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  • Abbas Araghchi
    Abbas Araghchi “If there is similar willingness on the other side, and they refrain from making unreasonable and unrealistic demands, I believe reaching an agreement is likely.” 1 hour ago
  • James David Vance
    James David Vance “Since there are the negotiations I won't prejudge them, but we do feel optimistic that we can hopefully bring this war, this very brutal war, to a close.” 1 hour ago
  • Marco Rubio
    Marco Rubio “We need to figure out here now, within a matter of days, whether this is doable in the short term, because if it's not, then I think we're just going to move on. If it's not possible, if we're so far apart that this is not going to happen, then I think the president is probably at a point where he's going to say, 'well, we're done'.” 1 hour ago
  • Phillips O’Brien
    Phillips O’Brien “They can certainly keep Ukraine in the fight. A lot of it depends on what the US does. We have to be careful about that. If the US actually moves to fully backing Russia and provides Russia with a significant amount of intelligence and support, that will be really a problem for Ukraine and Europe. But assuming, say, the US just pulls out and washes its hands of it, Europe has the resources to keep Ukraine going. It would require mobilisation, effort, a significant amount of commitment on Europe's part. So far, they've not, I think, shown the united will to do that, but they certainly could do it if they wanted to. They have the money. They have the technological know-how. They even have the military equipment to make a significant difference.” 1 hour ago
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US - China relations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context US - China relations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“What is the Trump administration's grand strategy for China? They don't have a grand strategy yet. They have a range of disconnected tactics. I remain hopeful that Mr. Trump could reach deals with Japan, South Korea, India, Taiwan and the European Union that would allow them to confront Chinese trade practices together, attract allied investment in U.S. industry and increase security ties. If you are up against someone big, you need to get bigger scale - and that's why we need our allies to be with us.”

author
One of America's leading China strategists, now at the Council of Foreign Relations and Georgetown University
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“Drones and robotics are widely considered the future of warfare, and based on everything we are seeing, the critical inputs for our future supply chain are shut down.”

author
Executive chairman and chief executive of MP Materials
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“The fact that the Chinese authorities had repeatedly matched U.S. tariff hikes suggested that they were in no rush to negotiate. A partial rollback of tariffs still seems likely at some point. But it is hard to envisage a meaningful reset in the U.S.-China relationship.”

author
Head of China economics for the research firm Capital Economics
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“There will be no winners in a tariff war, and going against the world will only isolate oneself. For more than 70 years, China has always relied on self-reliance and hard work for development. It has never relied on anyone's gifts and is unafraid of any unreasonable suppression.”

author
President of the People's Republic of China
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“The shift from the Trump administration offers a little bit of a clue of its priorities in its tariff policy. You can see the administration is releasing some pressure on markets, releasing some of the pressure on US businesses, so that it can keep the pressure on China high, with possibly the ultimate goal of getting Beijing to the negotiating table for better terms of trade. However, it may be difficult to reach that goal. I think if the current pattern stands, China will continue to retaliate until there starts to be some kind of progress. We've seen Beijing is very comfortable and has plenty of practice with these kind of coercive economic tools beyond just tariffs. You're looking at US companies getting blacklisted, import bans on US agriculture products like poultry and sorghum. I think Beijing is perfectly comfortable and will continue increasing this kind of pressure on the US until there's some kind of give, or at least a willingness to step back down.”

author
Assistant director at the Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics Center
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“The impact on China is mainly that Chinese products have nowhere to go. That will ravage export-oriented companies making things like furniture, clothing, toys and home appliances along China's eastern seaboard, which largely exist to serve American consumers. These companies will be hit very hard.”

author
Director of the Institute of International Economics at Peking University
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“Trump has never gone into a back-alley brawl where the other side is willing to brawl and use the same kind of tactics as him. For China, this is about their sovereignty. This is about the Communist Party's hold on power. For Trump, it might just be a political campaign.”

author
Senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies
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“This [diplomatic fissures between the United States and its European allies] has been pretty unequivocally good for China. Beijing sees the wider opportunities that this could bring, from Taiwan contingencies to more global cooperation with Russia to a weakened United States.”

author
Senior fellow at the German Marshall Fund in Berlin who previously advised the European Commission on China strategy
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“The Chinese have seen this coming since Trump was elected and signaled that he wanted to quickly end the war in Ukraine. While a complete rapprochement might not be in the cards, they're nervous because if Trump lifts sanctions on Russia, then Moscow's dependency on China decreases. In the same way as Nixon with China policy, they see Trump as someone who is uniquely placed to run against the current nature of U.S. policy towards Russia and could even travel to Moscow. This doesn't mean the Chinese think that the Russians will break relations, but their strong alignment today could diminish.”

author
Top White House China adviser to former U.S. President George W. Bush
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“Hegseth said very clearly today that from now onwards, the Europeans have to understand that given stark geopolitical developments globally, the Americans won't be primarily focused on Europe's security. There are other challenges. And on top of that agenda is China's growing economic and military clout globally, which the Americans would like to counter.”

author
Al Jazeera’s journalist reporting from Brussels, Belgium
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“These latest announcements are a way of President Trump showing that he's very serious about using the tariff instrument as a policy tool for achieving both economic and non-economic objectives.”

author
Chief economist at the Milken Institute
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“China really learned a lesson from the first Trump administration. It's not wise to immediately take a dramatic measure against Trump, because at the end of the day, we know for sure Trump is very transactional.”

author
Researcher at the Center for Strategic and International Studies
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“Placing additional tariffs on Chinese goods will not help the US to address its own issues, including the fentanyl crisis. Such issues can only be addressed through dialogue and cooperation. Such unchecked actions will only cause catastrophe to global economic growth and trade.”

author
Vice chairman of the China Society for World Trade Organization Studies in Beijing
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“The heightened export controls on rare metals could potentially impact the US high-tech and defense industries, which are highly reliant on imports. It highlights the resourcefulness of the Chinese government's toolkit in responding the US' unilateral move.”

author
Independent analyst who closely follows the critical minerals industry
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“China's swift response to the US tariff hikes underlines the Chinese government's determination to safeguard its legitimate rights and interests. There are no winners in any trade war. Tariffs placed on some of the US' comparatively competitive exports to China such as energy and certain categories of machinery will affect the performance of US companies, as the tariffs will affect their market share in China. However, China's countermeasures are meant to serve as a reminder to US policymakers and hopefully help them better reflect on the negative impacts of the tariffs they imposed.”

author
Senior research fellow at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation
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“It is a response with equal magnitude but in a different way than in 2018 [US - China tariff war during Trump's first term]. This time, it is a mix of tariffs on targeted products, export control and restrictions on market access. It means China is using its role as one of the world's largest markets and producers to bargain with the US.”

author
Senior economist with the investment bank Natixis in Hong Kong
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“Much will depend on the US and how Trump views China's decision to threaten retaliatory tariffs. If Trump sees this as a direct challenge, his administration could respond with additional trade restrictions. This would intensify the conflict.”

author
Professor at City University of Hong Kong who specialises in international economic law
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“As Trump's call with Xi looms, it appears the Chinese president is giving diplomacy a chance to work as it did in the cases of Canada and Mexico. Delaying the tariff implementation until February 10 will allow for top level leadership to meet before then, which still creates an opportunity for both sides to step back from the brink and de-escalate the situation.”

author
Chief economist for China at the Dutch financial firm ING
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“Trump's team will try to peel countries away from China. They seem to want to wedge Russia, North Korea and Iran away from China, which means differentiating these threats rather than implying that they are inter-related. So pushing for a deal with Pyongyang and another one with Moscow seems most likely to me.”

author
Researcher at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington
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“The dilemma for Trump, who has expressed a desire to 'get along with Russia,' and who is trying to squeeze China on trade, is that Moscow's partnership with Beijing limits both Russian willingness to engage with Washington and Chinese vulnerability to U.S. pressure.”

author
Vice President for International Security and Diplomacy at the Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)
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