• Kaja Kallas
  • Moussa Faki Mahamat
  • Adrian Zenz
  • Matthew Kroenig
  • Andriy Yermak
  • Vitaly Savelyev
  • Oleksandr Korniyenko
  • Dainius Kreivys
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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Boris Pistorius
    Boris Pistorius “Russia is already producing weapons and ammunition beyond its need for conducting an aggressive war against Ukraine. With increased spending on armaments and the streamlining of the military economy, a significant portion or part of what is produced no longer goes to the front line, but ends up in warehouses. Now you can be naive and say he's doing it just out of caution. As a sceptical person, I would say in this case that he's doing it because he has plans or could have them.” 2 hours ago
  • Emmanuel Macron
    Emmanuel Macron “There is a risk our Europe could die. We are not equipped to face the risks. Russia must not be allowed to win in Ukraine. Europeans should give preference to buying European military equipment. We must produce more, we must produce faster, and we must produce as Europeans.” 2 hours ago
  • Aleksey Kushch
    Aleksey Kushch “By including the Ukraine package in a bill that also provides military aid to Israel and Taiwan, the US shows the world that it equals Ukraine's and Israel's archenemies - Russia and Iran. This is a mighty geopolitical slap for China. As the trade turnover between Russia and China rose to $240bn last year, the more the US pushes Beijing, the more discounts for oil and gas China gets from Russia.” 3 hours ago
  • Nikolay Mitrokhin
    Nikolay Mitrokhin “The aid is a surprisingly exact match of Ukrainian military's needs that mostly has a deficit of air defence weaponry of all kinds and also needs to replenish its arsenal of tank destroyers, anti-infantry landmines and other kinds of ammunition. It's obviously needed to deliver infantry and other ground troops to the front line but not for an advance - otherwise the US would have given tanks.” 3 hours ago
  • Ihor Romanenko
    Ihor Romanenko “The aid can improve the situation on the 1,000km-long (620-mile-long) front line. But the aid looks like a handout to show that we haven't been forgotten, no more than that. They're always late, they hit the brakes, they're afraid. All of that is done to catch up [with Russia], but wars are won by those who act ahead of time.” 3 hours ago
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#Donbas

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #Donbas linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Robert Fico
Robert Fico

“According to international law, we all recognise another country's territorial integrity, sovereignty, and the inviolability of its borders. This is a sound theory of international law. But the Russians will never give up Crimea, Donbas, or Luhansk. There is no military solution and never will be. There will only be 100,000 more dead on one side or the other. The only thing that can help is for NATO to interfere, and this is World War III.”

author
Slovak Prime Minister
17 Apr 2024 8 1
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Igor Girkin
Igor Girkin

“On the whole, the operation ended in a strategic failure of our troops. The enemy has NOT been ousted from the Donbas in all the main directions, in most directions - not moved at all. Russian military had exhausted weapon stockpiles, ammunition and manpower that will be necessary for further offensive operations. That's why Bakhmut was given increased attention for the last two months - it was necessary to achieve at least some result 'for propaganda' in order to 'take a breath' afterwards. And so we won, sort of.”

author
Former Russian soldier and intelligence officer who led the original 2014-15 uprising of east Ukrainian separatists
21 May 2023 2 1
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Nikolay Mitrokhin
Nikolay Mitrokhin

“The city remains important as a centre of Ukrainian forces' secondary line of defence in Donbas. But after the loss of Soledar and a virtual surrounding of Bakhmut from three-and-a-half sides out of four, its significance decreased significantly. So, its loss will reflect on the war insignificantly.”

author
Research Fellow at Bremen University
06 Mar 2023 3 1
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Emmanuel Karagiannis
Emmanuel Karagiannis

“The Wagner Group has its own tanks, artillery and drones, while maintaining an independent command and control system. In effect, it functions as a combined arms force. This victory is definitely credited to the Wagner Group, which is bound to affect relations with the Russian army. The battle of Bakhmut is the key to both sides' future plans in Donbas. If the Russians manage to occupy the town, they will try to regain some of the territory lost since September. If the Ukrainians defend the town successfully, they can ask for more western support for their spring counterattack in the region. At present, the Ukrainian army does not seem to have either the reserves or the equipment to push deeper into Donbas.”

author
International security expert from King’s College London
19 Jan 2023 4 4
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John Feffer
John Feffer

“Although Serbia hasn't imposed sanctions, it also didn't recognise the breakaway regions, and Vucic was unhappy with Putin's explicit use of Kosovo as a precedent to justify the independent status of the Donbas. Serbia is also dependent on EU assistance, so that serves as a serious brake on any steps Belgrade takes toward Kosovo.”

author
Director of Foreign Policy in Focus
15 Dec 2022 6 5
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Volodymyr Zelenskiy
Volodymyr Zelenskiy

“Bakhmut, Soledar, Maryinka, Kreminna. For a long time, there is no living place left on the land of these areas that have not been damaged by shells and fire. The occupiers actually destroyed Bakhmut, another Donbas city that the Russian army turned into burned ruins.”

author
President of Ukraine
10 Dec 2022 6 3
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Serhiy Haidai
Serhiy Haidai

“We would have simply lost many soldiers. We withdrew [Severodonetsk] well and in an organised fashion and without losing even one fighter. We will hold [Lysychansk] for as long as possible. If there aren't any big losses, we will hold it. The Russians were unlikely to end the war even if they captured the entire Donbas region. Only force can stop Putin.”

author
Governor of Luhansk region
26 Jun 2022 5 4
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Volodymyr Zelenskiy
Volodymyr Zelenskiy

“This is a very brutal battle, very tough, perhaps one of the most difficult throughout this war. Sievierodonetsk remains the epicentre of the encounter in Donbas ... Largely, that is where the fate of our Donbas is being decided now.”

author
President of Ukraine
08 Jun 2022 2 3
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Volodymyr Zelenskiy
Volodymyr Zelenskiy

“The absolutely heroic defence of Donbas is ongoing. It is absolutely felt that the occupiers didn't believe the resistance of our military would be so strong and now they are trying to bring in new resources towards the Donbas.”

author
President of Ukraine
07 Jun 2022 2 2
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Volodymyr Zelenskiy
Volodymyr Zelenskiy

“Russian troops again fired at the border areas of the Sumy region, Mykolaiv, cities and communities of the Zaporizhzhia region, Kharkiv region. The situation in Severodonetsk, where street fighting continues, remains extremely difficult. It is also difficult in Lysychansk, Marinka, Kurakhove, other cities and communities of Donbas. Constant air strikes, artillery and missile fire. As of this morning, the total number of various Russian missiles used against Ukraine is already 2,503. Our heroes hold their positions and do everything to inflict maximum losses on the enemy. I am grateful to each of our defenders who are approaching the day when Russia will have to leave Donbas alone.”

author
President of Ukraine
04 Jun 2022 10 4
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Kyrylo Budanov
Kyrylo Budanov

“I'm optimistic. The breaking point will be in the second part of August. Most of the active combat actions will have finished by the end of this year. As a result, we will renew Ukrainian power in all our territories that we have lost including Donbas and the Crimea.”

author
Head of Ukraine's military intelligence service
14 May 2022 3 1
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Avril Haines
Avril Haines

“We assess President Putin is preparing for a prolonged conflict in Ukraine during which he still intends to achieve goals beyond the Donbas. We assess that Putin's strategic goals have probably not changed, suggesting he regards the decision in late March to refocus Russian forces on the Donbas is only a temporary shift to regain the initiative after the Russian military's failure to capture Kyiv.”

author
US Director of National Intelligence
10 May 2022 6 2
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Jack Keane
Jack Keane

“Our assessment is that they're (Russians) having to pull some forces away from the axes leading to the control of the Donbas region because of what has happened in Kharkiv, and it just underscores the challenges they have.”

author
Retired American four-star General now chairman of the Institute for the Study of War think tank
10 May 2022 4 2
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Serhiy Haidai
Serhiy Haidai

“The heaviest fighting is going on towards Severodonetsk [but] all free settlements in the Luhansk region are hotspots. Right now, there are shooting battles in [the villages] of Bilohorivka, Voivodivka and towards Popasna. It [new weaponry] is arriving now. Only the military will decide when should they use it. But we can see results even now. And new military supplements can change the course of the war here in Donbas.”

author
Governor of Luhansk region
08 May 2022 7 3
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Mathieu Boulege
Mathieu Boulege

“Putin will not admit defeat. The Kremlin will not compromise. Right before May 9 there will be a big moment for Putin to say, mission accomplished, this is my version of history. This is my legacy. It needs to be presented as a mission accomplished. Forget about taking over Kyiv. We've flattened Mariupol, we've liberated more parts of Donbas. Maybe they will announce a republic in Kherson.”

author
Senior research fellow at the Chatham House think tank in London
06 May 2022 6 3
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Sergey Bizyukin
Sergey Bizyukin

“They began with announcements about taking Kyiv in three days, and now they are explaining that it is impossible to take Donbas within several months. Everything he's [Putin] been trying to build in more than 20 years is falling apart like a house of cards.”

author
Russian activist and historian who fled Russia in 2019
19 Apr 2022 3 2
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Nikolay Mitrokhin
Nikolay Mitrokhin

“So, they have three weeks and about 200 kilometres (124 miles) that they will have to cross in the endless springtime steppe crisscrossed with deep ravines and riverbeds, to encircle the Ukrainian forces. Instead, Russia's top brass may decide to leave Donbas alone and concentrate on taking Kharkiv, Ukraine's second-largest city with a predominantly Russian-speaking population that has been bombarded for weeks. It would be 'comfortable' to Putin to report the [takeover of] Kharkiv on May 9.”

author
Research Fellow at Bremen University
19 Apr 2022 6 3
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Pavel Luzin
Pavel Luzin

“He was partially stationed in the rebel Ukrainian regions known collectively as Donbas. Therefore, he's known the military theatre in eastern Ukraine for a long time. The appointment marks Moscow's attempt to rid itself of its Achilles heel in the war - the coherent, centralised management of its forces on the ground. As the most advanced general in this area, Dvornikov was appointed to rid of the most serious problems in the light of the new attempt to advance in eastern Ukraine.”

author
Russia-based expert with the Jamestown Foundation, a think tank in Washington, DC
12 Apr 2022 5 1
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