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  • Chandrachur Singh
    Chandrachur Singh “The opposition - a consortium of nearly two dozen parties - has not been able to rally people around economic distress despite raising it as a prominent election issue. The problem with the opposition is that it is a coming together of parties with divergent views whose only agenda seems to be to dislodge Modi. To the people, that doesn't seem to be a good enough agenda. The fact that the opposition has not projected a face against Modi is also an issue. Rahul Gandhi is slowly emerging as that leader, but in terms of perception, he is still far behind Modi.” 4 hours ago
  • Neelanjan Sircar
    Neelanjan Sircar “A large part of what the BJP [Bharatiya Janata Party] does is thinking about how to centralise all political attribution on Modi. Its campaign promises are pitched as Modi's guarantees. This is the strategy of a party where the leader is a cult figure and the party is the vehicle for the leader. Whether it's economic distress or even issues like violence in Manipur, Modi is not directly sullied. People may blame other leaders of the BJP. In regional elections, as a consequence, BJP might be voted out. But it is not anger against Modi.” 4 hours ago
  • Benjamin Netanyahu
    Benjamin Netanyahu “The idea that we will stop the war before achieving all its objectives is out of the question. We will enter Rafah and we will eliminate the Hamas battalions there - with or without a deal, in order to achieve the total victory.” 5 hours ago
  • Nour Odeh
    Nour Odeh “For a while, there was a lot of cautious optimism up until this morning, and then the prime minister announced he will order an invasion of Rafah with or without a deal - in essence trampling all of these ceasefire talks. This is what the families of the captives had feared. This is what the negotiators feared. Netanyahu's comments came after he held meetings with the most right-wing members of his coalition government, including Itamar Ben-Gvir. It's interesting, every time Blinken comes to the region - catching the tailwind of some optimism - something like this happens, and he ends up going home with nothing to show for all this political momentum.” 5 hours ago
  • Randall Kuhn
    Randall Kuhn “Put simply, the situation in Gaza is it's completely intolerable at this point. We're on the border of famine and for us as a university, we have to reckon with the fact that every university in Gaza has been destroyed. As a professor, I find it repugnant to sit by while Palestinian professors are being killed, while academic buildings are being bombed relentlessly.” 5 hours ago
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#Abiy Ahmed

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #Abiy Ahmed linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] has continuously lied on humanitarian aid and the presence of Eritrean soldiers, among other things. It wouldn't be rational to take his word. A truce as with any other peace deal should be formalized and transparent, with mediators providing some guarantees. With such a framework absent, one shouldn't be hopeful.”

author
Researcher and political analyst on the Horn of Africa
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“The West needs to make up for its mistakes in Ethiopia. It misjudged Abiy [Abiy Ahmed]. It empowered Isaias [Isaias Afwerki]. Now the issue is whether a country of 110 million people can be prevented from unraveling.”

author
Former European Union Special Representative for the Horn of Africa
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“From that day, Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] felt he was one of the most influential personalities in the world. He felt he had a lot of international support, and that if he went to war in Tigray, nothing would happen. And he was right.”

author
Former senior Abiy administration official now in exile in Europe
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“I was amazed when I heard. When a leader leaves his chair… and his throne it is to rescue his country. His focus is not to live, but to rescue this country, and I sobbed when he said 'follow me' and went to the front line.”

author
Ethiopian 42-year-old driver and new recruit
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“Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] is risking his life and he's also risking the lives of those who are going to be alongside himself. The calculation here from Abiy's administration is because … that many armed grounds are converging around Addis Ababa, he sees it fit as part of a psychological operation to inspire other Ethiopians to join the [national army] and fight this war and push back the Tigrayans. Ethiopia is a huge country; if it descends into anarchy then we are going have a huge problem of stability in the entire Horn of Africa.”

author
Co-founder and chairman of Horn International Institute for Strategic Studies
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“Diplomats have to find a political way. Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] cannot win this war. The Ethiopian army is relatively weakened. They are losing cities and his going to the battlefront doesn't change anything - negotiations are the only way out of this.”

author
Expert in Ethiopian politics at the University of Toronto
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“It is a gamble in the sense will people follow him? [Abiy Ahmed] Because I think that's the intention, that he was trying to rally the Ethiopian base, the nationalist base to join him at the battlefront to fight back the advancing Tigrayan forces. The question is, will people in thousands or hundreds of thousands join him there? We don't know yet.”

author
Professor at Oslo University
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“Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] had used a lot of war imagery when accepting his Nobel prize but that had been to highlight the horror of war. And here we are, almost full circle with a Nobel Peace Prize winner using the most bellicose language to try and ramp up the stakes ahead of the defence of not only Ethiopia, but life and death. He says he's basically willing to die for the cause.”

author
Former US diplomat
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“Abiy's [Abiy Ahmed] mimicry of Ethiopia's war-time Emperors has taken on an all too palpable schizophrenic overtone. He has vowed to join 'his forces' in the battlefield in the honorable tradition of his 'glorious predecessors'. I would've dismissed this is yet another sick joke any day.”

author
Spokesperson for the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF)
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“There is a new marriage of convenience between at least a faction of the Oromo Liberation Front and the TPLF [Tigray People's Liberation Front] because Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] has managed to alienate the Oromo, including some Amhara. And the TPLF is trying to take advantage of this situation, as well as the OLA [Oromo Liberation Army].”

author
Analyst specialising in the Horn of Africa
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“We can proceed down one path that inevitably leads to sanctions and other measures or we can go down another path where we can revitalise the partnership that started when prime minister [Abiy Ahmed] took office. The US wants the latter. Prolonging the war, dodging genuine negotiations to lead to de-escalation and a ceasefire, and refusing unhindered humanitarian access to avert catastrophe are actions that are taking Ethiopia [in] a dangerous direction.”

author
U.S. special envoy for Horn of Africa
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“If the government falls, we will definitely have an interim arrangement. There would also need to be a national dialogue but Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] and his ministers would not be asked to take part. They will have their day in court.”

author
Spokesperson for the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF)
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“There is a new marriage of convenience between at least a faction of the Oromo Liberation Front (OLF) and the TPLF [Tigray People's Liberation Front] because Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] has managed to alienate the Oromo, including some Amhara. And the TPLF is trying to take advantage of this situation, as well as the OLA [outlawed splinter group of the OLF].”

author
US-based academic specialising in the Horn of Africa
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“Abiy Ahmed's Air Force did once again strike non-military targets around MU campus. While this is not outrageous enough, a UN Aircraft had to abort its landing because of the air strike. Our air defense units knew the UN plane was scheduled to land and it was due in large measure to their restraint it was not caught in a crossfire. What begs the question however is the government cleared the UN plane to fly to #Mekelle only to send its fighter jet in time to raid civilian targets. While the use of the UN flight as a distraction couldn't be ruled out, it is not entirely implausible to suspect that the Smart Alecs in Addis were indeed setting up the UN plane to be hit by our guns. The fact that the plane that came today was denied permit yesterday couldn't be a mere coincidence. Abiy's moves beg for action!”

author
Spokesperson for the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF)
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“I, Abiy Ahmed Ali, today in the House of People's Representatives, accept the appointment as prime minister, as I pledge to undertake responsibly and with faith to the constitution the responsibility placed upon me by the people.”

author
Prime Minister of Ethiopia
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“Abiy Ahmed's solution to the worsening humanitarian crisis in Tigray is to declare UN humanitarian Personnel in Addis [Ababa] Persona no Grata. Those of you who might've thought the guy in Arat Killo would be counseled into sanity must be disappointed. Sad but real.”

author
Spokesperson for the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF)
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“The UN chief has pursued a very quiet, patient diplomacy … not saying too much, at least initially in public, not condemning it too much, because he thought he could nudge [Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed] in the right direction. [But] that strategy has clearly not worked.”

author
Al Jazeera’s diplomatic editor reporting from the UN headquarters in New York
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“The conflict could evolve and there is frightening possibility it could become entrenched. Both sides are heavily armed and this could lead to a prolonged insurgent warfare. The impact of the conflict could also continue to spill over into neighbouring countries. Abiy’s ultimatum [on Nov 22nd he gave TPLF forces 72-hour to surrender or face a final military offensive on Mekelle] fits in with the prime minister and federal government’s narrative that they are implementing a law enforcement operation to remove criminal elements from Tigray. The ultimatum is also meant to weaken support for the TPLF amongst the civilians in Tigray and encourage them to leave or support the federal government.”

author
Research fellow at London-based think-tank, Chatham House
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“There were a lot of problems before Abiy became prime minister, the major one being the government’s inability to deliver development promises. Abiy capitalised on that political playing field. He promised to heal the divisions in the country and to fight corruption and he emerged as a beacon of hope for all Ethiopians at the time. When it comes to the critical mass, he’s losing support. Abiy doesn’t seem to have a very clear policy agenda. He prefers quick, instant development projects that please his followers. He’s pragmatic. What you see in him is what you see in populist leaders like Boris Johnson and Donald Trump. The Tigray conflict is going to complicate the future of the country. The war is likely to augment Abiy’s power and create more polarisation in the country. My concern is that this could create a humanitarian catastrophe.”

author
Expert on Ethiopia at London’s School of Oriental and African Studies
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