“North Korea is not going to surrender its nuclear weapons, no matter what. The only topic they are willing to talk about is not the pipe dream of denuclearization but rather issues related to arms control. Kim may benefit, however, from the Washington-Beijing confrontation, which increases North Korea's strategic value to China. Instead of growth, North Korea will have stagnation, but not an acute crisis. For Kim Jong-un and his elite, it's an acceptable compromise.”
14 Dec 2021
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