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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24h

Phillips O’Brien “They can certainly keep Ukraine in the fight. A lot of it depends on what the US does. We have to be careful about that. If the US actually moves to fully backing Russia and provides Russia with a significant amount of intelligence and support, that will be really a problem for Ukraine and Europe. But assuming, say, the US just pulls out and washes its hands of it, Europe has the resources to keep Ukraine going. It would require mobilisation, effort, a significant amount of commitment on Europe's part. So far, they've not, I think, shown the united will to do that, but they certainly could do it if they wanted to. They have the money. They have the technological know-how. They even have the military equipment to make a significant difference.” 10 minutes ago
Nguyen Khac Giang “Hanoi is being careful not to signal a tilt too far toward Beijing, especially in areas that could displease the Trump administration. Ultimately, Hanoi is still hedging between the world's two great powers. But as the geopolitical climate hardens, the space to do so is rapidly shrinking.” 23 hours ago
Lynn Kuok “Chinese officials have quietly conveyed that the way the U.S. treats its longstanding allies and partners in Europe is a sign of what's to come for Southeast Asia. With Trump's steep, sweeping tariffs across the region, that message needs no reinforcement.” 23 hours ago
Christopher Beddor “It [tariff of 145% on all Chinese goods] makes a fairly bad situation worse. The economy has been grinding through one deflationary shock for several years now, and there is another shock that is imminent. The trade war is going to leave some sort of hole in the economy.” 23 hours ago
Jerome Powell “We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension. If that were to occur, we would consider how far the economy is from each goal, and the potentially different time horizons over which those respective gaps would be anticipated to close.” 23 hours ago
Kristalina Georgieva “Our new growth projections will include notable markdowns, but not recession. We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries. Ultimately, trade is like water. When countries put up obstacles in the form of tariff and non-tariff barriers, the flow diverts. Some sectors in some countries may be flooded by cheap imports; others may see shortages. Trade goes on, but disruptions incur costs.” 23 hours ago

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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h

Lynn Kuok Political Scientist

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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H

Phillips O’Brien “They can certainly keep Ukraine in the fight. A lot of it depends on what the US does. We have to be careful about that. If the US actually moves to fully backing Russia and provides Russia with a significant amount of intelligence and support, that will be really a problem for Ukraine and Europe. But assuming, say, the US just pulls out and washes its hands of it, Europe has the resources to keep Ukraine going. It would require mobilisation, effort, a significant amount of commitment on Europe's part. So far, they've not, I think, shown the united will to do that, but they certainly could do it if they wanted to. They have the money. They have the technological know-how. They even have the military equipment to make a significant difference.” 10 minutes ago
Nguyen Khac Giang “Hanoi is being careful not to signal a tilt too far toward Beijing, especially in areas that could displease the Trump administration. Ultimately, Hanoi is still hedging between the world's two great powers. But as the geopolitical climate hardens, the space to do so is rapidly shrinking.” 23 hours ago
Lynn Kuok “Chinese officials have quietly conveyed that the way the U.S. treats its longstanding allies and partners in Europe is a sign of what's to come for Southeast Asia. With Trump's steep, sweeping tariffs across the region, that message needs no reinforcement.” 23 hours ago
Christopher Beddor “It [tariff of 145% on all Chinese goods] makes a fairly bad situation worse. The economy has been grinding through one deflationary shock for several years now, and there is another shock that is imminent. The trade war is going to leave some sort of hole in the economy.” 23 hours ago
Jerome Powell “We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension. If that were to occur, we would consider how far the economy is from each goal, and the potentially different time horizons over which those respective gaps would be anticipated to close.” 23 hours ago
Kristalina Georgieva “Our new growth projections will include notable markdowns, but not recession. We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries. Ultimately, trade is like water. When countries put up obstacles in the form of tariff and non-tariff barriers, the flow diverts. Some sectors in some countries may be flooded by cheap imports; others may see shortages. Trade goes on, but disruptions incur costs.” 23 hours ago

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POLITICS CURRENT EVENTS

01 Apr 2025

“Russia's strategy is to stall the negotiations as long as possible to achieve its maximalist goals by nonmilitary means. At the same time, Moscow is wary of testing [US President Donald] Trump's patience. The ball is really in Trump's court on whether to believe that Russia is negotiating in good faith or ramp up pressure to force it to the negotiating table.”

www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-russia-cease-f...
Type of Source: News

Maria Shagina

Analyst, Expert

Sanctions expert at the International Institute for Strategic Studies

Contexts (to suggest a new Context click here)

Russia war in Ukraine

Russia war in Ukraine - Considerations

Russia war in Ukraine - Considerations regarding ending the war

Date and Location

01 April 2025
01 April 2025
Russia
Not Specified

Ipse Dixit