• Kaja Kallas
  • Moussa Faki Mahamat
  • Adrian Zenz
  • Matthew Kroenig
  • Andriy Yermak
  • Vitaly Savelyev
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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Jimmy Rushton
    Jimmy Rushton “Shoigu's replacement with a (relatively experienced and apparently competent) economist [Andrei Belousov] pretty clearly signals Putin believes victory in Ukraine will come via outproducing (and outlasting) Ukraine and her Western allies. He's preparing for many more years of war.” 3 hours ago
  • Konstantin Sonin
    Konstantin Sonin “Things are not going according to Putin's plan, but he will endlessly rotate the same small group of loyalists. Putin has always feared to bring new people to the positions of authority - even in the best of times, they must have been nobodies with no own perspectives. Toward the end of his rule, even more so.” 3 hours ago
  • Mark Galeotti
    Mark Galeotti “With an economist taking over the Defence Ministry, and the old minister taking up a policy and advisory role, the technocrats are in the ascendant. The goal though is not peace, but a more efficient war. As Putin digs in for the long term, with the 'special military operation' now being the central organising principle of his regime, he knows he needs technocrats to keep his war machine going.” 3 hours ago
  • Jeff Hawn
    Jeff Hawn “This indicates that the Kremlin is not seeking an exit from Ukraine, but once to extend their ability to endure the conflict as long as possible. Russia is very limited [on] how much they can increase scale, due to economic deficiencies. However, they can maintain a certain level of attritional warfare. And are likely hoping to do that longer than Ukraine can.” 4 hours ago
  • Dmitry Peskov
    Dmitry Peskov “Today, the winner on the battlefield is the one who is more open to innovation, more open to implementation as quickly as possible. It is natural that at the current stage the president [Vladimir Putin] decided that the Ministry of Defence should be headed by a civilian [Andrei Belousov].” 4 hours ago
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The downing of the Ilyushin Il-76 plane in Russia's Belgorod region

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context The downing of the Ilyushin Il-76 plane in Russia's Belgorod region.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Nikolay Mitrokhin
Nikolay Mitrokhin

“One military agency was preparing the usually-secret prisoner swap. Another military agency in a no-less-secret mode moved a Patriot or something similar to the Russian border because it knew that something big and heavy was flying beyond it. And as soon as they saw [the Il-76 plane] on their monitors, it didn't occur to anyone to call Kyiv and ask whether a prisoner swap was in the works and could [the prisoners] be on that plane.”

author
Research Fellow at Bremen University
26 Jan 2024 3 1
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Vladimir Putin
Vladimir Putin

“I don't know if they did it on purpose or by mistake, but it is obvious that they did it. In any case, what happened is a crime. Either through negligence or on purpose, but in any case, it is a crime. The plane could not have been brought down by Russian friendly fire. There are 'friend or foe' systems there, and no matter how much the operator presses the button, our air defence systems would not work.”

author
President of Russia
26 Jan 2024 2 2
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Andriy Yusov
Andriy Yusov

“Unfortunately, we can assume various scenarios, including provocation, as well as the use of Ukrainian prisoners as a human shield for transporting ammunition and weapons for S-300 systems.”

author
Ukrainian military intelligence spokesperson
25 Jan 2024 2 2
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Andrei Kartopolov
Andrei Kartopolov

“The Ukrainian side was officially warned, and 15 minutes before the plane entered the zone they were given complete information, which they received and the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ukrainian Armed Forces confirmed receipt of. We all know very well what happened next.”

author
Senior Russian lawmaker and a former general with close ties to Russia's defence ministry
25 Jan 2024 3 2
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