IPSE by Day - 12 April 2025 | Ipse Dixit

Alok Sharma POLITICIAN
Ursula von der Leyen POLITICIAN
Kristalina Georgieva ECONOMIST
Klaus Iohannis POLITICIAN
Joe Rogan HOST
Perparim Rama ARCHITECT, MAYOR, POLITICIAN
Wang Mei-hua POLITICIAN
Bruno Le Maire POLITICIAN

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Alok Sharma POLITICIAN
Ursula von der Leyen POLITICIAN
Kristalina Georgieva ECONOMIST
Klaus Iohannis POLITICIAN
Joe Rogan HOST
Perparim Rama ARCHITECT, MAYOR, POLITICIAN
Wang Mei-hua POLITICIAN
Bruno Le Maire POLITICIAN

Day

1

6

IPSEs IN THE LAST 24h

Phillips O’Brien “They can certainly keep Ukraine in the fight. A lot of it depends on what the US does. We have to be careful about that. If the US actually moves to fully backing Russia and provides Russia with a significant amount of intelligence and support, that will be really a problem for Ukraine and Europe. But assuming, say, the US just pulls out and washes its hands of it, Europe has the resources to keep Ukraine going. It would require mobilisation, effort, a significant amount of commitment on Europe's part. So far, they've not, I think, shown the united will to do that, but they certainly could do it if they wanted to. They have the money. They have the technological know-how. They even have the military equipment to make a significant difference.” 9 minutes ago
Nguyen Khac Giang “Hanoi is being careful not to signal a tilt too far toward Beijing, especially in areas that could displease the Trump administration. Ultimately, Hanoi is still hedging between the world's two great powers. But as the geopolitical climate hardens, the space to do so is rapidly shrinking.” 23 hours ago
Lynn Kuok “Chinese officials have quietly conveyed that the way the U.S. treats its longstanding allies and partners in Europe is a sign of what's to come for Southeast Asia. With Trump's steep, sweeping tariffs across the region, that message needs no reinforcement.” 23 hours ago
Christopher Beddor “It [tariff of 145% on all Chinese goods] makes a fairly bad situation worse. The economy has been grinding through one deflationary shock for several years now, and there is another shock that is imminent. The trade war is going to leave some sort of hole in the economy.” 23 hours ago
Jerome Powell “We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension. If that were to occur, we would consider how far the economy is from each goal, and the potentially different time horizons over which those respective gaps would be anticipated to close.” 23 hours ago
Kristalina Georgieva “Our new growth projections will include notable markdowns, but not recession. We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries. Ultimately, trade is like water. When countries put up obstacles in the form of tariff and non-tariff barriers, the flow diverts. Some sectors in some countries may be flooded by cheap imports; others may see shortages. Trade goes on, but disruptions incur costs.” 23 hours ago

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1
6
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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h

Lynn Kuok Political Scientist

Check all the Authors in the last 24h

IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H

Phillips O’Brien “They can certainly keep Ukraine in the fight. A lot of it depends on what the US does. We have to be careful about that. If the US actually moves to fully backing Russia and provides Russia with a significant amount of intelligence and support, that will be really a problem for Ukraine and Europe. But assuming, say, the US just pulls out and washes its hands of it, Europe has the resources to keep Ukraine going. It would require mobilisation, effort, a significant amount of commitment on Europe's part. So far, they've not, I think, shown the united will to do that, but they certainly could do it if they wanted to. They have the money. They have the technological know-how. They even have the military equipment to make a significant difference.” 9 minutes ago
Nguyen Khac Giang “Hanoi is being careful not to signal a tilt too far toward Beijing, especially in areas that could displease the Trump administration. Ultimately, Hanoi is still hedging between the world's two great powers. But as the geopolitical climate hardens, the space to do so is rapidly shrinking.” 23 hours ago
Lynn Kuok “Chinese officials have quietly conveyed that the way the U.S. treats its longstanding allies and partners in Europe is a sign of what's to come for Southeast Asia. With Trump's steep, sweeping tariffs across the region, that message needs no reinforcement.” 23 hours ago
Christopher Beddor “It [tariff of 145% on all Chinese goods] makes a fairly bad situation worse. The economy has been grinding through one deflationary shock for several years now, and there is another shock that is imminent. The trade war is going to leave some sort of hole in the economy.” 23 hours ago
Jerome Powell “We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension. If that were to occur, we would consider how far the economy is from each goal, and the potentially different time horizons over which those respective gaps would be anticipated to close.” 23 hours ago
Kristalina Georgieva “Our new growth projections will include notable markdowns, but not recession. We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries. Ultimately, trade is like water. When countries put up obstacles in the form of tariff and non-tariff barriers, the flow diverts. Some sectors in some countries may be flooded by cheap imports; others may see shortages. Trade goes on, but disruptions incur costs.” 23 hours ago

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NEW CONTEXTS IN THE LAST 24H

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12

Saturday

April, 2025

Sasha Havlicek

Inserted 5 days ago

“If, in fact, we are witnessing a total ideological shift of America away from its post-World War II role as guarantor of the international order and an alignment with Putin and other authoritarian nationalists against the old allies that constituted the liberal world order there couldn't be anything more dramatic than that.”

Chief executive of the Institute for Strategic Dialogue

12 Apr 2025 (approx) 8 3

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Dana Stroul

Inserted 5 days ago

“The president really doesn't want to use the military here. Similar to how other recent presidents dealt with Iran, Mr. Trump appears to have considered what a military campaign would look like, and what it could actually accomplish, and opt to try the diplomatic track first. Mr. Trump is planning to visit Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates as soon as next month. What he is hearing from all Arab leaders he's talking to is that they do not want more war.”

Senior Fellow at Washington Institute for Near East Policy - Formerly the Pentagon's top Middle East policy official

12 Apr 2025 10 3

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Elliott Abrams

Inserted 5 days ago

“They have an opportunity to tie Israel and the United States in knots by getting into negotiations in which they dupe Witkoff into thinking that negotiations will produce a lot. And so the negotiations start, which holds Israel off, and they continue, and they continue. A new deal could be reached pretty quickly - but Iran would most likely commit to little more than what it agreed to in the 2015 accord. Such an outcome would irritate Israel.”

Middle East expert at the Council on Foreign Relations U.S. think tank

12 Apr 2025 5 4

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Richard A. Mojica

Richard A. Mojica

Inserted 5 days ago

“Companies are scrambling to mitigate their tariff exposure, particularly those with supply chains involving China. But there are only a few levers they can pull.”

Customs lawyer at Miller & Chevalier

12 Apr 2025 5 2

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David Autor

Inserted 5 days ago

“It's one of the largest own-goals in diplomacy and economics and trade that I think we've ever done.”

M.I.T. economist

12 Apr 2025 3 3

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April 2025