IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Sue Mi Terry
    Sue Mi Terry “Now is not the time to lift sanctions, either. Now, in fact, is the time to double down. If Biden wants to prevent North Korea from acting out, he needs to first provide the government with new incentives to talk-and that means new restrictions Washington can use as carrots. Biden, in other words, needs to take North Korean policy off autopilot and launch a proactive effort to deter Pyongyang. Otherwise, he risks encouraging an already emboldened Kim to stage a major provocation.” 7 hours ago
  • Christopher Cavoli
    Christopher Cavoli “Russians don't have the numbers necessary to do a strategic breakthrough. More to the point, they don't have the skill and capability to do it, to operate at the scale necessary to exploit any breakthrough to strategic advantage. They do have the ability to make local advances and they have done some of that.” 8 hours ago
  • Nazar Voloshin
    Nazar Voloshin “The situation in the Kharkiv sector remains complicated but is evolving in a dynamic manner. Our defence forces have partially stabilised the situation. The advance of the enemy in certain zones and localities has been halted.” 13 hours ago
  • Volodymyr Zelenskiy
    Volodymyr Zelenskiy “The situation in the Kharkiv region is generally under control, and our soldiers are inflicting significant losses on the occupier. However, the area remains extremely difficult.” 13 hours ago
  • Bezalel Smotrich
    Bezalel Smotrich “Defense Minister Gallant announced today his support for the establishment of a Palestinian terrorist state as a reward for terrorism and Hamas for the most terrible massacre of the Jewish people since the Holocaust.” 13 hours ago
  • Yoav Gallant
    Yoav Gallant “I must reiterate … I will not agree to the establishment of Israeli military rule in Gaza. Israel must not establish civilian rule in Gaza.” 13 hours ago
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Ukraine - Russia relations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Ukraine - Russia relations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“He [Vladimir Putin] has questioned the right to sovereignty of Ukraine and he's declared that this was a historic mistake, a historic accident that Ukraine is existing. So it's most likely that his final ambition is to destroy this Ukrainian state, or at least make Ukraine divide into two separate halves.”

author
Professor at Austria's Innsbruck University and member of a group of Russia experts that meets yearly with Putin
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“I've received a request from the foreign ministry. I will consider the issue of severing diplomatic relations between Ukraine and the Russian Federation. Immediately after our press conference, I will consider this issue. As for martial law ... this question is clear to us. We believe that there will be no war, there will be no powerful (war) against Ukraine and there will be no wide escalation by the Russian Federation. If there is a (wide escalation), then martial law will be introduced.”

author
President of Ukraine
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“It is clear to everyone that (Ukraine) is not going to do anything on this Minsk package of measures... Russia has made and is still making efforts to peacefully resolve all the difficult and tragic elements in the development of events, but today we are where we are.”

author
President of Russia
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“Russia has to be stopped right now. We see how events are unfolding. It's time to act. I'm officially saying that there are all the grounds to implement at least a part of sanctions prepared against Russia, now.”

author
Foreign Minister of Ukraine
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“To prevent civilian casualties, I am calling on the residents of the republics who do not have mobilization orders and are not involved in operating social and civilian infrastructure, to depart as soon as possible to the Russian Federation. The Russian Federation is ready to ensure organized reception and accommodation of LPR [Luhansk People's Republic] residents on its territory.”

author
Head of the Luhansk People's Republic
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“All that Kyiv needs to do is sit at the negotiating table with representatives of the Donbas and agree on political, military and economic measures to end the conflict. Unfortunately, right now we see a deterioration of the situation in the Donbas.”

author
President of Russia
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“Such a large military presence is not unprecedented. Ukrainian newspapers reported the presence of as many as 100,000 Russian soldiers in bordering regions several years ago. This number is constant because of a continuous cycle of military exercises taking place in these regions that have seen military personnel come and go with each new drill. Now these exercises are being used as part of a system of military-political pressure. No one knows whether the results will be achieved, but [Russian President Vladimir] Putin has already forced Western countries to sit down at the negotiating table. This is already a victory.”

author
Military columnist for Novaya Gazeta
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“Ukrainian Stanytsia Luhanska village was shelled with heavy weapons from the occupied territory of the Donbas. Civilian infrastructure damaged. We call on all partners to swiftly condemn this severe violation of Minsk agreements by Russia amid an already tense security situation.”

author
Foreign Minister of Ukraine
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“He [Vladimir Putin] said this is quasi-religious ... the idea that there is sacred soil that exists outside of that, the territorial borders of Russia, and that what you need to do is regain that sacred soil and the ethnic Russians that are on it, whether they want to be part of your state or not. The idea of Putin looking at Ukraine through a nationalist or ethnic-identity lens is one of the most alarming things about the standoff over Ukraine. It's also something non-Russians tend to overlook in their eagerness to interpret Putin's actions and motivations the possibility that the consequences of invading Ukraine mean little to him in the face of a quasi-religious quest. So if that's driving him, I think all bets are off.”

author
Associate professor and national security expert at the University of New Haven in Connecticut
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“It comes down to Putin because he has a view of history that sees the greatest catastrophe of the 20th century being the dissolution of the Soviet Union. And I think, before he leaves, he's determined to restore as much of that as he can. He's in his late 60s now and I think he's determined to do it before he leaves - bring Ukraine back into Russia by force, if necessary, preferably by bluff.”

author
Former Canadian diplomat
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“Today, many journalists and many leaders are hinting a little to Ukraine that it is possible not to take risks, not to constantly raise the issue of future membership in the alliance [NATO], because these risks are associated with the reaction of the Russian Federation. I believe that we should move along the path we have chosen.”

author
President of Ukraine
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“There were positive signals that a solution to Ukraine could be based only on fulfilling the Minsk agreements. There is no indication from Zelenskiy that Ukraine's authorities are ready to quickly do what Kyiv should have done long ago. So there are positive signals and there are less positive.”

author
Kremlin spokesman
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“The military presence is aimed at threatening Poland and Lithuania westwards, and Ukraine's north. The message is that Russia is able to conduct an operation that could seize Kyiv. They're stretching our limited resources, preparing for a possible assault and conducting intelligence gathering to see what capabilities we employ and how we react. It sends the clear message that they have the goal, capability and political will to apply military force in Ukraine if the West don't agree to [President Vladimir] Putin's demands.”

author
Former Ukrainian diplomat and security policy expert at the Centre for Defence Strategies
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“There is no foreign policy in Russia - only domestic. Therefore, the point of all this back-and-forth and squabbling is to have it all on the air, around the clock. If suddenly NATO makes some compromises, then we will scream that a great victory has been won … Our interest is not that the crisis is resolved, but that it exists. The Kremlin's interest is not in a settlement, but in constant tension.”

author
Russian journalist
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“This narrative is fed by nameless, anonymous officials to the media, while it's far from clear that this is an accurate description of Russian plans. The Ukrainian government doesn't really buy it, and their very consolidated message is that a Russian invasion or the occupying of major cities are very, very unlikely. The number of [Russian] troops at Ukrainian borders are not really significantly greater than the troops that have been there since spring last year.”

author
Ukrainian sociologist and research associate at the Institute of East European Studies, Freie Universität Berlin
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“The good news is that advisers agreed to meet in Berlin in two weeks, which means that Russia for the next two weeks is likely to remain on the diplomatic track.”

author
Foreign Minister of Ukraine
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“If you want to stage a successful coup you need to have a lot of support from the inside, which Putin apparently doesn't have. On top of that, if you change the government, you own Ukraine … and that would be a very expensive enterprise for the Russian leadership.”

author
Head of the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC), a Kremlin-linked think tank
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“The West must view Ukraine as a self-standing important part of the West. This conflict unleashed by Russia against Ukraine will only end once the West sends a very simple message to Russia: Ukraine is not just a country that we support; it is a part of our world, it is one of us, and it will never return to you.”

author
Foreign Minister of Ukraine
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“I will say realistically if Russia decides to enhance their escalation, of course, they are going to do this on those territories where historically there are people who used to have family links to Russia. Russia needs a pretext: They will say that they are protecting the Russian-speaking population. After the occupation and the annexation of Crimea, we understand that this is feasible and may happen. But I don't know what they are going to do because these are big cities. Kharkiv has over 1 million citizens. It's not going to be just an occupation; it's going to be the beginning of a large-scale war.”

author
President of Ukraine
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