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Abbas Araghchi “If there is similar willingness on the other side, and they refrain from making unreasonable and unrealistic demands, I believe reaching an agreement is likely.” 1 hour ago
James David Vance “Since there are the negotiations I won't prejudge them, but we do feel optimistic that we can hopefully bring this war, this very brutal war, to a close.” 1 hour ago
Marco Rubio “We need to figure out here now, within a matter of days, whether this is doable in the short term, because if it's not, then I think we're just going to move on. If it's not possible, if we're so far apart that this is not going to happen, then I think the president is probably at a point where he's going to say, 'well, we're done'.” 1 hour ago
Phillips O’Brien “They can certainly keep Ukraine in the fight. A lot of it depends on what the US does. We have to be careful about that. If the US actually moves to fully backing Russia and provides Russia with a significant amount of intelligence and support, that will be really a problem for Ukraine and Europe. But assuming, say, the US just pulls out and washes its hands of it, Europe has the resources to keep Ukraine going. It would require mobilisation, effort, a significant amount of commitment on Europe's part. So far, they've not, I think, shown the united will to do that, but they certainly could do it if they wanted to. They have the money. They have the technological know-how. They even have the military equipment to make a significant difference.” 2 hours ago

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William Burns

DIPLOMAT

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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H

Abbas Araghchi “If there is similar willingness on the other side, and they refrain from making unreasonable and unrealistic demands, I believe reaching an agreement is likely.” 1 hour ago
James David Vance “Since there are the negotiations I won't prejudge them, but we do feel optimistic that we can hopefully bring this war, this very brutal war, to a close.” 1 hour ago
Marco Rubio “We need to figure out here now, within a matter of days, whether this is doable in the short term, because if it's not, then I think we're just going to move on. If it's not possible, if we're so far apart that this is not going to happen, then I think the president is probably at a point where he's going to say, 'well, we're done'.” 1 hour ago
Phillips O’Brien “They can certainly keep Ukraine in the fight. A lot of it depends on what the US does. We have to be careful about that. If the US actually moves to fully backing Russia and provides Russia with a significant amount of intelligence and support, that will be really a problem for Ukraine and Europe. But assuming, say, the US just pulls out and washes its hands of it, Europe has the resources to keep Ukraine going. It would require mobilisation, effort, a significant amount of commitment on Europe's part. So far, they've not, I think, shown the united will to do that, but they certainly could do it if they wanted to. They have the money. They have the technological know-how. They even have the military equipment to make a significant difference.” 2 hours ago

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CURRENT EVENTS ECONOMY POLITICS

08 Feb 2025

“This is a toe in the water, but not because Trump necessarily wants to tread carefully. This is a way to send a message and put everyone involved in moving Iranian oil on notice. One of his objectives now is to bankrupt Iran. Since [Trump] was last president, the sanctions community at large - public and private - have learned a lot about how to target a country's oil revenue and go after the broader infrastructure, largely from the experience with Russia's own shadow fleet. Curbing Iranian oil could be part of a broader conversation between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping and that the recent sanctions provide a way to ramp up pressure on Tehran without fueling additional tensions with Beijing. China is the big problem to solve if you want to squeeze Iranian oil, but does Trump want a sanctions war with Xi?”

www.rferl.org/a/us-iran-china-oil-sanc...
Type of Source: News

Tom Keatinge

Analyst, Expert

Director of the Center for Finance and Security at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) in London

Contexts (to suggest a new Context click here)

Iran Sanctions Under Donald Trump's Second Term

Sanctions on Iran

Sanctions on Iran's energy sector

US - Iran relations

Date and Location

08 February 2025
08 February 2025
Iran
Not Specified

Ipse Dixit