IPSE by Day - 25 March 2025

Daniel Fried

Inserted 3 weeks ago

“It is not clear how much the US concessions that Russia seems to have obtained will mean in practice. Sanctions on Russian agricultural exports have not been a US priority, for good reason. But the one-sided advantage to Russia does little to advance the thirty-day comprehensive cease-fire the Trump administration had sought. Instead, Russia appears to be stalling, blunting the former US threats of pressure on Russia to stop the fighting. The United States risks being sucked down a rabbit hole of concessions, easing pressure on Russia while Russian forces continue to attack Ukrainian cities and civilians. Today's deal is no peace through strength.”

Atlanticcouncil

Weiser Family distinguished fellow at the Atlantic Council and a former US ambassador to Poland

25 Mar 2025 8 3

Vanessa Lloyd

Inserted 3 weeks ago

“China is highly likely to use AI-enabled tools to attempt to interfere with Canada's democratic process in this current election. India has the intent and capability to do likewise. Russia and Pakistan could also potentially seek to interfere. It's often very difficult to establish a direct link between foreign interference activities and election results. Nevertheless, threat activities can erode public trust in the integrity of Canada's democratic processes and institutions.”

Aljazeera

Deputy director of operations for the Canadian Security Intelligence Service (CSIS)

25 Mar 2025 7 6

Colin Clarke

Inserted 3 weeks ago

“The lack of a US presence in Afghanistan following its 2021 withdrawal has left a major intelligence gap in the fight against IS [Islamic State]. The US has been forced to rely on signals intelligence and has extremely limited human intelligence in Afghanistan. IS is a much different organization today than it was seven years ago when it still had the caliphate, it is far more dependent on external operations and attacks to generate publicity. They have deliberately amended their strategy to focus on launching high profile attacks in the West. They have been aggressive and relentless in their plotting and are determined to pull off a spectacular attack in Europe or the United States.”

Rferl

Senior research fellow at the US-based Soufan Centre

25 Mar 2025 10 1

Adrian Shtuni

Inserted 3 weeks ago

“IS [Islamic State] remains a persistent global security threat and the deadliest terrorist organization in the world. Now the organization relies primarily on a dynamic network of regional affiliates who operate independently.”

Rferl

Security specialist and head of the Washington-based Shtuni Consulting

25 Mar 2025 3 1

François Heisbourg

Inserted 3 weeks ago

“If the relationship between the United States and Europe were merely transactional, it would be relatively easy for Europeans to just spend more on the military and give Mr. Trump some sort of victory. But in Mr. Vance's speech attacking European democracy in Munich, let alone in the newly public exchange, the distaste for Europe is about more than transactions. Vance was quite clear: We don't share the same values.”

Nytimes

French defense analyst

25 Mar 2025 5 1

Nathalie Tocci

Inserted 3 weeks ago

“It is clear that the trans-Atlantic relationship, as was, is over, and there is, at best, an indifferent disdain. And at worst, and closer to that, there is an active attempt to undermine Europe.”

Nytimes

Director of Italy’s Institute of International Affairs

25 Mar 2025 2 1

Rustem Umerov

Inserted 3 weeks ago

“The Ukrainian side emphasizes that all movement by Russia of its military vessels outside of Eastern part of the Black Sea will constitute violation of the spirit of this agreement, will be regarded as violation of the commitment to ensure safe navigation of the Black Sea and threat to the national security of Ukraine. In such a scenario, Ukraine will have full right to exercise right to self-defense.”

Aje

Minister of Defenсe of Ukraine

25 Mar 2025 4 3

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Ipse Dixit

Ipse Dixit

Day

IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h

IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H

NEW CONTEXTS IN THE LAST 24H

“IS [Islamic State] remains a persistent global security threat and the deadliest terrorist organization in the world. Now the organization relies primarily on a dynamic network of regional affiliates who operate independently.”

“It is clear that the trans-Atlantic relationship, as was, is over, and there is, at best, an indifferent disdain. And at worst, and closer to that, there is an active attempt to undermine Europe.”

March 2025

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