IPSE by Day - 02 April 2025 | Ipse Dixit

Alok Sharma POLITICIAN
Ursula von der Leyen POLITICIAN
Kristalina Georgieva ECONOMIST
Klaus Iohannis POLITICIAN
Joe Rogan HOST
Perparim Rama ARCHITECT, MAYOR, POLITICIAN
Wang Mei-hua POLITICIAN
Bruno Le Maire POLITICIAN

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Alok Sharma POLITICIAN
Ursula von der Leyen POLITICIAN
Kristalina Georgieva ECONOMIST
Klaus Iohannis POLITICIAN
Joe Rogan HOST
Perparim Rama ARCHITECT, MAYOR, POLITICIAN
Wang Mei-hua POLITICIAN
Bruno Le Maire POLITICIAN

Day

1

7

IPSEs IN THE LAST 24h

Phillips O’Brien “They can certainly keep Ukraine in the fight. A lot of it depends on what the US does. We have to be careful about that. If the US actually moves to fully backing Russia and provides Russia with a significant amount of intelligence and support, that will be really a problem for Ukraine and Europe. But assuming, say, the US just pulls out and washes its hands of it, Europe has the resources to keep Ukraine going. It would require mobilisation, effort, a significant amount of commitment on Europe's part. So far, they've not, I think, shown the united will to do that, but they certainly could do it if they wanted to. They have the money. They have the technological know-how. They even have the military equipment to make a significant difference.” 5 minutes ago
Nguyen Khac Giang “Hanoi is being careful not to signal a tilt too far toward Beijing, especially in areas that could displease the Trump administration. Ultimately, Hanoi is still hedging between the world's two great powers. But as the geopolitical climate hardens, the space to do so is rapidly shrinking.” 23 hours ago
Lynn Kuok “Chinese officials have quietly conveyed that the way the U.S. treats its longstanding allies and partners in Europe is a sign of what's to come for Southeast Asia. With Trump's steep, sweeping tariffs across the region, that message needs no reinforcement.” 23 hours ago
Christopher Beddor “It [tariff of 145% on all Chinese goods] makes a fairly bad situation worse. The economy has been grinding through one deflationary shock for several years now, and there is another shock that is imminent. The trade war is going to leave some sort of hole in the economy.” 23 hours ago
Jerome Powell “We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension. If that were to occur, we would consider how far the economy is from each goal, and the potentially different time horizons over which those respective gaps would be anticipated to close.” 23 hours ago
Kristalina Georgieva “Our new growth projections will include notable markdowns, but not recession. We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries. Ultimately, trade is like water. When countries put up obstacles in the form of tariff and non-tariff barriers, the flow diverts. Some sectors in some countries may be flooded by cheap imports; others may see shortages. Trade goes on, but disruptions incur costs.” 23 hours ago
Oleksandr Syrskyi “The enemy has not changed its plans to drive Ukrainian Armed Forces units beyond the borders of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts and reach the administrative borders of these regions. However, the enemy's plan remains unfulfilled. We are continuing our defensive operations while also conducting counteroffensive actions, and we have seen some success. Over the past few weeks, we have liberated around 16 square kilometres of territory near Udachne, Kotlyne and Shevchenko. I thank the Ukrainian soldiers for their courage, resilience and professionalism.” 23 hours ago

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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h

Lynn Kuok Political Scientist

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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H

Phillips O’Brien “They can certainly keep Ukraine in the fight. A lot of it depends on what the US does. We have to be careful about that. If the US actually moves to fully backing Russia and provides Russia with a significant amount of intelligence and support, that will be really a problem for Ukraine and Europe. But assuming, say, the US just pulls out and washes its hands of it, Europe has the resources to keep Ukraine going. It would require mobilisation, effort, a significant amount of commitment on Europe's part. So far, they've not, I think, shown the united will to do that, but they certainly could do it if they wanted to. They have the money. They have the technological know-how. They even have the military equipment to make a significant difference.” 5 minutes ago
Nguyen Khac Giang “Hanoi is being careful not to signal a tilt too far toward Beijing, especially in areas that could displease the Trump administration. Ultimately, Hanoi is still hedging between the world's two great powers. But as the geopolitical climate hardens, the space to do so is rapidly shrinking.” 23 hours ago
Lynn Kuok “Chinese officials have quietly conveyed that the way the U.S. treats its longstanding allies and partners in Europe is a sign of what's to come for Southeast Asia. With Trump's steep, sweeping tariffs across the region, that message needs no reinforcement.” 23 hours ago
Christopher Beddor “It [tariff of 145% on all Chinese goods] makes a fairly bad situation worse. The economy has been grinding through one deflationary shock for several years now, and there is another shock that is imminent. The trade war is going to leave some sort of hole in the economy.” 23 hours ago
Jerome Powell “We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension. If that were to occur, we would consider how far the economy is from each goal, and the potentially different time horizons over which those respective gaps would be anticipated to close.” 23 hours ago
Kristalina Georgieva “Our new growth projections will include notable markdowns, but not recession. We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries. Ultimately, trade is like water. When countries put up obstacles in the form of tariff and non-tariff barriers, the flow diverts. Some sectors in some countries may be flooded by cheap imports; others may see shortages. Trade goes on, but disruptions incur costs.” 23 hours ago
Oleksandr Syrskyi “The enemy has not changed its plans to drive Ukrainian Armed Forces units beyond the borders of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts and reach the administrative borders of these regions. However, the enemy's plan remains unfulfilled. We are continuing our defensive operations while also conducting counteroffensive actions, and we have seen some success. Over the past few weeks, we have liberated around 16 square kilometres of territory near Udachne, Kotlyne and Shevchenko. I thank the Ukrainian soldiers for their courage, resilience and professionalism.” 23 hours ago

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NEW CONTEXTS IN THE LAST 24H

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02

Wednesday

April, 2025

Donald Trump

Inserted 2 weeks ago

“For decades, our country has been looted, pillaged, raped and plundered by nations near and far, both friend and foe alike. Foreign leaders have stolen our jobs. Foreign cheaters have ransacked our factories. And foreign scavengers have torn apart our once-beautiful American dream. April 2, 2025, will forever be remembered as the day American industry was reborn, the day America's destiny was reclaimed. We will charge them approximately half of what they are - and have - been charging us. So, the tariffs will be not a full reciprocal. I could have done that, I guess, but it would've been tough for a lot of countries. We didn't want to do that.”

President of the United States

02 Apr 2025 6 1

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Volodymyr Zelenskiy

Volodymyr Zelenskiy

Inserted 2 weeks ago

“This is our starting point: the Ukrainian army must be strong enough, and on this foundation, the entire security architecture is built. A meeting will take place in just a few days - on Friday [April 4] - with representatives of our partner states -- these will be military representatives.”

President of Ukraine

02 Apr 2025 3 2

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David Schultz

Inserted 2 weeks ago

“This election was viewed as a referendum on Donald Trump and of course, Elon Musk. The results suggest that the influence Trump and Musk wield over American society and voters is not as strong or as deep as one may think or as they may think.”

Professor of politics at Hamline University in Saint Paul, Minnesota

02 Apr 2025 8 2

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Kaja Kallas

Inserted 2 weeks ago

“I think it could be very good to set them a clear deadline when they [Russians] have to answer, what is their standing, and to really show some goodwill that they also want peace. It's clear that the Ukrainians want it.”

EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy

02 Apr 2025 4 2

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April 2025