“The regime's focus on flood recovery efforts, which has mobilized military personnel, may have shifted attention away from external issues. Preoccupied with domestic matters, a tit-for-tat response to our drills may have not been a top priority for the North's leadership. North Korea may be focusing more on the upcoming U.S. presidential election rather than the military exercises on the Korean Peninsula. With uncertainties surrounding the U.S. elections, Kim could be carefully considering when and how to engage in military provocations to influence the situation in his favor.”
01 Sep 2024
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