IPSE by Day - 15 December 2022 | Ipse Dixit

Kaja Kallas POLITICIAN
Moussa Faki Mahamat CHAIRPERSON, POLITICIAN
Adrian Zenz ACADEMIC, ANALYST, RESEARCHER
Matthew Kroenig POLITICAL SCIENTIST
Andriy Yermak POLITICIAN
Vitaly Savelyev POLITICIAN
Oleksandr Korniyenko POLITICIAN
Dainius Kreivys POLITICIAN

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Kaja Kallas POLITICIAN
Moussa Faki Mahamat CHAIRPERSON, POLITICIAN
Adrian Zenz ACADEMIC, ANALYST, RESEARCHER
Matthew Kroenig POLITICAL SCIENTIST
Andriy Yermak POLITICIAN
Vitaly Savelyev POLITICIAN
Oleksandr Korniyenko POLITICIAN
Dainius Kreivys POLITICIAN

Day

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5

IPSEs IN THE LAST 24h

Lloyd Austin “Whether it's munitions, whether it's vehicles, whether it's platforms, I'll just tell you that Ukraine right now is facing some dire battlefield conditions. We're already seeing things on the battlefield begin to shift a bit in Russia's favour. We are seeing them make incremental gains. We're seeing the Ukrainians be challenged in terms of holding the line.” 10 hours ago
Xi Jinping “First, we should prioritize the upholding of peace and stability and refrain from seeking selfish gains. Second, we should cool down the situation and not add fuel to the fire. Third, we need to create conditions for the restoration of peace and refrain from further exacerbating tensions. Fourth, we should reduce the negative impact on the world economy and refrain from undermining the stability of global industrial and supply chains.” 23 hours ago
Robert Fico “According to international law, we all recognise another country's territorial integrity, sovereignty, and the inviolability of its borders. This is a sound theory of international law. But the Russians will never give up Crimea, Donbas, or Luhansk. There is no military solution and never will be. There will only be 100,000 more dead on one side or the other. The only thing that can help is for NATO to interfere, and this is World War III.” 23 hours ago
Linda Thomas-Greenfield “I look forward to engaging with both the Republic of Korea and Japan, but like-minded (countries) as well, on trying to develop options both inside the U.N. as well as outside the U.N. The point here is that we cannot allow the work that the panel of experts were doing to lapse.” 23 hours ago
Hassan Ahmadian “After the hit on the Iranian consulate, the Iranians could not take it any more. They had to respond by re-establishing their deterrence credibility. Now the Israelis are talking about retaliation. This is not perceived as retaliation in Iran - it is perceived as another attack on Iran.” 23 hours ago

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1

Volodymyr Zelenskiy

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5
1

IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h

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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H

Lloyd Austin “Whether it's munitions, whether it's vehicles, whether it's platforms, I'll just tell you that Ukraine right now is facing some dire battlefield conditions. We're already seeing things on the battlefield begin to shift a bit in Russia's favour. We are seeing them make incremental gains. We're seeing the Ukrainians be challenged in terms of holding the line.” 10 hours ago
Xi Jinping “First, we should prioritize the upholding of peace and stability and refrain from seeking selfish gains. Second, we should cool down the situation and not add fuel to the fire. Third, we need to create conditions for the restoration of peace and refrain from further exacerbating tensions. Fourth, we should reduce the negative impact on the world economy and refrain from undermining the stability of global industrial and supply chains.” 23 hours ago
Robert Fico “According to international law, we all recognise another country's territorial integrity, sovereignty, and the inviolability of its borders. This is a sound theory of international law. But the Russians will never give up Crimea, Donbas, or Luhansk. There is no military solution and never will be. There will only be 100,000 more dead on one side or the other. The only thing that can help is for NATO to interfere, and this is World War III.” 23 hours ago
Linda Thomas-Greenfield “I look forward to engaging with both the Republic of Korea and Japan, but like-minded (countries) as well, on trying to develop options both inside the U.N. as well as outside the U.N. The point here is that we cannot allow the work that the panel of experts were doing to lapse.” 23 hours ago
Hassan Ahmadian “After the hit on the Iranian consulate, the Iranians could not take it any more. They had to respond by re-establishing their deterrence credibility. Now the Israelis are talking about retaliation. This is not perceived as retaliation in Iran - it is perceived as another attack on Iran.” 23 hours ago

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NEW CONTEXTS IN THE LAST 24H

US seeking new mechanism to monitor North Korean sanctions
23 hours ago

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15

Thursday

December, 2022

Tim Judah

Inserted 1 year ago

“I am sure that the Russians are very happy and encouraging Serbia to take the stance that it is at the moment because clearly it is in its interests to try and make trouble in another part of the continent and distract Western attention from Ukraine. But this issue and the frequent flare-ups of tension long predate the Ukraine war so there is no reason to assume what we have seen recently would not be happening regardless. The only difference is that Ukraine has given an added impetus to the EU and US to try and resolve the Serbia-Kosovo issue, which is why we have seen so much diplomatic activity over the last few months.”

Special correspondent for The Economist magazine

15 Dec 2022 5 10

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John Feffer

Inserted 1 year ago

“Although Serbia hasn't imposed sanctions, it also didn't recognise the breakaway regions, and Vucic was unhappy with Putin's explicit use of Kosovo as a precedent to justify the independent status of the Donbas. Serbia is also dependent on EU assistance, so that serves as a serious brake on any steps Belgrade takes toward Kosovo.”

Director of Foreign Policy in Focus

15 Dec 2022 6 5

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Engjellushe Morina

Engjellushe Morina

Inserted 1 year ago

“I don't see a full blown-out armed conflict between Kosovo and Serbia for a very simple reason, NATO.”

Senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations

15 Dec 2022 2 5

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Ellen Kim

Inserted 1 year ago

“The current diplomatic impasse is clearly due to North Korea's disinterest in talks with the U.S. and South Korea, which seems in part because North Korea wants to signal that the complete, verifiable, irreversible denuclearization (CVID) of North Korea is off the negotiation table. But if North Korea's internal and/or external (particularly with respect to China and Russia) environment changes, there could be a window of opportunity that North Korea may want to resume dialogue with the United States and/or South Korea to seek a partial sanctions relief and other things. We should not give up the North's denuclearization because if we do that, this will make North Korea believe that their strategy of nuclear coercion works and could lead the country to make miscalculations and become more aggressive.”

Deputy director of the Korea Chair at the Washington-based think tank, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

15 Dec 2022 4 5

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Chen Fang-Yu

Inserted 1 year ago

“Chinese intimidation of Taiwan rose markedly following the Taiwanese presidential election in 2016 and has increased since to reach a culmination so far this year, with the massive military exercises that took place around Taiwan following Nancy Pelosi's visit in early August. At the same time, the undermining of Hong Kong's free system in 2019 and 2020 as well as the Russian invasion of Ukraine has shown the Taiwanese that certain events that previously were believed to be unthinkable can actually happen.”

Assistant professor at Soochow University in Taipei and studies the political relations between Taiwan, China and the United States

15 Dec 2022 4 2

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December 2022