“If Seoul sends messages to the North, it will likely be about requesting Pyongyang to respond to Seoul's calls through communication lines firs. And then, it will urge the North to implement the Comprehensive Military Agreement and to activate the Inter-Korean Joint Military Committee. Though there were previous military provocations around the Foundation Day [September 9th, North Korea's regime foundation], chances are slim for the North to jump to a nuclear test right away, given the current stalemate in inter-Korean and U.S.-North Korea circumstances. Also, there are no signs of the Kim [Kim Jong-un] regime preparing a massive military parade right now. If there's any provocation, a test fire of new short-range ballistic missiles might be possible.”
01 Sep 2021
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