IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Igor Grosu
    Igor Grosu “The plebiscite is a chance for Moldovans to show loudly and clearly that we are Europeans. ... We are not entering Europe, we are returning to it.” 17 hours ago
  • Maia Sandu
    Maia Sandu “Joining the EU is the best thing we can give this and future generations.” 17 hours ago
  • Igor Dodon
    Igor Dodon “We are categorically opposed to this referendum. We are not saying 'no' to talks with the EU and we are not opposed to the EU. We oppose Sandu using it as an instrument for her own interests and those of her party. We are therefore asking voters during the campaign not to take part in the referendum.” 17 hours ago
  • Ben Hodges
    Ben Hodges “Since the fall of Avdiivka in Ukraine's east on February 17 [2024], its forces have oozed forward, swallowing several villages, as Ukrainian forces have performed tactical retreats. Here we are in April [2024], and [the Russians] are oozing out. Why is that? I think it's because that's the best the Russians can do. They do not have the capability to knock Ukraine out of the war. Russia lacked the ability to equip large armoured formations that could move rapidly, with supporting artillery, engineers and logistics. I don't think it exists. That's why I feel fairly confident that the mission for [Ukrainian] general Oleksandr Syrskyi for the next several months is to stabilise this as much as he can to buy time for Ukraine to grow the size of the army, to rebuild the defence industry of Ukraine, as well as give us time to find more ammunition for them. I think of 2024 as a year of industrial competition. So the army has got to buy time.” 19 hours ago
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#Kyiv

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #Kyiv linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“The Russians both seemed to draw as much Ukrainian air defence as possible to Kyiv, then spread the rest out around the country with a series of attacks. And then, when they had basically reduced Kharkiv's air defence to as small as possible, they launched a mass attack against Kharkiv's power.”

author
Professor of Strategic Studies at St Andrews University
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“One year ago, the world was bracing for the fall of Kyiv. I can report: Kyiv stands strong, Kyiv stands proud, it stands tall and, most important, it stands free.”

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President of the United States
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“We understand that if Russia continues such attacks, we may lose our entire electricity system. Officials in the capital have been told that they would be likely to have at least 12 hours' notice that the grid was on the verge of failure. If it reaches that point, we will start informing people and requesting them to leave. For now at least, the situation is manageable, and there were no indications that large numbers of civilians were fleeing Kyiv. If there's no power, there will be no water and no sewage. That's why currently the government and city administration are taking all possible measures to protect our power supply system.”

author
Director of security for the Kyiv municipal government
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“High-precision, long-range missiles fired by the Russian Aerospace Forces on the outskirts of Kyiv destroyed T-72 tanks supplied by Eastern European countries and other armoured vehicles that were in hangars.”

author
Russian Defense Ministry Spokesman
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“Russia's war in Ukraine is not going as Moscow had planned. They failed to take Kyiv. They are pulling back from Kharkiv and their major offensive in Donbass has stalled.”

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Secretary General of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
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“We assess President Putin is preparing for a prolonged conflict in Ukraine during which he still intends to achieve goals beyond the Donbas. We assess that Putin's strategic goals have probably not changed, suggesting he regards the decision in late March to refocus Russian forces on the Donbas is only a temporary shift to regain the initiative after the Russian military's failure to capture Kyiv.”

author
US Director of National Intelligence
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“Putin will not admit defeat. The Kremlin will not compromise. Right before May 9 there will be a big moment for Putin to say, mission accomplished, this is my version of history. This is my legacy. It needs to be presented as a mission accomplished. Forget about taking over Kyiv. We've flattened Mariupol, we've liberated more parts of Donbas. Maybe they will announce a republic in Kherson.”

author
Senior research fellow at the Chatham House think tank in London
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“They began with announcements about taking Kyiv in three days, and now they are explaining that it is impossible to take Donbas within several months. Everything he's [Putin] been trying to build in more than 20 years is falling apart like a house of cards.”

author
Russian activist and historian who fled Russia in 2019
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“There will be an offensive ... not only on Mariupol, but also on other places, cities and villages. Luhansk and Donetsk - we will fully liberate in the first place ... and then take Kyiv and all other cities. I assure you: not one step will be taken back.”

author
Russian and Chechen politician serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic
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“According to our intelligence, Russian units are not withdrawing but repositioning. Russia is trying to regroup, resupply and reinforce its offensive in the Donbas region. At the same time, Russia maintains pressure on Kyiv and other cities. So we can expect additional offensive actions, bringing even more suffering.”

author
Secretary General of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
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“In order to increase mutual trust and create the necessary conditions for further negotiations and achieving the ultimate goal of agreeing and signing (an) agreement, a decision was made to radically, by a large margin, reduce military activity in the Kyiv and Chernihiv directions.”

author
Russian Deputy Defence Minister
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“I think it's another way to say regime change in Kyiv has failed. The attempt to encircle and storm Kyiv has failed, and the effort is now focused on the east. Russia originally had a three-pronged military strategy: to encircle and then seize the capital, to capture Ukraine's south, and take the key city of Mariupol. I'm not sure how successful that will be.”

author
Chair of critical conflict studies at the Doha Institute
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“If Kyiv is captured, the Russians would probably install at least an interim administration. However, given the low likelihood of this being widely accepted among the Ukrainian population, Putin would have more success if the current government, perhaps stripped of some members but continuing to be led by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, was retained in office and able to negotiate with the Russians. The institutional structure would be likely to remain in place, although strong consideration would be likely to be given to introducing a federal arrangement of some sort to provide a degree of autonomy for Donetsk and Luhansk. Nonetheless, even if Russia could establish some form of dialogue and agreement in Kyiv, it faces encumbrances. Such negotiations would be likely seen as taking place under duress, and therefore any outcome may not stick. There are no easy options for Putin, and it would certainly not be easy for any interim government installed by force of Russian arms.”

author
Professor emeritus of government and international relations at the University of Sydney
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“We have strengthened the defense of Kyiv. We have gone through the war and due preparation. Therefore, we are ready to meet enemies and not with flowers, but with Stingers, Javelins and NLAW. Welcome to hell!”

author
Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
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“The military presence is aimed at threatening Poland and Lithuania westwards, and Ukraine's north. The message is that Russia is able to conduct an operation that could seize Kyiv. They're stretching our limited resources, preparing for a possible assault and conducting intelligence gathering to see what capabilities we employ and how we react. It sends the clear message that they have the goal, capability and political will to apply military force in Ukraine if the West don't agree to [President Vladimir] Putin's demands.”

author
Former Ukrainian diplomat and security policy expert at the Centre for Defence Strategies
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“Even if Putin gets something from the west, serious talks or discussions about guarantees - will that be enough for Putin? We are witnessing the dawn of a new geopolitical adventurism from Russia. Putin thinks that if Biden wants, he can move mountains, he can convince allies and convince Kyiv [to make concessions]. This problem could lead Putin to demand the impossible and push the stakes so high that everything ends in war.”

author
Founder of the political analysis firm R.Politik
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“Kyiv is itself building up its forces, Kyiv is being helped to build up its forces, Kyiv is being supplied with a significant amount of weapons, including modern high-tech weapons. The number of provocations is growing and growing significantly. What's more, these provocations are being carried out with weapons being supplied by NATO countries. And we are observing this with great alarm.”

author
Kremlin spokesman
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