“Neither [China and United States] has, or likely will achieve, the credible capability to attain all-out victory against the other, in light of the nuclear arsenals available to each side. Were China to attempt to take Taiwan by force and fail, the former would not simply abandon its mission. Instead, it would try other means, be they military or economic, to annex Taiwan, leading to a prolonged conflict. Conversely, were China to attack and win a fight against Taiwanese and U.S.-allied forces, an embittered U.S. and its allies would be certain to try to open another battlefront against China at a later stage, further endangering world peace.”
19 Jan 2022
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