Kaja Kallas POLITICIAN
Moussa Faki Mahamat CHAIRPERSON, POLITICIAN
Adrian Zenz ACADEMIC, ANALYST, RESEARCHER
Matthew Kroenig POLITICAL SCIENTIST
Andriy Yermak POLITICIAN
Vitaly Savelyev POLITICIAN
Oleksandr Korniyenko POLITICIAN
Dainius Kreivys POLITICIAN

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Kaja Kallas POLITICIAN
Moussa Faki Mahamat CHAIRPERSON, POLITICIAN
Adrian Zenz ACADEMIC, ANALYST, RESEARCHER
Matthew Kroenig POLITICAL SCIENTIST
Andriy Yermak POLITICIAN
Vitaly Savelyev POLITICIAN
Oleksandr Korniyenko POLITICIAN
Dainius Kreivys POLITICIAN

Context

3

5

IPSEs IN THE LAST 24h

Jimmy Rushton “Shoigu's replacement with a (relatively experienced and apparently competent) economist [Andrei Belousov] pretty clearly signals Putin believes victory in Ukraine will come via outproducing (and outlasting) Ukraine and her Western allies. He's preparing for many more years of war.” 5 hours ago
Konstantin Sonin “Things are not going according to Putin's plan, but he will endlessly rotate the same small group of loyalists. Putin has always feared to bring new people to the positions of authority - even in the best of times, they must have been nobodies with no own perspectives. Toward the end of his rule, even more so.” 5 hours ago
Mark Galeotti “With an economist taking over the Defence Ministry, and the old minister taking up a policy and advisory role, the technocrats are in the ascendant. The goal though is not peace, but a more efficient war. As Putin digs in for the long term, with the 'special military operation' now being the central organising principle of his regime, he knows he needs technocrats to keep his war machine going.” 5 hours ago
Jeff Hawn “This indicates that the Kremlin is not seeking an exit from Ukraine, but once to extend their ability to endure the conflict as long as possible. Russia is very limited [on] how much they can increase scale, due to economic deficiencies. However, they can maintain a certain level of attritional warfare. And are likely hoping to do that longer than Ukraine can.” 5 hours ago
Dmitry Peskov “Today, the winner on the battlefield is the one who is more open to innovation, more open to implementation as quickly as possible. It is natural that at the current stage the president [Vladimir Putin] decided that the Ministry of Defence should be headed by a civilian [Andrei Belousov].” 5 hours ago

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1

Volodymyr Zelenskiy

3
5
1

IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h

Jimmy Rushton Analyst
Konstantin Sonin Analyst, Professor
Jeff Hawn Professor

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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H

Jimmy Rushton “Shoigu's replacement with a (relatively experienced and apparently competent) economist [Andrei Belousov] pretty clearly signals Putin believes victory in Ukraine will come via outproducing (and outlasting) Ukraine and her Western allies. He's preparing for many more years of war.” 5 hours ago
Konstantin Sonin “Things are not going according to Putin's plan, but he will endlessly rotate the same small group of loyalists. Putin has always feared to bring new people to the positions of authority - even in the best of times, they must have been nobodies with no own perspectives. Toward the end of his rule, even more so.” 5 hours ago
Mark Galeotti “With an economist taking over the Defence Ministry, and the old minister taking up a policy and advisory role, the technocrats are in the ascendant. The goal though is not peace, but a more efficient war. As Putin digs in for the long term, with the 'special military operation' now being the central organising principle of his regime, he knows he needs technocrats to keep his war machine going.” 5 hours ago
Jeff Hawn “This indicates that the Kremlin is not seeking an exit from Ukraine, but once to extend their ability to endure the conflict as long as possible. Russia is very limited [on] how much they can increase scale, due to economic deficiencies. However, they can maintain a certain level of attritional warfare. And are likely hoping to do that longer than Ukraine can.” 5 hours ago
Dmitry Peskov “Today, the winner on the battlefield is the one who is more open to innovation, more open to implementation as quickly as possible. It is natural that at the current stage the president [Vladimir Putin] decided that the Ministry of Defence should be headed by a civilian [Andrei Belousov].” 5 hours ago

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NEW CONTEXTS IN THE LAST 24H

Putin Replacing Sergei Shoigu with Deputy Prime Minister and Economist Andrei Belousov as Defense Minister - Considerations
5 hours ago

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US - Ethiopia relations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context US - Ethiopia relations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Ned Price

Inserted 2 years ago

“We believe there is a small window of opening to work with [Olusegun Obasanjo - African Union envoy for the Horn of Africa]. We have engaged with the TPLF [Tigray People's Liberation Front] as well.”

Spokesperson for the United States Department of State

09 Nov 2021 3 3

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Ned Price

Inserted 2 years ago

“We clearly condemned the previous expulsion of UN officials from Ethiopia, and if confirmed, we would similarly condemn arrests of UN staff members based on ethnicity. We understand from reports… that those arrested are Tigrayan. Ethiopian government security force harassment and detention on the basis of of ethnicity is completely unacceptable.”

Spokesperson for the United States Department of State

09 Nov 2021 3 2

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Samuel Getachew

Samuel Getachew

Inserted 2 years ago

“The Ethiopian government continues to accuse the US of siding with the TPLF [Tigray People's Liberation Front]. This comes in addition to plans to cancel a US-Ethiopia trade agreement that creates thousands of jobs in Ethiopia's industrial parts.”

Independent journalist in the Ethiopian capital Addis Ababa

04 Nov 2021 6 2

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US Embassy in Ethiopia

US Embassy in Ethiopia

Inserted 2 years ago

“The [State] Department authorised the voluntary departure of non-emergency US government employees and family members of emergency and non-emergency employees from Ethiopia due to armed conflict, civil unrest, and possible supply shortages.”

Statement of the US Embassy in Ethiopia

04 Nov 2021 4 2

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Jeffrey Feltman

Jeffrey Feltman

Inserted 2 years ago

“We can proceed down one path that inevitably leads to sanctions and other measures or we can go down another path where we can revitalise the partnership that started when prime minister [Abiy Ahmed] took office. The US wants the latter. Prolonging the war, dodging genuine negotiations to lead to de-escalation and a ceasefire, and refusing unhindered humanitarian access to avert catastrophe are actions that are taking Ethiopia [in] a dangerous direction.”

U.S. special envoy for Horn of Africa

02 Nov 2021 3 3

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Jen Psaki

Inserted 2 years ago

“The U.S. government condemns in the strongest possible terms the government of Ethiopia's unprecedented action to expel the leadership of all of the United Nations organizations involved in ongoing humanitarian operations. This is a stain on our collective conscience, and it must stop. We must see meaningful steps within weeks to initiate discussions to achieve a negotiated ceasefire, allow unhindered humanitarian access and ensure respect for human rights. Absent significant progress, we'll take action - and we have the methods to do that.”

White House spokeswoman

30 Sep 2021 3 3

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Antony Blinken

Inserted 2 years ago

“The expulsion is counterproductive to international efforts to keep civilians safe, and deliver lifesaving humanitarian assistance to the millions in dire need.”

U.S. Secretary of State

30 Sep 2021 3 2

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