• Kaja Kallas
  • Moussa Faki Mahamat
  • Adrian Zenz
  • Matthew Kroenig
  • Andriy Yermak
  • Vitaly Savelyev
  • Oleksandr Korniyenko
  • Dainius Kreivys
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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Daoud Kuttab
    Daoud Kuttab “Throughout this Israeli war on Gaza, there hasn't been a warning publicly made by the US that Israel has heeded. It is indeed unclear to what extent such warnings are just optics of putting pressure on the Israeli government while continuing to support its every move. In this sense, one should take with a grain of salt reports that the Biden administration is holding off one shipment of weapons to Israel to pressure it into halting the full-scale invasion of Rafah.” 9 hours ago
  • Bernie Sanders
    Bernie Sanders “The US must now use ALL its leverage to demand an immediate ceasefire, the end of the attacks on Rafah, and the immediate delivery of massive amounts of humanitarian aid to people living in desperation. Our leverage is clear. Over the years, the United States has provided tens of billions of dollars in military aid to Israel.” 10 hours ago
  • Lloyd Austin
    Lloyd Austin “We've been very clear … from the very beginning that Israel shouldn't launch a major attack into Rafah without accounting for and protecting the civilians that are in that battlespace. We've not made a final determination on how to proceed with that shipment [of weapons].” 10 hours ago
  • Vuk Vuksanović
    Vuk Vuksanović “This visit [Xi Jinping in Belgrade] shows that Serbia has exchanged Russia for China went it comes to its main partner to bargain with the West. The full-scale invasion of Ukraine placed the Serbo-Russian relationship under close monitoring, so the government sees a benefit in playing the Chinese card more often now since it's deemed to be less provocative. The Balkans, and Serbia in particular, have become even more interesting for China now that one branch of the Belt and Road Initiative through Russia and Belarus was effectively cut off with the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.” 10 hours ago
  • Aleksandar Vucic
    Aleksandar Vucic “I told him [Xi Jinping] that as the leader of a great power he will be met with respect all over the world, but the reverence and love he encounters in our Serbia will not be found anywhere else. When it comes to cooperation with Beijing, the sky is the limit.” 10 hours ago
  • Catherine Russell
    Catherine Russell “Rafah is now a city of children, who have nowhere safe to go in Gaza. If large-scale military operations start, not only will children be at risk from the violence, but also from chaos and panic, and at a time where their physical and mental states are already weakened.” 14 hours ago
  • Hani Mahmoud
    Hani Mahmoud “You cannot create a safe zone in a war zone. Every time people move from one place to another, they are in search of basic needs and … necessities that are becoming very hard to find right now.” 14 hours ago
View All IPSEs inserted in the Last 24h

US - China potential conflict

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context US - China potential conflict.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Qin Gang
Qin Gang

“Let me emphasise this. The Taiwan issue is the biggest tinderbox between China and the United States. If the Taiwanese authorities, emboldened by the United States, keep going down the road for independence, it most likely [will] involve China and the United States, the two big countries, in a military conflict.”

author
Chinese Ambassador to the United States
28 Jan 2022 4 4
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Global Times
Global Times

“If there is a military conflict between China and the US, it will most likely take place in the Taiwan Straits or the South China Sea. The strengthening of US strongpoints in the second island chain shows how big the potential range of such a military conflict would be. If a war breaks out between China and the US, it is unlikely to end with a few warships of both countries fighting each other at sea. US preparations now have already included the capacity of military mobilization outside the region, so China's military preparedness now needs to include a response to them.”

author
Editorial piece by Global Times
30 Nov 2021 7 3
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Lee Hsien Loong
Lee Hsien Loong

“We should be concerned. I don't think it's going to war overnight, but it is in a situation where you can have a mishap or a miscalculation and be in a very delicate situation. Washington has significantly boosted engagement with Taipei, China has increasingly tested Taiwan's air defenses and the government in Taipei has taken steps such as printing passports with the name Taiwan on them. All these moves raise suspicions and tensions and anxieties, and make it more likely that a mishap or miscalculation can happen. Everybody says the right thing, but if you look at what is happening it is not a static situation.”

author
Prime Minister of Singapore
17 Nov 2021 4 6
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Global Times
Global Times

“Biden does not have the political authority to announce that the US military will 'defend Taiwan' when a war breaks out, nor does he have the confidence to have a strategic collision with the Chinese mainland in the Taiwan Straits to support Taiwan secessionists until a desperate fight erupts, and make the Americans bear the risk of a bottomless war for Taiwan island. So, even if he dared to make a slip of the tongue, he would dare not really think so from the bottom of his heart.”

author
Editorial piece by Global Times
22 Oct 2021 6 6
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Daniel Davis
Daniel Davis

“Bluntly put, America should refuse to be drawn into a no-win war with Beijing. It needs to be said up front: there would be no palatable choice for Washington if China finally makes good on its decades-long threat to take Taiwan by force. Either choose a bad, bitter-tasting outcome or a self-destructive one in which our existence is put at risk.”

author
Senior fellow for defense priorities and a former lieutenant colonel in the US army
05 Oct 2021 2 5
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Bruce Jones
Bruce Jones

“The image we have of two ships exchanging shells has nothing to do with how we fight modern naval warfare. We are talking about ballistic missile destroyers, which are hubs in an extraordinarily sophisticated network of sensors, on land, sea and air and satellites, putting together a vast array of systems knowledge on the Chinese side and on our side. That is the work of some of the most advanced software in the world.”

author
Director of the foreign policy programme at the Brookings Institution and author of a new book about naval competition, To Rule the Waves
24 Sep 2021 5 2
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Bonny Lin
Bonny Lin

“[Taiwan is considered as the top conflict hotspot] mainly because Beijing has defined Taiwan as a core interest and China is set on unification with Taiwan. And from our [the US] perspective, we're Taiwan's main security provider. And we're already seeing this escalation dynamic, and particularly in the last year or so, tend to be really heating up in the Taiwan Strait.”

author
Political scientist at the RAND Corporation serving in the Office of the US Secretary of Defense from 2015 to 2018
19 Feb 2021 3 5
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Thomas Shugart
Thomas Shugart

“To me, it's not really about the South China Sea itself; it's the first step in securing the broader lines of communication and ability to secure their economic means to be able to be successful in that more vital conflict over their sovereignty that they consider for Taiwan.”

author
Former military adviser in the Office of Net Assessment at the US Department of Defense
19 Feb 2021 4 3
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Charles Richard
Charles Richard

“There is a real possibility that a regional crisis with Russia or China could escalate quickly to a conflict involving nuclear weapons, if they perceived a conventional loss would threaten the regime or state. Consequently, the U.S. military must shift its principal assumption from "nuclear employment is not possible" to "nuclear employment is a very real possibility," and act to meet and deter that reality.”

author
Admiral and commander of United States Strategic Command
02 Feb 2021 3 3
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Zhongping Song
Zhongping Song

“If the US attacks islands and reefs in the South China Sea, it will be at a huge cost, which the US has not prepared for now. When the US attacked Iraq, it had formulated an aircraft carrier battle group. But right now, it has only deployed two battle groups near China, which shows that the country has not yet prepared itself. If the US was to truly launch attacks against the islands and reefs in the South China Sea with drones, it wouldn't succeed as the firing range is very short and could not reach the targets.”

author
Hong Kong-based military commentator
30 Oct 2020 3 3
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Henry Kissinger
Henry Kissinger

“Our leaders and [China’s] leaders have to discuss the limits beyond which they will not push threats, and how to define that. You can say this is totally impossible, but if it is, we will slide into a situation similar to World War I.”

author
American politician, diplomat, and geopolitical consultant who served as United States Secretary of State and National Security Advisor under the presidential administrations of Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford
07 Oct 2020 2 3
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Lexiong Ni
Lexiong Ni

“If the United States was out of the way, Taiwan would have long returned to China’s fold and there would be no question about it. If we fight a war with the US, we will make sure that we have absolute superiority and up to now we have not done so. So isn’t it obvious? Even when China-US relations are good, it is a bipartisan consensus from the US that they will never agree to a military move [by Beijing] on Taiwan no matter who becomes the US president, so [the presidency] is not a determining factor at all. Both China and the US don’t want to fight a war – if a nuclear war is triggered, no one can guarantee a win.”

author
Military expert at Shanghai University of Political Science and Law
13 Sep 2020 5 6
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Tsai Ing-wen
Tsai Ing-wen

“The risk of conflict requires careful management by all the parties concerned. We expect and hope that Beijing will continue to exercise restraint consistent with their obligations as a major regional power. There continue to be significant concerns over the potential for accidents, given increased military activity in the region. Therefore we believe it would be important for all parties to maintain open lines and communication to prevent misinterpretations or miscalculations.”

author
President of Taiwan
27 Aug 2020 2 5
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Xu Guangyu
Xu Guangyu

“US forces have sent their bombers and electronic intelligence aircraft near our ADIZ and South China Sea more than 1,000 times in the past two years. The activities show that the US wants to keep tensions high in the region. But this poses no major threat to us. They didn't enter our territorial airspace, so we don't need to shoot them down, and most of the warplanes sent by the US are surveillance aircraft that don't carry weapons. This shows that the US also wants to be restrained and avoid sparking unnecessary conflict.”

author
Senior adviser to the China Arms Control and Disarmament Association
17 Aug 2020 5 2
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Wu Xinbo
Wu Xinbo

“Trump does have the political motive to create a crisis to divert his troubles at home. But militarywise a conflict with China is too risky to manage”

author
Director of Fudan University’s Centre for American Studies
04 Aug 2020 2 4
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Michele Flournoy
Michele Flournoy

“If the U.S. military had the capability to credibly threaten to sink all of China’s military vessels, submarines, and merchant ships in the South China Sea within 72 hours, Chinese leaders might think twice before, say, launching a blockade or invasion of Taiwan.”

author
Former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy under President Bill Clinton and the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy under President Barack Obama
18 Jun 2020 3 6
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