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  • Marwan Bishara
    Marwan Bishara “Once again, the US's veto demonstrated a policy of it's my way or the highway. Palestine could only be a country the way the United States sees it, or Israel sees it, only at the time that it's suitable to the United States and within the geopolitics and the global interest of the United States. The US is sacrificing the freedom of Palestinian people for egotistical and narrow interests of the United States and Israel.” 5 hours ago
  • Brad Setser
    Brad Setser “Tariffs are currently 7.5 percent on electric vehicle battery packs but 25 percent on the components of those packs. The lower rate should be raised. China had long steered its subsidies to companies that manufacture and source their products in China - and sometimes had required those companies to be Chinese-owned. In order to build up industrial sectors where China has a first-mover advantage and now a cost advantage you need to have an insulated market - and to use some of the tools that China has already used.” 8 hours ago
  • Lael Brainard
    Lael Brainard “China's policy-driven overcapacity poses a serious risk to the future of the American steel and aluminum industry. China cannot export its way to recovery. China is simply too big to play by its own rules.” 8 hours ago
  • Ruth Harris
    Ruth Harris “War is a physical human endeavour and you have a force that is utterly exhausted, not slightly fatigued. It's a heavily attritional war. It's messy, it's bloody, there is nothing glorious about this. The glide bombs that are currently used are hugely devastating. They're cheap to make. They are pretty damn accurate and they can be adapted really quickly. They are fast and [the Russians] have a lot of them. This is a war of mass cost and pace. That's the operational factor on the ground.” 13 hours ago
  • Ali Vaez
    Ali Vaez “We are in a situation where basically everybody can claim victory. Iran can say that it took revenge, Israel can say it defeated the Iranian attack and the United States can say it successfully deterred Iran and defended Israel. If we get into another round of tit for tat, it can easily spiral out of control, not just for Iran and Israel, but for the rest of the region and the entire world.” 13 hours ago
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South Korea - US military exercise

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context South Korea - US military exercise.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“More analysis is needed, but given that North Korea fired short-range ballistic missiles, this would not cross the U.S. red line and could be seen as mounting a protest against the combined exercises [between US and South Korea]. In addition, it may have been intended to urge the U.S. to concede more for their nuclear negotiations. As the military provocation could pave the way for the Chinese foreign minister to represent North Korea's position on halting the joint exercises and removing challenges against the country, this may have affected the North Korean regime's decision on the timing of the missile firings.”

author
Senior researcher at the state-run Korea Institute for National Unification
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“The Russian bombers' flight [two Tupolev Tu-95 MS strategic bombers conducted a routine flight over the East Sea], which came amid the South Korea-U.S. joint military exercise, can be interpreted as a signal that the tension is intensifying a bloc of the U.S. and its allies and another bloc comprised of China, Russia and North Korea. The U.S. and its allies are confronting the bloc of China, Russia and North Korea in terms of economic, political and diplomatic issues, and it remains to be watched whether this dynamic will be realized in concrete military actions.”

author
Acting president of the Asan Institute for Policy Studies
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“It's an operation [South Korea - US joint military exercise] aimed at preemptively striking our republic and a preliminary training for the complete execution of a nuclear war. It is the sentiment of the South Korean public believing that peace is guaranteed with the cessation of various practices of wars of aggression in the South, and the removal of the hostile policy by withdrawing America's aggression and its armed forces.”

author
Commentary on the Tongil Sinbo a North Korean weekly
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“Kim Yo-jong knows that the militaries of South Korea and the U.S. will carry out the joint exercises as planned starting mid-August. But what she intended through her statement was to bring about internal conflict among South Korean politicians.”

author
Senior researcher at the Korea Research Institute for National Strategy
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“In order to create a new inflection point in inter-Korean relations and to prevent the spread of COVID-19, it is desirable to postpone the exercises. There is no need to forcefully conduct the joint drills when the pandemic situation is worsening.”

author
Member of the Ruling Democratic Party of Korea
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“We are not conducting large-scale exercises [with the US] with the mobilization of troops, and we are preparing the exercises in accordance with the COVID-19 pandemic situation and the peace process on the Korean Peninsula. It is joint command post training without any actual mobilization of troops and is conducted through computer simulations.”

author
South Korean politician serving as the Leader of the centre-liberal Democratic Party
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“I surely see the military drill, which takes place at an important turning point like this, will become an unpleasant prelude to seriously hurting the will of the leaders of the North and South seeking to take the step toward rebuilding trust again and further clouding the path lying ahead for inter-Korean relations. Our government and military will closely watch whether South Korea will carry out their hostile war exercise once again or make a bold decision. Hope or despair? The decision is not upon us.”

author
North Korean politician serving as the Deputy Director of the United Front Department of the Workers' Party of Korea
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“I believe the chances are slim for North Korea to stage an immediate military provocation, even if the drill takes place as scheduled. The regime is facing difficulties in battling the pandemic and other economic adversities including its food supply, while the U.S. is unfolding its North Korea policies. Against this backdrop, a military provocation may result in the North starting off on the wrong foot. Though it is using bellicose rhetoric, the chances of Pyongyang staging an actual provocation seem to be very slim.”

author
Professor at Dongguk University's Department of North Korean Studies
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