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  • Amichai Chikli
    Amichai Chikli “The US is not projecting strength under [Biden's] leadership, and it's harming Israel and other countries. He said 'Don't' at the start of the war - to Hezbollah, as well as Iran. We saw the result. If I were an American citizen with the right to vote, I'd vote for Trump and Republicans.” 5 hours ago
  • Nikolay Mitrokhin
    Nikolay Mitrokhin “The return of Crimea is absolutely unrealistic. Before the failure of Ukraine's counteroffensive last summer there was a chance to return the annexed peninsula had Ukrainian forces reached the Azov Sea and started shelling the Crimean bridge and the Kerch Strait that divides the Azov and Black seas. But now it's hardly real to penetrate Russian defence farther than the takeover of the Kinburn peninsula.” 5 hours ago
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#Covid-19

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #Covid-19 linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“By now it should be clear to the Chinese leadership that it is unrealistic to hope to eliminate COVID-19 entirely through lockdowns and repeated testing, given the Omicron variant's high transmissibility and the large number of asymptomatic cases. The recent protests themselves have not dented Xi's political authority, but unless it adapts, the government may encounter a growing political backlash against its COVID-19 policy.”

author
Assistant Director and Senior Research Fellow of the East Asian Institute, National University of Singapore.
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“We often pretend that China has a choice in terms of 'zero Covid' versus opening up. There never was a choice. The simple fact is that China is not ready for a wave on that scale.”

author
Virologist at the University of Hong Kong
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“People have been incredibly patient with lockdown measures but authorities must not abuse emergency policies. These unprecedented protests show that people are at the end of their tolerance for excessive Covid-19 restrictions. The Chinese government must immediately review its Covid-19 policies to ensure that they are proportionate and time-bound. All quarantine measures that pose threats to personal safety and unnecessarily restrict freedom of movement must be suspended.”

author
Amnesty International's Deputy Regional Director
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“Ploughing on with zero-Covid could indicate an information deficit. Where nobody really dares to tell Xi Jinping things because he's so powerful.”

author
Senior fellow for China studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)
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“Often, the heads of different departments and companies attend one meeting in the morning about enhancing dynamic zero, and then in the afternoon a meeting about economic growth. The tensions are within Xi's own model for governing the country. The tensions really arise from him.”

author
Independent political commentator in Beijing
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“So far, the North has reported one Omicron-related death, it is expected that the North will not accept aid from the outside world, especially the Western world, for a while. However, if the number of Omicron deaths soar, the North will have no option but to request China's assistance first, and then they may consider the Western world's aid if the situation gets out of control for the regime. Potential inter-Korean quarantine cooperation can help the two sides to lower military tensions and resume talks. South Korea may be able to provide a coronavirus-relief package to North Korea through China or other international organizations if it remains reluctant to receive help. Any inter-Korean cooperation in fighting COVID-19 will not be easy, because the South Korean government is now led by hawkish figures, who are describing North Korea's short range ballistic missile launch as a serious provocation.”

author
Director of the Center for North Korean Studies at the Sejong Institute
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“The country has been testing about 1,400 people each week, which is not nearly enough to survey 350,000 people with symptoms. What is more worrisome is the sheer number of symptomatic people. Using a conservative case fatality rate of 1% and assuming the surge is due to an Omicron variant of COVID-19, North Korea can expect 3,500 deaths from this outbreak.”

author
Lecturer on Global Health and Social Medicine at Harvard Medical School
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“I'm very worried where this is going because the current lockdown in Shanghai has been looking like it is going to end after this May holiday which means most people can probably walk around their neighbourhoods but for most factories around the East coast they are not in a very good condition. Taking notice of what is happening in Shanghai, many other cities are taking precautionary measures - even with one COVID case a whole city can be locked down. We might be looking at a situation where 30 cities might be locked down simultaneously. That is hugely disruptive to the supply chain.”

author
Chief economist at Hang Seng Bank
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“We feel the same way about the problems everyone has raised and voiced. A lot of our work has not been enough, and there's still a big gap from everyone's expectations. We will do our best to improve. The epidemic prevention and control is now at the most critical moment, and we cannot tolerate the slightest slack.”

author
Shanghai's vice mayor
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“A new meta-analysis of standardised sero-prevalence study revealed that the true number of infections could be as much as 97 times higher than the number of confirmed reported cases. This suggests that more than two-thirds of all Africans have been exposed to the COVID-19 virus. The focus was very much on testing people who were symptomatic when there were challenges in having access to testing supplies and this resulted in under-representing the true number of people who have been exposed and are infected by the virus.”

author
WHO regional director for Africa
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“I agree with the easing of restrictions, because you can't think of it as an emergency after two years. We just have to avoid thinking that COVID is no longer there. And therefore maintain the strictly necessary measures, which are essentially the continuous monitoring and tracking of cases, and the maintenance of the obligation to wear a mask in closed or very crowded places.”

author
Professor of immunology at Italy's University of Padua
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“We can see that there are people who genuinely are there to protest their concerns about mandates and how it affects their families and their finances and way of life. But we also see a large component of conspiracy theorists, both about COVID and QAnon and the Great Reset, and we see right-wing extremists, as well.”

author
Post-doctoral fellow with The Disinformation Project at Simon Fraser University
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“With so few cases in Hong Kong, seniors showed a rational hesitancy to the vaccine. When there was no COVID in the community and no expectation there would be COVID, and seniors worried about side effects, you can see why they'd be hesitant. It's basically risky to pursue Zero COVID if you can't be confident that you can deliver Zero COVID.”

author
Infectious disease epidemiologist at the University of Hong Kong
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“The key factors in our GDP growth forecast include COVID-19's impact on domestic demand, as well as overseas demand; the tightness of the supply chain, such as via high freight costs and the shortage of semiconductor chips. The property market is now undergoing massive M&As [Mergers and acquisitions], and the main potential buyers should be state-owned developers. We expect proactive fiscal policies, such as building more infrastructure projects and loosening monetary policies through cutting interest rates, to support the economy.”

author
ING's chief economist for Greater China
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“The pandemic is moving into a different phase … We think that we're moving now, especially with the vaccination expected to increase, into what might become a kind of endemic living with the virus. Against the odds, including huge inequities in access to vaccinations, we've weathered the COVID-19 storm with resilience and determination.”

author
WHO regional director for Africa
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“There are a few other things going on in the world right now, some of you may have noticed. We have a bit of a challenge with Ukraine and Russian aggression. We're working 24/7 on that, but we know, the [US] president [Joe Biden] knows better than anyone else, that so much of this century is going to be shaped by what happens here in the Indo-Pacific region. The Indo-Pacific is the fastest-growing region in the world, accounting for two-thirds of global economic growth over the past five years and home to half of the world's population. What matters in the region matters around the world, and challenges such as climate change and the COVID-19 pandemic cannot be tackled by any nation alone. More than ever before, we need partnerships, we need alliances, we need coalitions of countries willing to put their efforts, their resources, their minds into tackling these problems. What really drives us is a shared vision of a free and open society.”

author
U.S. Secretary of State
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“The previous scheme is no longer realistic in light of our limited resources, and takes massive social and economic costs compared with our medical needs. The goal of our new Omicron response system is to minimise serious cases and deaths by focusing on diagnosing and treating high risk groups, and to prevent the saturation and collapse of our medical capacity.”

author
South Korea health ministry spokesman
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“When you say that a disease [has] transitioned from epidemic to endemic, there are no hard and fast rules to determine that. Once COVID-19 loses that ability through enough immunity … I think the world is going to get to endemicity, but it's going to be on different timelines depending upon where you are at. I think that from the very first day in the COVID-19 pandemic, it was always going to be the case that this became an endemic respiratory virus. The main priority was to get more tools, like vaccines, antivirals, and monoclonal antibodies, that would help to reduce the strain on hospitals and health systems. Omicron has accelerated this process … we are basically at the cusp of endemicity and it may be the case that after Omicron surge washes over the countries of the world, we will be clearly in the endemic phase.”

author
Infectious disease expert at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security
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“Only Hong Kong and China are saying they are trying to eradicate the virus. It would have worked if other countries did the same but the fact they don't think that way means the virus is always flowing.”

author
Professor at the National University of Singapore’s Business School
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