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  • Andrei Soldatov
    Andrei Soldatov “The problem is to actually be able to prevent terrorist attacks, you need to have a really good and efficient system of intelligence sharing and intelligence gathering. Trust is needed inside the home agency and with agencies of other countries, as is good coordination. That's where you have problems.” 17 hours ago
  • Dmitry Peskov
    Dmitry Peskov “All war crimes [committed] by the Kyiv regime are thoroughly documented. We were well aware of these crimes. And, of course, we will make sure that those behind these crimes are duly punished.” 17 hours ago
  • Timothy Snyder
    Timothy Snyder “The terrorists' car was stopped near Bryansk, which is in western Russia, and so vaguely near Ukraine, which means that the four Tajiks in a Renault were intending to cross the Ukrainian border, which means that they had Ukrainian backers, which means that it was a Ukrainian operation, which means that the Americans were behind it. The reasoning here leaves something to be desired. And the series of associations rests on no factual basis.” 17 hours ago
  • Vladimir Putin
    Vladimir Putin “We have no aggressive intentions towards these states. The idea that we will attack some other country - Poland, the Baltic States, and the Czechs are also being scared - is complete nonsense. It's just drivel. If they supply F-16s, and they are talking about this and are apparently training pilots, this will not change the situation on the battlefield. And we will destroy the aircraft just as we destroy today tanks, armoured vehicles and other equipment, including multiple rocket launchers. Of course, if they will be used from airfields in third countries, they become for us legitimate targets, wherever they might be located.” 17 hours ago
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World economies and inflation

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context World economies and inflation.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“2023 will be a tough year. Why? Because the three big economies, [the] US, EU, China, are all slowing down simultaneously. China, the world's second-largest economy, is likely to grow at or below global growth for the first time in 40 years as COVID-19 cases surge following the dismantling of its ultra-strict 'zero-COVID' policy. That has never happened before. And looking into next year, for three, four, five, six months the relaxation of COVID restrictions will mean bushfire COVID cases throughout China. I was in China last week, in a bubble in the city where there is 'zero COVID'. But that is not going to last once the Chinese people start travelling. Before COVID, China would deliver 34, 35, 40 percent of global growth. It is not doing it anymore. It is actually quite a stressful for … the Asian economies. When I talk to Asian leaders, all of them start with this question, 'What is going to happen with China? Is China going to return to a higher level of growth?' The US is most resilient. The US may avoid recession. We see the labour market remaining quite strong. This is, however, [a] mixed blessing because if the labour market is very strong, the Fed may have to keep interest rates tighter for longer to bring inflation down.”

author
Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund
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“I believe by the end of next year you will see much lower inflation if there's not ... an unanticipated shock. There's a risk of a recession. But ... it certainly isn't, in my view, something that is necessary to bring inflation down.”

author
United States Secretary of the Treasury
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“For the US, if inflation does not show signs of cooling in the last few months of 2022, and measures of inflation expectations start to climb, it would force the Federal Reserve to continue with aggressive rate hikes beyond 2022 into the spring of 2023 - in my opinion that's when the economy will tip into a recession. I think a similar situation would apply to other countries as well, if central banks are forced to increase rates aggressively and persistently, either to defend their currency or to tame inflation, then a recession is inevitable.”

author
Assistant professor of economics at George Washington University
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“Besides surging Covid-19 cases, another concern to mitigate any optimism has been rising prices for everything including fuel and food. Inflation could dampen growth if it doesn't abate as soon as many predict it will. These are known risks at least. If the sunnier assessments prove accurate, we should shrug them off by the middle of next year. Given what we have been through over the past two years it would be understandable if the natural response of decision makers would be to remain cautious or even pessimistic. Instead, we could in fact experience outsized economic expansion in 2022 and beyond - far better than what we had before the pandemic and representing a return to levels of growth we saw before the financial crisis.”

author
Assistant editor in chief at The National
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“Heading into 2022 we will still COVID uncertainties but the good news is that according to the WHO we may be see the end of the pandemic towards the end of year. Next year markets would also have to contend with other issues, ranging from inflationary pressures to policy tightening and geopolitical risks.”

author
CFD Sales at Securequity
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“The important issue for the 2020s is how the world economies cope with inflation, which has now reached 6.8% in the U.S. We hope that a relatively modest adjustment to the tiller will bring the non-transitory elements under control. If not, then the world will need to brace itself for a recession in 2023 or 2024.”

author
Deputy chairman of the British consultancy Cebr
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