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  • Igor Grosu
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  • Igor Dodon
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  • Ben Hodges
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#Iran

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #Iran linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“We are in a situation where basically everybody can claim victory. Iran can say that it took revenge, Israel can say it defeated the Iranian attack and the United States can say it successfully deterred Iran and defended Israel. If we get into another round of tit for tat, it can easily spiral out of control, not just for Iran and Israel, but for the rest of the region and the entire world.”

author
Iran director of the International Crisis Group
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“There's been this united public response defending Israel on Iran, with strong private messaging to Israel, 'Don't you dare'. While on Gaza, there's a lot of public hand-wringing but a lack of will to be tough in private. Gaza doesn't directly pull the United States into a war. So, they still believe they can tiptoe through the raindrops.”

author
President of the U.S./Middle East Project and former Israeli peace negotiator
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“If every time Israel decides to punish Iran, it creates a massive tumult in Washington and London, these countries are going to pressure Israel. There's going to be a major international effort to build cordons around Israel's behavior toward Iran.”

author
Professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies
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“Iran is playing with the fate of all people in the Middle East and has led an entire region to the brink of the abyss. The aim now is to stop Iran without further escalation. Iran's plan to sow further violence must not work. Israel has our full solidarity and can rely on us. We also do not forget the many dozens of Israeli hostages who are still being held captive in Hamas tunnels. They must finally be released.”

author
Foreign Minister of Germany
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“Iran's attack on the country will be met with a response. When we look ahead, we consider our steps. The launch of so many cruise missiles and drones into Israeli territory will be met with a response.”

author
Israeli armed forces chief
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“Iran's massive aerial attack on Israel was a spectacular and embarrassing failure. We've seen reporting that the Iranians meant to fail, and this spectacular and embarrassing failure was all by design. All of this is categorically false.”

author
White House national security spokesperson
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“Our commitment is ironclad to defending Israel and to helping Israel defend itself. As the president has said many times, we don't seek a wider war in the region. We don't seek a war with Iran.”

author
White House national security spokesperson
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“Russia surprisingly stands with the rest of the international community in that it does not want an escalation following Iran's attack on Israel. This could impede Russian interests region. It could embroil Iran in a war that would mean that Iran would be hardly capable of sending more weapons to Russia, and of course, it could engulf Russian troops in Syria and Lebanon in a possible escalation of this conflict into a regional one. Among the Russian establishment are pro-Israeli elements who would not want to have a confrontation with Israel. Israel has not joined sanctions [against Russia], it's not dedicated as an enemy country, Israel is not supplying weapons or military technology to Ukraine, so Russia would want to keep this status quo.”

author
Russian defence analyst
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“President Biden is rallying the G7 who will issue a condemnatory statement of Iran along these lines. In the Global South the response will be more measured. There will be calls for restraint, de-escalation and diplomacy without directly blaming Iran or Israel. Arab and Muslim public opinion will note how many Arab states deployed military resources to protect Israel while doing the opposite in the context of the mass starvation and genocide in Gaza.”

author
Associate professor of Middle East and Islamic politics at Georgetown University
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“Prime Minister Netanyahu is the architect of the relationship with the United States, and he's the architect of his coalition government. He is manipulating both of them. As far as he's concerned, he's looking for his best options. I think he is already discussing and negotiating with President Biden about the price for not responding to Iran that some might expect or his ministers want. Now the price could be a number of things: one, more American support. More unconditionality of American support - definitely clearing criticism of Israel's indiscriminately bombing Gaza and so forth. Netanyahu will probably get more money, he will get more aid, he will get more American support.”

author
Senior political analyst at Al Jazeera
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“We already know the war cabinet has not approved a response and the Americans had a big share in it, so it looks as if Israel won't respond for a while and we'll go back to our business in Gaza. Prime Minister Netanyahu still needs to resolve two things in Gaza: the release of captives and the Hamas battalions. I think Netanyahu might use this wave of support for Israel during the Iranian attack to go down to Rafah. But he cannot do it without fully coordinating with the Americans. This is the issue that is really bothering him, because without going back to Rafah he cannot describe the war as a victory.”

author
Former director of Israel’s foreign ministry
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“Iran has ignored our call, and those of many others, not to proceed with these reckless attacks. This escalation is a grave threat to the security of Israel and the entire region.”

author
Prime Minister of Australia
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“Israel's military intercepted 99 percent of the aerial threats launched at it on Saturday. The Nevatim air force base in the Negev desert in southern Israel suffered only light damage and is functioning. Iran thought it would paralyze the base. It failed.”

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Chief Israeli military spokesperson
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“A number of Iranian missiles fell inside Israeli territory, causing minor damage to a military base with no casualties. Only one little girl has been hurt, and we hope she will be well.”

author
Chief Israeli military spokesperson
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“It seems that Iranian leaders are determined to take action, but also seen to take action. What that indicates to me is that there are considerations of pride and prestige that are divorced from strategy and tactical utility that may indicate a more dangerous era than we thought. Iran may not have really counted the possibility its attack on Israel could take the focus off Gaza. The pressure that had been building on Israel to restrain from further actions in Gaza, that may have been lifted as a result of this attack.”

author
Associate Professor at the National Defense University in Washington DC
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“I will continue to engage with the White House to insist upon a proper response. The Biden Administration's undermining of Israel and appeasement of Iran have contributed to these terrible developments.”

author
US House of Representatives Speaker
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“I've just spoken with Prime Minister Netanyahu to reaffirm America's ironclad commitment to the security of Israel. I told him that Israel demonstrated a remarkable capacity to defend against and defeat even unprecedented attacks - sending a clear message to its foes that they cannot effectively threaten the security of Israel.”

author
President of the United States
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“If Iran's objective was to punish and isolate Israel, it appears to have fallen well short of that objective. The U.S. and Israeli militaries were able to defend against a complex attack. Given how significant this attack was, it is difficult to see how Israel cannot respond.”

author
Senior Fellow at Washington Institute for Near East Policy - Formerly the Pentagon's top Middle East policy official
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“With this irresponsible and unjustifiable attack, Iran is risking a regional conflagration. In these difficult times, Germany stands closely by Israel. We will now discuss further reactions closely with our G7 partners and allies.”

author
German government spokesperson
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