• Kaja Kallas
  • Moussa Faki Mahamat
  • Adrian Zenz
  • Matthew Kroenig
  • Andriy Yermak
  • Vitaly Savelyev
  • Oleksandr Korniyenko
  • Dainius Kreivys
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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Jason Straziuso
    Jason Straziuso “The food and water and medical supplies situation is critical and if this continues, then we move towards catastrophic, or even more catastrophic, consequences from the situation that we now see. International Committee of the Red Cross is constantly asking Israeli officials to allow access to humanitarian goods following the shutdown of the crossings. The Israeli officials know that we are desperate to bring in more supply trucks which we have waiting to cross the border as soon as they're able to. There's conversations also taking place about the need to spare civilian lives - no targeting of civilians, no targeting of civilian objects, meaning buildings, schools, medical facilities. Those talks have been happening for months.” 40 minutes ago
  • Marwan Bishara
    Marwan Bishara “Something incredibly important is happening in the world today. Israel is getting a beating around the world, while Palestine is getting a beating in the Middle East. Palestine the cause - whether it's at the United Nations or Western capitals or university campuses - is certainly gaining ground.” 44 minutes ago
  • Itamar Yaar
    Itamar Yaar “The American move to pause big bomb transfers is largely symbolic. But it's a sign of trouble and could become more of a problem if it is sustained. It's not some kind of American embargo on American munitions support, but I think it's some kind of diplomatic message to Mr Netanyahu that he needs to take into consideration American interests more than he has over the last few months. It's kind of a signal, a 'be careful'.” 17 hours ago
  • Vitalii Barabash
    Vitalii Barabash “Around 700 people stayed in Avdiivka. The situation is not easy; regular checks are ongoing. The excitement of the majority of those who remained and waited for the Russians has long faded. Even those who didn't care admit now that it was far better under Ukraine's control. Because there is no evidence of democracy or that it was 'liberators' that came to them.” 19 hours ago
  • Alan Boswell
    Alan Boswell “The Sudanese have basically been forgotten, obviously there's the war in Gaza which has taken a lot of attention. Frankly it would take very high-level political focus on trying to pressure those who are arming the various sides and have the actual belligerence themselves to stop this. Obviously, the United Nations tools are not very functional.” 21 hours ago
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#inflation

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #inflation linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Andrew Yeo
Andrew Yeo

“He [Yoon Suk-yeol] is unpopular as a result of the lack of real progress on domestic political and economic issues. Prices and inflation remain high, housing is expensive and political polarisation remains high.”

author
Professor of politics and director of Asian Studies at The Catholic University of America in Washington, D.C.
10 Apr 2024 6 3
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Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas

“The global economy continues to display remarkable resilience, with inflation declining steadily and growth holding up. The chance of a 'soft landing' has increased. We are very far from a global recession scenario.”

author
Chief Economist, International Monetary Fund
30 Jan 2024 4 2
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Tim Duy
Tim Duy

“Powell is not stupid. If he set expectations for more than 75 basis points of rate cuts, he did it for a reason. As lower inflation filters through the economy, firms that this year were able to raise prices will find it more difficult to do so next year, and may need to turn to trimming labor costs to protect their profits. Signaling easier policy ahead is a bid to head off those kinds of nasty disinflationary dynamics.”

author
Chief Economist at SGH Macro Advisors
22 Dec 2023 4 2
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Janet Yellen
Janet Yellen

“I see no reason, on the path that we're currently on, why inflation shouldn't gradually decline to levels consistent with the Federal Reserve's 2% target.”

author
United States Secretary of the Treasury
12 Dec 2023 2 2
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Liam Peach
Liam Peach

“Russia's central bank is a hawkish institution that takes its commitment to inflation fighting seriously. With fiscal policy set to remain loose, the economy likely to continue overheating and inflation pressures to build further, there will be more pressure on the central bank to tighten monetary policy.”

author
Senior emerging markets economist
15 Sep 2023 2 3
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Keqiang Li
Keqiang Li

“Global inflation remains high, global economic and trade growth is losing steam, and external attempts to suppress and contain China are escalating. At home, the foundation for stable growth needs to be consolidated, insufficient demand remains a pronounced problem, and the expectations of private investors and businesses are unstable.”

author
Premier of the People's Republic of China
05 Mar 2023 1 3
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Kristalina Georgieva
Kristalina Georgieva

“2023 will be a tough year. Why? Because the three big economies, [the] US, EU, China, are all slowing down simultaneously. China, the world's second-largest economy, is likely to grow at or below global growth for the first time in 40 years as COVID-19 cases surge following the dismantling of its ultra-strict 'zero-COVID' policy. That has never happened before. And looking into next year, for three, four, five, six months the relaxation of COVID restrictions will mean bushfire COVID cases throughout China. I was in China last week, in a bubble in the city where there is 'zero COVID'. But that is not going to last once the Chinese people start travelling. Before COVID, China would deliver 34, 35, 40 percent of global growth. It is not doing it anymore. It is actually quite a stressful for … the Asian economies. When I talk to Asian leaders, all of them start with this question, 'What is going to happen with China? Is China going to return to a higher level of growth?' The US is most resilient. The US may avoid recession. We see the labour market remaining quite strong. This is, however, [a] mixed blessing because if the labour market is very strong, the Fed may have to keep interest rates tighter for longer to bring inflation down.”

author
Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund
01 Jan 2023 8 6
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Janet Yellen
Janet Yellen

“I believe by the end of next year you will see much lower inflation if there's not ... an unanticipated shock. There's a risk of a recession. But ... it certainly isn't, in my view, something that is necessary to bring inflation down.”

author
United States Secretary of the Treasury
11 Dec 2022 2 3
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Pao-Lin Tien
Pao-Lin Tien

“For the US, if inflation does not show signs of cooling in the last few months of 2022, and measures of inflation expectations start to climb, it would force the Federal Reserve to continue with aggressive rate hikes beyond 2022 into the spring of 2023 - in my opinion that's when the economy will tip into a recession. I think a similar situation would apply to other countries as well, if central banks are forced to increase rates aggressively and persistently, either to defend their currency or to tame inflation, then a recession is inevitable.”

author
Assistant professor of economics at George Washington University
29 Sep 2022 5 3
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Kang Min-Joo
Kang Min-Joo

“The upbeat result would give the BOK some relief that it can focus on its inflation-targeting mandate for the time being. The main surprise was, of course, stronger than expected consumption, which was mainly driven by the reopening. However, we think that the reopening-boosted spending is expected to lose its initial steam and normalise in the current quarter. And, going forward, consumer's purchasing power is expected to weaken as the faster-than-expected interest rate hikes should put more burden on debt payment and consumer spending, while inflation is expected to accelerate during the current quarter.”

author
Senior economist for South Korea and Japan at ING
26 Jul 2022 4 2
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Toru Nishihama
Toru Nishihama

“China's economy has stood on the edge of falling into stagflation, although the worst is over as of the May-June period. You can rule out the possibility of a recession, or two straight quarters of contraction. Given the tame growth, China's government is likely to deploy economic stimulus measures from now on to rev up its flagging growth, but hurdles are high for PBOC to cut interest rates further as it would fan inflation which has been kept relatively low at present.”

author
Chief economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute in Tokyo
15 Jul 2022 4 1
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Christian Lundblad
Christian Lundblad

“We've essentially ground our way back to where we were pre-Covid. So, this doesn't necessarily look like a dire situation, despite the fact that we're struggling with inflation and economic declines in some other dimensions.”

author
Professor of finance at the Kenan-Flagler Business School at the University of North Carolina
08 Jul 2022 3 2
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Bank of Korea
Bank of Korea

“The future price trend is expected to surpass our forecast made in May given changes in various circumstances, including accelerating international oil prices. There is a possibility that this year's price growth exceeds the level (of 4.7 percent) in 2008. Going forward, consumer prices will likely continue their upward move by staying over a 5 percent rise for the time being as inflation pressures are mounting from both the supply and demand sides.”

author
Bank of Korea biannual report
21 Jun 2022 3 3
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Elvira Nabiullina
Elvira Nabiullina

“Thanks to these factors, inflation is falling faster than we expected. This allows us to lower the key rate today without creating new pro-inflationary risks. We allow for the possibility of further easing of the key rate at upcoming meetings. The first months (since February) were a time for tactical decisions: we had to counteract the first sanctions shock. We managed to protect financial stability and not allow an inflation spiral to unfold. But this, of course, absolutely does not mean that we can breathe easily.”

author
Head of the Central Bank of Russia
26 May 2022 3 3
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Vladimir Putin
Vladimir Putin

“Western governments guided by short-sighted, inflated political ambitions and by Russophobia, deal a much harder blow to their own national interests, their own economies and the well-being of their own citizens. We see it above all by looking at the sharp rise of inflation in Europe which is close to 20% in some countries. It is obvious that... the continuation of the obsession with sanctions will inevitably lead to the most difficult consequences for the European Union, for its citizens. Russia is confidently managing in the face of external challenges.”

author
President of Russia
12 May 2022 5 5
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Emil Dzhuraev
Emil Dzhuraev

“Kyrgyzstan's foreign minister stated during a meeting of the Organization of Islamic Countries that Kyrgyzstan stands for a peaceful solution to all issues and that it firmly adheres to all UN norms and to the principle of territorial integrity, in particular. In Kyrgyzstan, there are serious concerns about the likely consequences of open criticism of Russia, both in terms of security and politics. However, regardless of whether there is such criticism or not, the effect of economic downturn in Russia are already being felt here. There is growing inflation and we may expect shortages of basic products in the coming months.”

author
Kyrgyz political scientist
25 Mar 2022 3 3
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Lin Jiang
Lin Jiang

“This round of financial sanctions will have on Russia is that the country won't be able to channel its foreign exchange reserves deposited at overseas banks into Russia, thus immobilizing a powerful tool to prop up the ruble while it is under severe pressure of depreciation. If the ruble is left to plunge, it will frighten away investors, whether domestic or abroad, causing capital to flee Russia and triggering inflation risks.”

author
Professor of economics at Sun Yat-sen University
01 Mar 2022 6 3
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Erkan Kidak
Erkan Kidak

“Two prerequisites must be met for the working class in Turkey to revolt. The first of these is the decline in purchasing power, and the second is the weakening of their bosses and the government. As both prerequisites have been fulfilled, workers employed in different sectors all over Turkey have revolted. I think that the strike wave will continue in 2022, as inflation continues to increase and political instability manifests itself. I predict that 2022 will be characterised as the year of the strike in Turkey.”

author
Research assistant at the Department of Labour Economics and Industrial Relations at Turkey’s Pamukkale University
15 Feb 2022 5 4
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