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  • Yi Wang
    Yi Wang “No conflict or war ends on the battlefield, but rather at the negotiating table. China supports the convening at an appropriate time of an international peace conference that is acceptable to the Russian and Ukrainian sides with the participation of all parties equally. There, peace plans can be discussed, fairly, to achieve a ceasefire as soon as possible. We must always insist on an objective and just position, there is no magic wand to solve the crisis. All parties should start with themselves.” 12 hours ago
  • Boris Pistorius
    Boris Pistorius “Russia is already producing weapons and ammunition beyond its need for conducting an aggressive war against Ukraine. With increased spending on armaments and the streamlining of the military economy, a significant portion or part of what is produced no longer goes to the front line, but ends up in warehouses. Now you can be naive and say he's doing it just out of caution. As a sceptical person, I would say in this case that he's doing it because he has plans or could have them.” 18 hours ago
  • Emmanuel Macron
    Emmanuel Macron “There is a risk our Europe could die. We are not equipped to face the risks. Russia must not be allowed to win in Ukraine. Europeans should give preference to buying European military equipment. We must produce more, we must produce faster, and we must produce as Europeans.” 18 hours ago
  • Aleksey Kushch
    Aleksey Kushch “By including the Ukraine package in a bill that also provides military aid to Israel and Taiwan, the US shows the world that it equals Ukraine's and Israel's archenemies - Russia and Iran. This is a mighty geopolitical slap for China. As the trade turnover between Russia and China rose to $240bn last year, the more the US pushes Beijing, the more discounts for oil and gas China gets from Russia.” 19 hours ago
  • Nikolay Mitrokhin
    Nikolay Mitrokhin “The aid is a surprisingly exact match of Ukrainian military's needs that mostly has a deficit of air defence weaponry of all kinds and also needs to replenish its arsenal of tank destroyers, anti-infantry landmines and other kinds of ammunition. It's obviously needed to deliver infantry and other ground troops to the front line but not for an advance - otherwise the US would have given tanks.” 19 hours ago
  • Ihor Romanenko
    Ihor Romanenko “The aid can improve the situation on the 1,000km-long (620-mile-long) front line. But the aid looks like a handout to show that we haven't been forgotten, no more than that. They're always late, they hit the brakes, they're afraid. All of that is done to catch up [with Russia], but wars are won by those who act ahead of time.” 19 hours ago
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Zero Covid policy in China

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Zero Covid policy in China.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“The data exceeded expectations over the board, which means fewer risks to Q1-23 growth. We have revised our growth forecast for 2023 to 6.0 percent. The latest official statistics contained warning signs for long-term growth, including the first official decline in the population since 1961. Namely, China experienced a permanent loss in potential output as a result of low fertility rates during three long years of zero-COVID, resulting in a marked population decline.”

author
Senior economist for Asia at UBP in Hong Kong
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“This can't be fixed in the short-run, you can't build iPhone cities that easily in other parts of Asia. The supply chains of companies like Apple are incredibly vulnerable because they're concentrated almost exclusively within China.”

author
Managing director of consultancy China Beige Book
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“By now it should be clear to the Chinese leadership that it is unrealistic to hope to eliminate COVID-19 entirely through lockdowns and repeated testing, given the Omicron variant's high transmissibility and the large number of asymptomatic cases. The recent protests themselves have not dented Xi's political authority, but unless it adapts, the government may encounter a growing political backlash against its COVID-19 policy.”

author
Assistant Director and Senior Research Fellow of the East Asian Institute, National University of Singapore.
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“We often pretend that China has a choice in terms of 'zero Covid' versus opening up. There never was a choice. The simple fact is that China is not ready for a wave on that scale.”

author
Virologist at the University of Hong Kong
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“People have been incredibly patient with lockdown measures but authorities must not abuse emergency policies. These unprecedented protests show that people are at the end of their tolerance for excessive Covid-19 restrictions. The Chinese government must immediately review its Covid-19 policies to ensure that they are proportionate and time-bound. All quarantine measures that pose threats to personal safety and unnecessarily restrict freedom of movement must be suspended.”

author
Amnesty International's Deputy Regional Director
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“Ploughing on with zero-Covid could indicate an information deficit. Where nobody really dares to tell Xi Jinping things because he's so powerful.”

author
Senior fellow for China studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)
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“A leader more open to influence or subject to greater checks would not likely have implemented such a draconian policy [spring 2022 lockdown in Shanghai], or at least would have corrected course once its costs and unpopularity became evident. But for Xi, backtracking would have been an unthinkable admission of error.”

author
Retired professor at the Communist Party’s top academy
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“Often, the heads of different departments and companies attend one meeting in the morning about enhancing dynamic zero, and then in the afternoon a meeting about economic growth. The tensions are within Xi's own model for governing the country. The tensions really arise from him.”

author
Independent political commentator in Beijing
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“I'm very worried where this is going because the current lockdown in Shanghai has been looking like it is going to end after this May holiday which means most people can probably walk around their neighbourhoods but for most factories around the East coast they are not in a very good condition. Taking notice of what is happening in Shanghai, many other cities are taking precautionary measures - even with one COVID case a whole city can be locked down. We might be looking at a situation where 30 cities might be locked down simultaneously. That is hugely disruptive to the supply chain.”

author
Chief economist at Hang Seng Bank
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“Only Hong Kong and China are saying they are trying to eradicate the virus. It would have worked if other countries did the same but the fact they don't think that way means the virus is always flowing.”

author
Professor at the National University of Singapore’s Business School
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“The regime thinks it needs to maintain a 'zero Covid' policy to maintain its legitimacy. At a huge cost, though... Outbreaks have become so commonplace that it's really a non-event. But the Chinese authorities want to control any small potential source of instability.”

author
China expert at the University of Toronto
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