• Kaja Kallas
  • Moussa Faki Mahamat
  • Adrian Zenz
  • Matthew Kroenig
  • Andriy Yermak
  • Vitaly Savelyev
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  • Dainius Kreivys
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Ravina Shamdasani
    Ravina Shamdasani “According to international law, Israel must ensure civilians have access to medical care, adequate food, safe water and sanitation. Failure to meet these obligations may amount to forced displacement, which is a war crime. There are strong indications that this [Rafah offensive] is being conducted in violation of international humanitarian law.” 8 hours ago
  • António Guterres
    António Guterres “I appeal to all those with influence over Israel to do everything in their power to help avert even more tragedy. The international community has a shared responsibility to promote a humanitarian ceasefire, the unconditional release of all hostages and a massive surge in life-saving aid. It is time for the parties to seize the opportunity and secure a deal for the sake of their own people.” 8 hours ago
  • Annalena Baerbock
    Annalena Baerbock “I warn against a major offensive on Rafah. A million people cannot simply vanish into thin air. They need protection. They need more humanitarian aid urgently … the Rafah and Kerem Shalom [Karem Abu Salem] border crossings must immediately be reopened.” 8 hours ago
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#miscalculation

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #miscalculation linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Derek Grossman
Derek Grossman

“It seems to me that Beijing has instructed its forces to respond more assertively against what it believes are encroaching U.S. and allied forces. By doing so, China is only increasing the chances for miscalculation - namely ships or aircraft accidentally colliding - that could then spiral into armed conflict.”

author
Senior defence analyst at the RAND Corporation, a U.S. think tank
05 Jun 2023 2 2
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Vivian Balakrishnan
Vivian Balakrishnan

“The probability of an actual conflict is low between China and Taiwan. It is an issue everyone needs to be concerned with. The real risk is either an accident or a miscalculation. And the more there's engagement, there's talk, there's discussion and there's hopefully a meeting of minds. I think that lowers the risk considerably.”

author
Singaporean Minister of Foreign Affairs
18 Nov 2021 4 2
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Nick Carter
Nick Carter

“Traditional diplomatic tools and mechanisms available during the Cold War and an era of unipolar U.S. dominance are gone. Without those tools and mechanisms there is a greater risk that these escalations or this escalation could lead to miscalculation. So I think that's the real challenge we have to be confronted with.”

author
Chief of the British Defense Staff
13 Nov 2021 7 2
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Jonas Horner
Jonas Horner

“This has been a miscalculation from the start and misunderstanding of the level of commitment, bravery, and concern the street has about the future of Sudan.”

author
Deputy Project Director, Horn of Africa and Senior Analyst, Sudan
30 Oct 2021 2 2
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Antony Blinken
Antony Blinken

“The actions we've seen by China are provocative and potentially destabilizing. What I hope is that these actions will cease because there's always the possibility of miscalculation, of miscommunication, and that's dangerous. It's very important that no one take unilateral actions that change the status quo by force. We need to see China stop these actions.”

author
U.S. Secretary of State
06 Oct 2021 3 5
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