IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • David French
    David French “If Trump loses, there is no ready heir to his MAGA crown. Vance, Trump's vice-presidential nominee, would be saddled with at least partial responsibility for Trump's loss, and the American people already view him unfavorably.” 10 hours ago
  • Olaf Scholz
    Olaf Scholz “I believe that now is the time to discuss how to arrive at peace from this state of war, indeed at a faster pace.” 10 hours ago
  • Volodymyr Zelenskiy
    Volodymyr Zelenskiy “On the sidelines of the [Ambrosetti] Forum in Italy, I met with a delegation of the US Congress. We talked, in particular, about the victory plan for Ukraine - about some of its details, and we will present all the steps to US President Biden and both presidential candidates, Trump and Harris, in full. Our main focus now, at the beginning of the fall, is to strengthen the positions of Ukraine and Ukrainians as much as possible, protect our cities and villages from Russian terror, and, of course, provide more capabilities for our warriors on the frontlines.” 10 hours ago
  • Libby Lenkinski
    Libby Lenkinski “There were groups of protesters calling for a ceasefire as early as November and December [last year], and I think that number has been growing in a pretty steady way. The number of protesters had grown pretty dramatically in the past week, with an increasing number of Israelis protesting now understanding that a ceasefire is actually the only way that the captives will return to Israel. I think that's now a pretty common understanding among protesters. You do see a rising number of Israelis wanting this to end whether they are in the streets or not.” 17 hours ago
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#Iran

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #Iran linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“It just belies the imagination that the US has genuinely wanted these negotiations to succeed for the past seven months and has been unable to find a formula to make that work. I think the real US and Israeli objective in these talks is not to find the ceasefire formula, but rather to find a way to forestall or minimise a response to the recent Israeli assassinations in Beirut and Tehran. However, Hezbollah and Iran are not going to surely delay any response to Israel's actions in the region because of the sort of ongoing process (of ceasefire negotiations) that doesn't yield anything.”

author
Analyst at the Center for Conflict and Humanitarian Studies in Montreal
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“The Israeli army is trying to solve the problem of having a high number of wounded soldiers by drafting the ultra-Orthodox. Not only the military soldiers fighting in Gaza face a problem, but the whole society is exhausted and suffers from post-trauma. This explains much of the Israeli public disregard about the heavy casualties the Israeli military inflicted and the war crimes it implemented in the Gaza Strip. The Gaza ceasefire talks not only represent an issue of negotiations between Israel, Hamas and mediators, but a power struggle within Israel. My reading is that at this point, the person that faces more losses than Sinwar by agreeing to ceasefire is Netanyahu. If Netanyahu makes a deal, he will be domestically seen as surrendering to pressure from Defence Minister Yoav Gallant and the General Staff of the army. I'm afraid he's ready to take a gamble and face the risk of Hezbollah and Iran's retaliation.”

author
Professor of political science at Bar-Ilan University
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“The US is clearly signaling to Iran that [it] will be part of any fight ahead, likely to deter Iran from a significant retaliation against Israel.”

author
Fellow at the Middle East Council on Global Affairs
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“There are two other sources of potential trouble: the Middle East and China. Far too little attention is being paid to the risks that the war in Gaza escalates into a full-scale conflict between Israel and Iran. In the past, this kind of ratcheting up of tension would have led to a sharp increase in the cost of crude, but it hasn't happened. A Middle East-induced oil shock has been the dog that hasn't barked. For now. One reason rising tension in the Middle East has not been reflected in commodity markets is that China's growth prospects have taken a turn for the worse. The belief in the financial markets is that policymakers in Beijing will take action to stimulate the economy and that the slowdown will be temporary. Again, this is a questionable assumption.”

author
Guardian's economics editor
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“I think this is the first time we're really heading toward a potential full-scale regional confrontation. It's much more likely that we will see a combined, orchestrated attack against Israel from Iran and the so-called axis of resistance. This makes the situation much more complicated because the consequences of an Iranian and Hezbollah attack would probably be worse than what happened in April. That certainly brings us closer to the possibility of a regional campaign.”

author
Senior researcher at the Israeli-based Institute for National Security Studies
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“Strikes on Israel are being prepared from Iran, Yemen and Lebanon. They will certainly be carried out. Our joint response will be strong, sensitive and effective. We did not seek military escalation. It was Israel's decision. It was their choice. Now there will be days and nights of battles between us.”

author
Secretary-General of Hezbollah
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“Israelis blamed Netanyahu, as well as Israeli security and intelligence apparatuses for failing to prevent the attack. But now, Israel's military and political establishment appear to have partially redeemed themselves with the recent assassinations. But while many Israelis view the political killings as a victory against their enemies, they are concerned even resigned about a retaliatory attack by Iran and allied armed groups. It's like Israelis have schizophrenia. We are rocking the regional reality to its core and ignoring all warnings, and we appear extremely radical [in our moves]. On the other hand, [Israelis] are saying that these [assassinations] need to happen.”

author
Local expert on Israeli politics
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“Israel has routinely humiliated the Islamic Republic by assassinating high-level targets inside Iran, but Iran's retaliations have never deterred future Israeli operations. The parameters of an Iranian retaliation need to be face-saving but not life-threatening for the regime.”

author
Expert on Iran at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington
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“That [the Assassination of Hamas Political Leader Ismail Haniyeh] is an attempt to humiliate the Iranians by showing they can't protect their own guests at that ceremony. It signifies another crossing of multiple lines by Israel.”

author
President of the U.S./Middle East Project and former Israeli peace negotiator
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“The assassination of Hamas's Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran and Hezbollah's Fuad Shukr in Beirut underscores Israel's impressive intelligence-gathering efforts in those countries. Israel has achieved a major intelligence and tactical victory against Iran and against Hezbollah. The intelligence gathering necessary for such an operation is a testimony to Israel's capacity for strategic strikes.”

author
Senior political analyst at Al Jazeera
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“I don't think that it [the killing of Ismail Haniyeh] will in any way influence the chances for peace, because peace is not on the agenda altogether at this point. It may create some more difficulties in the process of reaching an agreement about the hostages. The fact that the Israeli government did not officially take responsibility for his killing will influence the extremity of the Iranian reaction. I think it will be somewhat more moderate than under different circumstances.”

author
Former Israeli Prime Minister
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“Nothing is resolved. For Israelis, the strikes [strike on Fuad Shukr a senior Hezbollah commander in Beirut and the killing in Iran of Hamas's political leader Ismail Haniyeh] lift the spirit here without solving any of the underlying issues. We are where we were.”

author
Israel’s former ambassador to Washington
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“If Putin cannot get everything he wants from Beijing, he will look to get it elsewhere, and there aren't a lot of supermarkets that cover his wish list - arms, labor and a willingness to pick a fight with Washington. Iran is one. North Korea is another. The point is that, while Putin recognizes his dependency on China, he can't afford to let Beijing dictate the course of the war effort - because as goes the war, so goes Putin.”

author
Director of the Russia Institute at King's College, London
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“I know there are those in Israel who will not agree with this plan. And will call for the war to continue indefinitely. Some are even in the government coalition. They've made it clear. They want to occupy Gaza. They want to keep fighting for years and hostages are not a priority for them. Well, I've urged leadership in Israel to stand behind this deal, despite whatever pressure comes. As someone who's had a lifelong commitment to Israel, as the only American president who has ever gone to Israel at a time of war, as someone who just sent the U.S. forces to directly defend Israel when it was attacked by Iran, I ask you to take a step back, think what will happen if this moment is lost. We can't lose this moment.”

author
President of the United States
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“But revenge is not a strategy. It is pure insanity that Israel is now more than six months into this war and the Israeli military leadership - and virtually the entire political class - has allowed Netanyahu to continue to pursue a 'total victory' there, including probably soon plunging deep into Rafah, without any exit plan or Arab partner lined up to step in once the war ends. If Israel ends up with an indefinite occupation of both Gaza and the West Bank, it would be a toxic military, economic and moral overstretch that would delight Israel's most dangerous foe, Iran, and repel all its allies in the West and the Arab world.”

author
New York Times foreign affairs Opinion columnist
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“By including the Ukraine package in a bill that also provides military aid to Israel and Taiwan, the US shows the world that it equals Ukraine's and Israel's archenemies - Russia and Iran. This is a mighty geopolitical slap for China. As the trade turnover between Russia and China rose to $240bn last year, the more the US pushes Beijing, the more discounts for oil and gas China gets from Russia.”

author
Kyiv-based analyst
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“The US is not projecting strength under [Biden's] leadership, and it's harming Israel and other countries. He said 'Don't' at the start of the war - to Hezbollah, as well as Iran. We saw the result. If I were an American citizen with the right to vote, I'd vote for Trump and Republicans.”

author
Minister of Diaspora Affairs of Israel
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“We are in a situation where basically everybody can claim victory. Iran can say that it took revenge, Israel can say it defeated the Iranian attack and the United States can say it successfully deterred Iran and defended Israel. If we get into another round of tit for tat, it can easily spiral out of control, not just for Iran and Israel, but for the rest of the region and the entire world.”

author
Iran director of the International Crisis Group
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“There's been this united public response defending Israel on Iran, with strong private messaging to Israel, 'Don't you dare'. While on Gaza, there's a lot of public hand-wringing but a lack of will to be tough in private. Gaza doesn't directly pull the United States into a war. So, they still believe they can tiptoe through the raindrops.”

author
President of the U.S./Middle East Project and former Israeli peace negotiator
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“If every time Israel decides to punish Iran, it creates a massive tumult in Washington and London, these countries are going to pressure Israel. There's going to be a major international effort to build cordons around Israel's behavior toward Iran.”

author
Professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies
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