IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Mahmoud Abbas
    Mahmoud Abbas “We stand ready to work with you [Donald Trump] to achieve peace during you tenure. This would be guided by the two-state solution on international legitimacy. This vision seeks the establishment of the State of Palestine and the State of Israel living side by side in peace and security.” 50 minutes ago
  • Craig Kennedy
    Craig Kennedy “Moscow now faces a dilemma: the longer it puts off a ceasefire, the greater the risk that credit events - such as corporate and bank bailouts - uncontrollably arise and weaken Moscow's negotiating leverage.” 1 hour ago
  • Recep Tayyip Erdogan
    Recep Tayyip Erdogan “As regards the issue of natural gas, Slovakia was disconnected from gas with termination of transit via Ukraine. We discussed this matter, we have the TurkStream gas pipeline. Let's make a step and discuss this topic at the level of energy ministers. The demand of Slovakia for natural gas should be satisfied. I suggested solving this issue through talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Mr. Putin. I hope we will be able to have communications, to start telephone diplomacy as early as this week.” 1 hour ago
  • Emmanuel Macron
    Emmanuel Macron “The challenge after the fighting ends will be to provide Ukraine with guarantees against any return to war on its territory and guarantees for our own security.” 1 hour ago
  • Yara Hawari
    Yara Hawari “While the Gaza ceasefire is a positive step the danger to the occupied West Bank from an Israeli invasion continues to rise. It's brought about a huge amount of relief that the bombardment will stop, but I think crucially the ceasefire does not mean an end to the occupation neither in Gaza or the West Bank. So people are under no illusion that this means an end to Israeli control over their lives. I think people are pessimistic as to whether the ceasefire will actually hold because they know the Israeli regime is already trying to sabotage it. The situation in the occupied West Bank remains as precarious as ever. We saw a year of genocide in Gaza go unchecked so the big question is could they do the same in the West Bank? I'm afraid without accountability measures the answer is yes.” 5 hours ago
  • Joe Biden
    Joe Biden “These are exceptional circumstances, and I cannot in good conscience do nothing. Baseless and politically motivated investigations wreak havoc on the lives, safety and financial security of targeted individuals and their families. The issuance of these pardons should not be mistaken as an acknowledgment that any individual engaged in any wrongdoing, nor should acceptance be misconstrued as an admission of guilt for any offense. Our nation owes these public servants a debt of gratitude for their tireless commitment to our country.” 6 hours ago
  • Ali Jarbawi
    Ali Jarbawi “Hamas's parades through Gaza on Sunday are more than a message to the international community that it is in control. They also reflect the reality on the ground. Hamas was there before the war and they're there now.” 16 hours ago
  • Ibrahim Madhoun
    Ibrahim Madhoun “The message is that Hamas is 'the day after' for the war. They're conveying that Hamas must be a part of any future arrangements, or at least, be coordinated with.” 16 hours ago
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Strategic Considerations for Trump’s Second Term: US-EU Relations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Strategic Considerations for Trump’s Second Term: US-EU Relations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“Trump is very angry with all the people who were happy that he was defeated by Biden. And I think he really wants to make all those people pay, von der Leyen and Scholz and Macron and all the others. He's back, a bit like in a movie, Trump 2.”

author
Research Professor at the CNRS (Centre national de la recherche scientifique), CEVIPOF, Sciences Po, Paris
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“There's going to be some pain before that pain galvanises [the continent] into further European unity. It's not going to be an instant wake-up call. In January as we know, it's going to be a swift and brutal transition of [US] power. We're going to see a dip, some panic, some chaos, some uncertainty. In the end, given the brutality of what's coming from the Trump White House, we're going to see more cohesion in Europe than what we've seen for the past years. I think we're finally maybe going to see the Zeitenwende [epochal change] that's been promised for years actually taking shape.”

author
Fellow at the European University Institute's Robert Schuman Centre
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“Trump has been very clear that Europeans need to ramp up their defence spending even further. He wants a three percent of GDP pledge and we can expect him to push this hard. Europeans have long recognised the need to step up on security and defence, but this realisation has not been matched by resources or true political will. The systemic threat that Russia poses to European security makes this shift extremely urgent if American engagement decreases. The first thing Europe needs to do now is to take the lead in supporting Ukraine towards victory against Russia. Europe will also be up against opposition to autonomy from Trump. He does not want the European defence market to become autonomous, which is a prerequisite for European strategic autonomy. Rather, we saw during the previous Trump administration that he pushed Europeans to buy more American defence material. Neither has he expressed any wish for the Europeans to develop their own nuclear deterrence, another necessary condition for European strategic autonomy.”

author
Director for Northern Europe at the Atlantic Council
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“A Trump presidency is likely to prod Europe in to taking its own security more seriously, unable to depend on US support. While this might seem to be a downside for Moscow, in fact it is regarded positively. First of all, despite some overheated rhetoric in the West, Russia does not seem to have plans for a direct military confrontation with Nato. Secondly, the more spent on defence, the more pressure, it hopes, on those funds earmarked for Ukraine. Finally, rearmament is a slow process, and Putin's belief that democracies are inherently incapable of seeing beyond the electoral cycle or the day's news means that he presumes any such plans will never be brought fully to fruition.”

author
Senior associate fellow at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)
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“With Trump saying during his campaign that he was going to move forward [and] have a deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin and end the war in Ukraine, people here are trying to figure out exactly what the Americans mean by 'a deal with Putin'. Is it going to be forcing the Ukrainians to make more and more concessions, something which was brushed aside by the Ukrainians, by the Germans and by the French in particular? Generally speaking, the Europeans are concerned about what happens next.”

author
Al Jazeera’s journalist
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