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26 Dec 2023

“So far, both Iran and the US have acted within the framework of rational actors, because they are aware of the dangers of an all-out military conflict. In an election year, it would completely eliminate Biden's chances for re-election if American soldiers are killed. And a wider military confrontation would lead to more instability and a conflict whose repercussions will be unpredictable and would incur hefty costs for both sides. So, I don't expect to see an all-out war, but there is always a risk of miscalculations.”

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Tehran-based Middle East researcher and author
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  • 26 December 2023
  • 26 December 2023
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