IPSE by Day - 03 April 2025 | Ipse Dixit

Alok Sharma POLITICIAN
Ursula von der Leyen POLITICIAN
Kristalina Georgieva ECONOMIST
Klaus Iohannis POLITICIAN
Joe Rogan HOST
Perparim Rama ARCHITECT, MAYOR, POLITICIAN
Wang Mei-hua POLITICIAN
Bruno Le Maire POLITICIAN

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Alok Sharma POLITICIAN
Ursula von der Leyen POLITICIAN
Kristalina Georgieva ECONOMIST
Klaus Iohannis POLITICIAN
Joe Rogan HOST
Perparim Rama ARCHITECT, MAYOR, POLITICIAN
Wang Mei-hua POLITICIAN
Bruno Le Maire POLITICIAN

Day

1

6

IPSEs IN THE LAST 24h

Nguyen Khac Giang “Hanoi is being careful not to signal a tilt too far toward Beijing, especially in areas that could displease the Trump administration. Ultimately, Hanoi is still hedging between the world's two great powers. But as the geopolitical climate hardens, the space to do so is rapidly shrinking.” 23 hours ago
Lynn Kuok “Chinese officials have quietly conveyed that the way the U.S. treats its longstanding allies and partners in Europe is a sign of what's to come for Southeast Asia. With Trump's steep, sweeping tariffs across the region, that message needs no reinforcement.” 23 hours ago
Christopher Beddor “It [tariff of 145% on all Chinese goods] makes a fairly bad situation worse. The economy has been grinding through one deflationary shock for several years now, and there is another shock that is imminent. The trade war is going to leave some sort of hole in the economy.” 23 hours ago
Jerome Powell “We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension. If that were to occur, we would consider how far the economy is from each goal, and the potentially different time horizons over which those respective gaps would be anticipated to close.” 23 hours ago
Kristalina Georgieva “Our new growth projections will include notable markdowns, but not recession. We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries. Ultimately, trade is like water. When countries put up obstacles in the form of tariff and non-tariff barriers, the flow diverts. Some sectors in some countries may be flooded by cheap imports; others may see shortages. Trade goes on, but disruptions incur costs.” 23 hours ago
Oleksandr Syrskyi “The enemy has not changed its plans to drive Ukrainian Armed Forces units beyond the borders of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts and reach the administrative borders of these regions. However, the enemy's plan remains unfulfilled. We are continuing our defensive operations while also conducting counteroffensive actions, and we have seen some success. Over the past few weeks, we have liberated around 16 square kilometres of territory near Udachne, Kotlyne and Shevchenko. I thank the Ukrainian soldiers for their courage, resilience and professionalism.” 23 hours ago

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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h

Lynn Kuok Political Scientist

Check all the Authors in the last 24h

IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H

Nguyen Khac Giang “Hanoi is being careful not to signal a tilt too far toward Beijing, especially in areas that could displease the Trump administration. Ultimately, Hanoi is still hedging between the world's two great powers. But as the geopolitical climate hardens, the space to do so is rapidly shrinking.” 23 hours ago
Lynn Kuok “Chinese officials have quietly conveyed that the way the U.S. treats its longstanding allies and partners in Europe is a sign of what's to come for Southeast Asia. With Trump's steep, sweeping tariffs across the region, that message needs no reinforcement.” 23 hours ago
Christopher Beddor “It [tariff of 145% on all Chinese goods] makes a fairly bad situation worse. The economy has been grinding through one deflationary shock for several years now, and there is another shock that is imminent. The trade war is going to leave some sort of hole in the economy.” 23 hours ago
Jerome Powell “We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension. If that were to occur, we would consider how far the economy is from each goal, and the potentially different time horizons over which those respective gaps would be anticipated to close.” 23 hours ago
Kristalina Georgieva “Our new growth projections will include notable markdowns, but not recession. We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries. Ultimately, trade is like water. When countries put up obstacles in the form of tariff and non-tariff barriers, the flow diverts. Some sectors in some countries may be flooded by cheap imports; others may see shortages. Trade goes on, but disruptions incur costs.” 23 hours ago
Oleksandr Syrskyi “The enemy has not changed its plans to drive Ukrainian Armed Forces units beyond the borders of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts and reach the administrative borders of these regions. However, the enemy's plan remains unfulfilled. We are continuing our defensive operations while also conducting counteroffensive actions, and we have seen some success. Over the past few weeks, we have liberated around 16 square kilometres of territory near Udachne, Kotlyne and Shevchenko. I thank the Ukrainian soldiers for their courage, resilience and professionalism.” 23 hours ago

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NEW CONTEXTS IN THE LAST 24H

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03

Thursday

April, 2025

Kirill Dmitriev

Kirill Dmitriev

Inserted 1 week ago

“We see absolutely clearly that the administration of President Trump, unlike President Biden, is committed to resolving issues. They are extremely respectful, they understand Russia's position, they ask a lot of questions, they find compromises. This is the creative spirit that has been set.”

CEO of the Russian Direct Investment Fund

03 Apr 2025 6 2

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Alexander Stubb

Alexander Stubb

Inserted 1 week ago

“April 20 would be a good time for a full ceasefire without any conditions … because a deadline is needed, because it is Easter and because President Donald Trump will have been in office for three months.”

President of Finland

03 Apr 2025 7 4

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Maximilian Hess

Maximilian Hess

Inserted 2 weeks ago

“The inflationary impact of Trump's tariffs will be felt sooner rather than later, even as some of his team are scrambling to claim there will be negotiations on lowering some of the tariffs. This is because importers and distributors will have to reassess the profitability of the goods they are ordering now. Supply chains may well be further disrupted by countermeasures from the countries affected.”

Fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute

03 Apr 2025 8 2

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Jay Timmons

Inserted 2 weeks ago

“The stakes for manufacturers could not be higher. Many manufacturers in the United States already operate with thin margins. The high costs of new tariffs threaten investment, jobs, supply chains and, in turn, America's ability to outcompete other nations and lead as the pre-eminent manufacturing superpower.”

President and CEO of the National Association of Manufacturers

03 Apr 2025 7 3

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Nick Marro

Inserted 2 weeks ago

“China is likely going to release some type of retaliation against the US … while Japan has said it will also consider some type of retaliatory duties, we expect US agriculture to be mainly in the crosshairs there. That said, a lot of other Asian markets aren't really in a position to retaliate. Places like Vietnam, Malaysia, the Philippines, they have been hit with higher tariffs, but the size of their economy, their dependence on external trade, and the importance of the US as a source of final demand will really constrain their ability to adopt a hawkish attitude here.”

Principal economist for Asia at the Economist Intelligence Unit

03 Apr 2025 11 2

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Dario Perkins

Inserted 2 weeks ago

“Most countries will favour other policy levers over retaliatory tariffs. I think that central banks will ease monetary policy [by lowering interest rates to try and boost growth]. Global trade will be a lot weaker and international supply chains will be shortened. The multilateral era is dying.”

Managing director at TS Lombard - a London-based financial research firm

03 Apr 2025 8 2

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April 2025