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  • Alexander Novak
    Alexander Novak “We are working on mechanisms to prohibit the use of a price cap instrument, regardless of what level is set, because such interference could further destabilise the market. We will sell oil and petroleum products only to those countries that will work with us under market conditions, even if we have to reduce production a little.” 16 hours ago
  • Scot Marciel
    Scot Marciel “Beyond the re-appointment of Kyaw Moe Tun in the UN, Russia is being difficult to work with [in terms of reaching a consensus in the international community to pressure the regime] and is publicly backing the junta. China seems to be consolidating its support for the regime as well. It's different from 2021. They provide tangible support for the junta, whereas those who support the resistance and the anti-coup movement are more rhetorical in their support.” 16 hours ago
  • Chen Gang
    Chen Gang “By now it should be clear to the Chinese leadership that it is unrealistic to hope to eliminate COVID-19 entirely through lockdowns and repeated testing, given the Omicron variant's high transmissibility and the large number of asymptomatic cases. The recent protests themselves have not dented Xi's political authority, but unless it adapts, the government may encounter a growing political backlash against its COVID-19 policy.” 17 hours ago
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South Korea - US military exercise

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context South Korea - US military exercise.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“More analysis is needed, but given that North Korea fired short-range ballistic missiles, this would not cross the U.S. red line and could be seen as mounting a protest against the combined exercises [between US and South Korea]. In addition, it may have been intended to urge the U.S. to concede more for their nuclear negotiations. As the military provocation could pave the way for the Chinese foreign minister to represent North Korea's position on halting the joint exercises and removing challenges against the country, this may have affected the North Korean regime's decision on the timing of the missile firings.”

author
Senior researcher at the state-run Korea Institute for National Unification
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“The Russian bombers' flight [two Tupolev Tu-95 MS strategic bombers conducted a routine flight over the East Sea], which came amid the South Korea-U.S. joint military exercise, can be interpreted as a signal that the tension is intensifying a bloc of the U.S. and its allies and another bloc comprised of China, Russia and North Korea. The U.S. and its allies are confronting the bloc of China, Russia and North Korea in terms of economic, political and diplomatic issues, and it remains to be watched whether this dynamic will be realized in concrete military actions.”

author
Acting president of the Asan Institute for Policy Studies
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“It's an operation [South Korea - US joint military exercise] aimed at preemptively striking our republic and a preliminary training for the complete execution of a nuclear war. It is the sentiment of the South Korean public believing that peace is guaranteed with the cessation of various practices of wars of aggression in the South, and the removal of the hostile policy by withdrawing America's aggression and its armed forces.”

author
Commentary on the Tongil Sinbo a North Korean weekly
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“Kim Yo-jong knows that the militaries of South Korea and the U.S. will carry out the joint exercises as planned starting mid-August. But what she intended through her statement was to bring about internal conflict among South Korean politicians.”

author
Senior researcher at the Korea Research Institute for National Strategy
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“In order to create a new inflection point in inter-Korean relations and to prevent the spread of COVID-19, it is desirable to postpone the exercises. There is no need to forcefully conduct the joint drills when the pandemic situation is worsening.”

author
Member of the Ruling Democratic Party of Korea
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“We are not conducting large-scale exercises [with the US] with the mobilization of troops, and we are preparing the exercises in accordance with the COVID-19 pandemic situation and the peace process on the Korean Peninsula. It is joint command post training without any actual mobilization of troops and is conducted through computer simulations.”

author
South Korean politician serving as the Leader of the centre-liberal Democratic Party
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“I surely see the military drill, which takes place at an important turning point like this, will become an unpleasant prelude to seriously hurting the will of the leaders of the North and South seeking to take the step toward rebuilding trust again and further clouding the path lying ahead for inter-Korean relations. Our government and military will closely watch whether South Korea will carry out their hostile war exercise once again or make a bold decision. Hope or despair? The decision is not upon us.”

author
North Korean politician serving as the Deputy Director of the United Front Department of the Workers' Party of Korea
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“I believe the chances are slim for North Korea to stage an immediate military provocation, even if the drill takes place as scheduled. The regime is facing difficulties in battling the pandemic and other economic adversities including its food supply, while the U.S. is unfolding its North Korea policies. Against this backdrop, a military provocation may result in the North starting off on the wrong foot. Though it is using bellicose rhetoric, the chances of Pyongyang staging an actual provocation seem to be very slim.”

author
Professor at Dongguk University's Department of North Korean Studies
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