, they must have been nobodies with no own perspectives. Toward the end of his rule, even more so.” 4 hours ago
  • Mark Galeotti
    Mark Galeotti “With an economist taking over the Defence Ministry, and the old minister taking up a policy and advisory role, the technocrats are in the ascendant. The goal though is not peace, but a more efficient war. As Putin digs in for the long term, with the 'special military operation' now being the central organising principle of his regime, he knows he needs technocrats to keep his war machine going.” 4 hours ago
  • Jeff Hawn
    Jeff Hawn “This indicates that the Kremlin is not seeking an exit from Ukraine, but once to extend their ability to endure the conflict as long as possible. Russia is very limited [on] how much they can increase scale, due to economic deficiencies. However, they can maintain a certain level of attritional warfare. And are likely hoping to do that longer than Ukraine can.” 4 hours ago
  • Dmitry Peskov
    Dmitry Peskov “Today, the winner on the battlefield is the one who is more open to innovation, more open to implementation as quickly as possible. It is natural that at the current stage the president [Vladimir Putin] decided that the Ministry of Defence should be headed by a civilian [Andrei Belousov].” 4 hours ago
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#Putin

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #Putin linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“When Putin, and his craven lust for land and power, unleashed his brutal war on Ukraine, he was betting NATO would break apart … But he thought wrong. NATO is stronger, more energised and yes, more united than ever in its history. Indeed, more vital to our shared future.”

author
President of the United States
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“I believe that the indolent response of the elite, when Putin needed their support the most, speaks volumes. Out of the 83 Russian regions, not more than 10 governors publicly spoke in support of Putin. The governor of Moscow, Sergey Sobyanin, and the prime minister of Russia, Mikhail Mishustin, were completely silent during the mutiny. We have seen oligarchs like Vladimir Potanin and Arkady Rotenberg, who is very close to Putin, immediately fly away from the country while the mutiny was taking place. We must understand that the rational, technocratic parts of Putin's elites aren't disillusioned by the lack of democracy and human rights violations in Russia or war crimes in Ukraine - they are afraid that they won't have a secure future alongside Putin anymore. Prigozhin's action could only have cemented this feeling.”

author
Political Scientist
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“Prigozhin's mutiny may have briefly made Putin look weak, but the fact that a very tangible threat of civil war has been averted trumps it all. Instead of causing disillusionment with the regime, it may in fact rally the nation behind the president.”

author
Freelance journalist based in Riga
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“Of course this doesn't mean that problems have dissipated. It's not fine actually because Putin called on the Wagner fighters to join the defence ministry - and they're not doing it. They are still there with their weapons, they are well organised, they're the best fighting force in the land right now. And what will be their next move is not clear. Right now, they most likely feel threatened. They didn't disappear.”

author
Moscow-based military analyst
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“If Prigozhin really withdrew, this would be much too quick for the Russian regular armed forces to take over the positions of the Wagner fighters in and around Bakhmut. If he really means it … this would give the Ukrainian armed forces the opportunity to seize parts, or the whole of Bakhmut from the Russians. This would be a disaster for Putin and Shoigu.”

author
Austrian analyst
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“First to Ukraine: We stand by you, with you. We cannot accept this terrible war. And we will do all that is needed to help Ukraine, the Ukrainian people, because they fight for us. This is clear. And the message to [Russian President Vladimir] Putin is: Go away from Ukraine because you will lose.”

author
Leader of the Finnish Centre-right National Coalition Party (NCP)
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“Putin and I will decide and introduce here, if necessary, strategic weapons, and they must understand this, the scoundrels abroad, who today are trying to blow us up from inside and outside. We will stop at nothing to protect our countries, our state and their peoples.”

author
President of Belarus
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“Putin insinuating that they are some sort of nuclear weapon is bonkers. Depleted uranium is completely inert. There is no way that you could create a nuclear reaction or a nuclear explosion with depleted uranium.”

author
Former commander of the UK’s Royal Tank Regiment
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“There had been fewer attacks along the front line than usual over the past 24 hours. This could be linked to the visit to Moscow by the Chinese leader. Why? Because Putin is hardly likely to put aggression on display on the front lines, particularly as China has spoken in favour of a ceasefire and of an end to the war. So this is likely to continue throughout his two-day visit.”

author
Military analyst based in Kyiv
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“Putin most likely calculates that time works in his favour and that prolonging the war … may be his best remaining pathway to eventually securing Russia's strategic interests in Ukraine, even if it takes years. If Russia does not institute a mandatory mobilisation and identify substantial third-party ammunition supplies, it will be increasingly challenging for them to sustain even the current level of offensive operations. We don't see the Russian military recovering enough this year to make major territorial gains. … They may fully shift to holding and defending the territory they currently occupy.”

author
US Director of National Intelligence
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“One of the assessments is that Putin acted very impulsively because of his imperial ambitions, and he has his own worldview. Xi, I think, he's much more pragmatic. He's very cautious. I don't think he's hot-headed enough and he's not a risk taker, and an invasion against Taiwan is one of the biggest acts that he would do. It's a very high-wire act and the chances of success are not clear.”

author
Director of the UC Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation at the University of California, San Diego
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“An important factor is the enormous difference in social expectations in Russia and Ukraine with regards to the outcome of war. The Russian society is lukewarm about Putin's military adventurism and territorial expansion. It will accept a broad range of outcomes that are not manifestly humiliating or costly. Ukrainian expectations, on the other hand, are extremely inflated. Almost any kind of compromise could threaten Volodymyr Zelenskyy's government, which took a lethal gamble by refusing to implement the humiliating Minsk agreements and resolving to put up a fight instead of succumbing to Putin's ultimatums.”

author
Freelance journalist based in Riga
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“The war may and probably will last years. So long as there is fighting, it is hard to envisage any form of productive diplomatic engagement, let alone rekindling political and economic links. Certainly, until Putin is in office relations will be confrontational. In case of de-escalation, a new line will be drawn across Eastern Europe leaving Ukraine and possibly Moldova and Georgia on the “Western side”, Belarus on Russia's, and Armenia and Azerbaijan in no-man's land. A Cold War-like scenario will materialise, with the pro-Western countries drawn into EU and NATO's orbit and Russia entrenching itself in whatever parts of Ukraine it might succeed to keep.”

author
Visiting Scholar at Carnegie Europe
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“To the Germans: Send tanks to Ukraine because they need them. It is in your own national interest that [Russian President Vladimir] Putin loses in Ukraine. To the [US President Joe] Biden Administration: Send American tanks so that others will follow our lead.”

author
Senator from South Carolina and member of the Republican Party
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“From Washington to London, from Paris to Warsaw, you hear one thing: Ukraine needs tanks. Tanks are the key to ending the war properly. It is time to stop trembling before Putin and take the final step.”

author
Advisor to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy
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“They now want to use Christmas as a cover, albeit briefly, to stop the advances of our boys in Donbas and bring equipment, ammunition and mobilised troops closer to our positions. What will that give them? Only yet another increase in their total losses. The whole world knows how the Kremlin uses interruptions in the war to continue the war with new strength.”

author
President of Ukraine
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“Putin is banking on the US and the West losing interest in Ukraine due to fatigue and growing political opposition. The best strategy the Russians can pursue is to hope that Ukraine's Western allies will eventually give up. It's vital for Zelenskyy to keep that support and he triumphed.”

author
Journalist and author
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“The barricades in the north will not be tolerated for too long. I cannot say it is a civic protest when there are armed people there [at the barricades] who want to return Kosovo to 1999 and who hold up slogans and photos of despotic [Russian President Vladimir] Putin.”

author
Kosovo Prime Minister
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