“Unless he begins testing them again, North Korea will never rise to the status of something that Joe Biden will use political capital to tackle. I do think at this point the North Koreans just threatened to test ICBMs [inter-continental ballistic missile] and nuclear weapons if they do not see any progress in their goals - getting Joe Biden's attention and the possibility of sanctions relief. The Biden administration will not respond to the specific threat beyond the "normal tough-sounding statements. However, if Kim [Kim Jong-un] does test an ICBM or nuclear weapon, that would violate Washington's unofficial red line that such tests mean more pressure on the DPRK.”
20 Jan 2022
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