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  • Robert Kelly
    Robert Kelly “We keep talking about a tough response - that's what the South Korean president said this morning - but it's just not clear to me what that would be that wouldn't put us on a war footing. It's almost certainly going to be rhetorical.” 18 hours ago
  • Hirokazu Matsuno
    Hirokazu Matsuno “North Korea's series of actions, including its repeated ballistic missile launches, threatens the peace and security of Japan, the region, and the international community, and poses a serious challenge to the entire international community, including Japan.” 18 hours ago
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11 Aug 2022

“Although China now possesses ballistic missiles and aircraft carriers, which diminish Kinmen's strategic importance as a launching pad for any invasion of Taiwan, the island retains a symbolic significance. As tensions mount between China and Taiwan, the leadership of the Chinese Communist Party [CCP] might end up in a situation where they need a tangible win in the Taiwan Strait but are not ready for an all-out assault on Taiwan. In that scenario, seizing the largely demilitarised outlying Taiwanese islands of Kinmen and Matsu could provide a symbolic victory for the CCP; akin to what Russia did with Crimea in 2014.”

Assistant professor at Soochow University in Taipei and studies the political relations between Taiwan, China and the United States
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  • 11 August 2022
  • 21 August 2022
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