IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Mahmoud Abbas
    Mahmoud Abbas “We stand ready to work with you [Donald Trump] to achieve peace during you tenure. This would be guided by the two-state solution on international legitimacy. This vision seeks the establishment of the State of Palestine and the State of Israel living side by side in peace and security.” 35 minutes ago
  • Craig Kennedy
    Craig Kennedy “Moscow now faces a dilemma: the longer it puts off a ceasefire, the greater the risk that credit events - such as corporate and bank bailouts - uncontrollably arise and weaken Moscow's negotiating leverage.” 46 minutes ago
  • Recep Tayyip Erdogan
    Recep Tayyip Erdogan “As regards the issue of natural gas, Slovakia was disconnected from gas with termination of transit via Ukraine. We discussed this matter, we have the TurkStream gas pipeline. Let's make a step and discuss this topic at the level of energy ministers. The demand of Slovakia for natural gas should be satisfied. I suggested solving this issue through talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Mr. Putin. I hope we will be able to have communications, to start telephone diplomacy as early as this week.” 1 hour ago
  • Emmanuel Macron
    Emmanuel Macron “The challenge after the fighting ends will be to provide Ukraine with guarantees against any return to war on its territory and guarantees for our own security.” 1 hour ago
  • Yara Hawari
    Yara Hawari “While the Gaza ceasefire is a positive step the danger to the occupied West Bank from an Israeli invasion continues to rise. It's brought about a huge amount of relief that the bombardment will stop, but I think crucially the ceasefire does not mean an end to the occupation neither in Gaza or the West Bank. So people are under no illusion that this means an end to Israeli control over their lives. I think people are pessimistic as to whether the ceasefire will actually hold because they know the Israeli regime is already trying to sabotage it. The situation in the occupied West Bank remains as precarious as ever. We saw a year of genocide in Gaza go unchecked so the big question is could they do the same in the West Bank? I'm afraid without accountability measures the answer is yes.” 5 hours ago
  • Joe Biden
    Joe Biden “These are exceptional circumstances, and I cannot in good conscience do nothing. Baseless and politically motivated investigations wreak havoc on the lives, safety and financial security of targeted individuals and their families. The issuance of these pardons should not be mistaken as an acknowledgment that any individual engaged in any wrongdoing, nor should acceptance be misconstrued as an admission of guilt for any offense. Our nation owes these public servants a debt of gratitude for their tireless commitment to our country.” 6 hours ago
  • Ali Jarbawi
    Ali Jarbawi “Hamas's parades through Gaza on Sunday are more than a message to the international community that it is in control. They also reflect the reality on the ground. Hamas was there before the war and they're there now.” 16 hours ago
  • Ibrahim Madhoun
    Ibrahim Madhoun “The message is that Hamas is 'the day after' for the war. They're conveying that Hamas must be a part of any future arrangements, or at least, be coordinated with.” 16 hours ago
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Strategic Considerations for Trump’s Second Term: Impact on the Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Strategic Considerations for Trump’s Second Term: Impact on the Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“We will be waiting for specific initiatives. President Putin has said on multiple occasions that he is ready to meet, but no proposals have been made yet. President Trump also said that Putin wanted to meet and he believed they should meet but he first needed to take office.”

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Russian Foreign Minister
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“I just don't think it's realistic to say we're going to expel every Russian from every inch of Ukrainian soil, even Crimea. President Trump has acknowledged that reality, and I think it's been a huge step forward that the entire world is acknowledging that reality. Now let's move forward.”

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US Congressman set to serve as Trump’s national security adviser
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“People need to understand that he's [Donald Trump] not trying to give something to Putin or to the Russians. He's actually trying to save Ukraine and to save their sovereignty. And he's going to make sure that it's equitable and that it's fair. Biden's biggest mistake was refusing to talk to Vladimir Putin after 2022, while Trump is determined to do so. Trump will be able to propose an acceptable solution to Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy in the near term. I would like to set a goal on a personal and professional level. I would say let's set it at a hundred days.”

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Trump-nominated Ukraine-Russia envoy
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“Trump could be crucial. This is the most important thing for us. He, his qualities - they are there. He could be crucial in this war. He is able to stop Putin, or to be more fair, to help us stop Putin. He can do it.”

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President of Ukraine
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“The smart money right now is that [Trump] can probably get the Russians and the Ukrainians to talk to both him and each other.”

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Europe and Central Asia program director at Crisis Group
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“One of the things I want to do, and quickly, and President Putin said that he wants to meet with me as soon as possible… We have to wait for this; we have to end this war. This war is horrible. This war would have never happened if I was president. I will end the war in Ukraine. I will stop the chaos in the Middle East. I will prevent, I promise, World War III. We are very close to World War III.”

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US President-elect
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“It's important to ensure long-term aid to Ukraine - it must be clear that we are prepared to enable support as long as it is needed. Air defense, artillery and ammunition are high on the list. My impression from talking to the president-elect [Donald Trump] is that good cooperation between Europe and the U.S. is possible. The principle is always: no decisions over Ukrainians' heads, and that of course means over those of the European states.”

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Chancellor of Germany
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“We've got a little progress. It's a tough one… People are being killed at levels nobody's ever seen. Ukraine is a land of flat terrain, where the only thing that stops a bullet is the human body. It's a very flat surface; it's great farming land. It's the breadbasket for the world, actually. The war in Ukraine is far worse than people are reporting, for both sides. We're going to do our best; we've been doing our best. We'll see what happens. Since the elections, I've been working every day to put the world at ease a little bit and to get rid of wars.”

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US President-elect
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“They want to secure their place on the new U.S. administration's radar. They're trying to establish contacts, build bridges. They're trying to explain to Trump and his people that if there is someone who doesn't want to negotiate now, it's Putin, not Zelensky. Part of the Ukrainian tactic is to show that they're constructive, realist.”

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Head of a Kyiv-based think tank, New Europe Center
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“As for us, we are open to holding an honest dialogue that is based on mutual respect and consideration of interests. The big question is whether the new [US] administration will jump on this opportunity. By throwing shade at the current [US] administration, Trump and his camp send mixed signals, adhering to the principles of 'America first' and 'peace through strength.' This high and mighty attitude doesn't sit well with Russia.”

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Russian Deputy Foreign Minister
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“Keith has led a distinguished Military and Business career, including serving in highly sensitive National Security roles in my first Administration. Kellogg was with me right from the beginning. Together, we will secure PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH, and Make America, and the World, SAFE AGAIN!”

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US President-elect
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“While conclusions about the influence of individual members of Trump's team are purely speculative, there are signs that Zelenskyy has given up on his principal position about the return of all occupied areas, including the Crimean peninsula that Moscow annexed in 2014. Before Trump's election, Kyiv insisted that it would not recognise the occupied territories as part of Russia. There is also a Putin factor. The Russian leader's conduct could run contrary to the expectations of Trump's team and cause an upset, before they are in conflict with Zelenskyy and Ukraine's Western supporters.”

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Research Fellow at Bremen University
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“The Ukrainian government is dismayed as to what to do when Trump returns to the White House in January. There are no new strategies, everyone wants to change their tune on the go. A key moment will be when Trump appoints a new US ambassador to Kyiv and a special envoy for the Russia-Ukraine war.”

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Kyiv-based analyst
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“We're getting ready for the worst-case scenario, when [Trump] stops all the supplies. Trump has also said that if Moscow does not start peace talks, he will up the ante by supplying advanced arms to Kyiv. But it is hard to expect anything concrete from him. There are expectations, but it's like talking to the wind.”

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Lieutenant General - Former deputy chief of Ukraine’s general staff of armed forces
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“Trump may not cancel outgoing President Joe Biden's permission to use high-precision US-supplied missiles for strikes inside Russia if he profits from something. It can be a reputational profit, a political profit or an economic profit. It can even be a profit [achieved] through humiliating Putin. Any profit will suit him.”

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Advisor to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy
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“I have had contacts with President Trump. I only understand direct contacts between presidents. As for the teams - they have their own contacts... Regarding the processes being started between our teams - I am confident they will be taking place.”

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President of Ukraine
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“If Trump can end the Russia-Ukraine war in 24 hours, I'll be the first one voting for his Nobel Peace Prize. What I hope he does, and I think he will, is put pressure on both sides to get to the negotiating table, and it comes out kind of like the end of the Korean War, which is to say, Putin, unfortunately, but in a real world, will end up with about 20 percent of Ukraine, the chunk that he currently holds, but the rest of Ukraine, the 80 percent, all those resources, vast majority of the population, they stay democratic, free. Ukraine will also get a path to NATO, probably three to five years, realistically. It's not the worst outcome in the world. Keep in mind that a negotiated settlement is not something the U.S. can impose-but for the Ukrainians and Russians to agree upon. Negotiating a ceasefire and eventual settlement will take months. Ukraine's entry into NATO could be accomplished over a couple years.”

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Former North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) commander
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“The Trump administration would ask Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky for his version of a realistic vision for peace. And if President Zelensky comes to the table and says, well we can only have peace if we have Crimea, he shows to us that he's not serious. Crimea is gone. And if that is your priority of getting Crimea back and having American soldiers fight to get Crimea back, you're on your own. What we're going to say to Ukraine is, you know what you see? What do you see as a realistic vision for peace. It's not a vision for winning, but it's a vision for peace. And let's start having the honest conversation. The reality on the ground is that the European nation states and President Biden did not give Ukraine the ability and the arms to win this war at the very beginning and they failed to lift the restrictions for Ukraine to win.”

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Adviser to President-elect Donald Trump
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“A Trump presidency is likely to prod Europe in to taking its own security more seriously, unable to depend on US support. While this might seem to be a downside for Moscow, in fact it is regarded positively. First of all, despite some overheated rhetoric in the West, Russia does not seem to have plans for a direct military confrontation with Nato. Secondly, the more spent on defence, the more pressure, it hopes, on those funds earmarked for Ukraine. Finally, rearmament is a slow process, and Putin's belief that democracies are inherently incapable of seeing beyond the electoral cycle or the day's news means that he presumes any such plans will never be brought fully to fruition.”

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Senior associate fellow at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)
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“If Donald Trump had won in 2020 in the United States, these two nightmarish years wouldn't have happened. There wouldn't have been a war. The situation on the front is obvious - there's been a military defeat. The Americans are going to pull out of this war.”

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Prime Minister of Hungary
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