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  • Jimmy Rushton
    Jimmy Rushton “Shoigu's replacement with a (relatively experienced and apparently competent) economist [Andrei Belousov] pretty clearly signals Putin believes victory in Ukraine will come via outproducing (and outlasting) Ukraine and her Western allies. He's preparing for many more years of war.” 56 minutes ago
  • Konstantin Sonin
    Konstantin Sonin “Things are not going according to Putin's plan, but he will endlessly rotate the same small group of loyalists. Putin has always feared to bring new people to the positions of authority - even in the best of times, they must have been nobodies with no own perspectives. Toward the end of his rule, even more so.” 58 minutes ago
  • Mark Galeotti
    Mark Galeotti “With an economist taking over the Defence Ministry, and the old minister taking up a policy and advisory role, the technocrats are in the ascendant. The goal though is not peace, but a more efficient war. As Putin digs in for the long term, with the 'special military operation' now being the central organising principle of his regime, he knows he needs technocrats to keep his war machine going.” 1 hour ago
  • Jeff Hawn
    Jeff Hawn “This indicates that the Kremlin is not seeking an exit from Ukraine, but once to extend their ability to endure the conflict as long as possible. Russia is very limited [on] how much they can increase scale, due to economic deficiencies. However, they can maintain a certain level of attritional warfare. And are likely hoping to do that longer than Ukraine can.” 1 hour ago
  • Dmitry Peskov
    Dmitry Peskov “Today, the winner on the battlefield is the one who is more open to innovation, more open to implementation as quickly as possible. It is natural that at the current stage the president [Vladimir Putin] decided that the Ministry of Defence should be headed by a civilian [Andrei Belousov].” 1 hour ago
  • Alon Liel
    Alon Liel “The move [Egypt joining South Africa's ICJ genocide case against Israel] is an unbelievable diplomatic blow to Israel. Egypt is the cornerstone of our standing in the Middle East. The connections that Israel has in the Middle East and North Africa today, including with Jordan, the UAE and Morocco, is all a result of what Egypt did 40 years ago. With Egypt joining South Africa now in The Hague, it's a real diplomatic punch. Israel would have to take it very seriously. This is what I have been warning about. It's coming from several directions. Israel has to … listen to the world - not only to the Israeli public opinion asking now for revenge. We have to look overall in the wider picture, in the long-term security of Israel, not only in the next few weeks in Gaza.” 22 hours ago
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01 Mar 2022

“If the US and EU freeze Russia's foreign reserves, it would reduce Russia's ability to interfere with the ruble's exchange rate through foreign reserves, and the ruble might face another drop.”

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Deputy research fellow under the Institute of Russian, East European & Central Asian Studies under the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
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  • 01 March 2022
  • 01 March 2022
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