South China Sea issue

Hu Bo

Inserted 3 years ago

“Although the US has been trying to decouple with China in other areas, they are still closely connected. So the chance of a large-scale conflict happening is small. But a medium or small-scale conflict is possible, such as two warships hitting each other or occasional crossfire, since the two countries’ warships and aircraft encounter each other every day.”

Scmp

Director of the South China Sea Strategic Situation Probing Initiative

27 Jul 2020 0 4

Li Mingjiang

Inserted 3 years ago

“From the Vietnamese perspective, it’s probably good for its position and interest if Washington appears to be more assertive and confrontational to China. Strong US positions could help modify China’s claims and position in the South China Sea. Vietnam will be happy to see US military presence and security role in the South China Sea, which may help prevent the Chinese military from establishing a domination position.”

Scmp

Associate professor at S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies of Nanyang Technological University in Singapore

19 Jul 2020 2 4

Zhongping Song

Inserted 3 years ago

“The deployment of surveillance aircraft such as the MQ-4C, P-8A and P-3C [Orion maritime patrol and anti-submarine warfare aircraft] could help the US Navy to reconnoitre warship, submarine and other underwater activities in the region as they are able to detect sound pulses and track submarines.”

Scmp

Hong Kong-based military commentator

16 Jul 2020 3 3

Chan Heng Chee

Inserted 3 years ago

“There is no doubt we have substantial interests and relations with both powers but we have never been in this place before. We have not felt the pressure and tug of war of both powers. What is significant is that we are seeing the emergence of a coalescence of like-minded countries who simply want to carry on doing that business, supporting that growth and development, at a time when the two giants are locked in intensifying competition with each other. Singapore will not be put in a position to make a final choice like marriage. Nor [is it] needed. We should not make a choice for as long as we can. Choice will be exercised by each country to line up with the US or China, depending on what initiatives the two powers put on the table.”

Scmp

Singapore’s former ambassador to the US

15 Jul 2020 2 6

Zhu Feng

Inserted 3 years ago

“The U.S. didn't use to comment on the sovereignty issue in the South China Sea, because it itself is not a claimant. But this time it has made itself into a judge or arbiter. It will bring new instability and tension. Trump's current China policy is insane. He is making the China issue the most important topic for his election to cover his failure in preventing the epidemic and to divert public attention. I have no idea how far he will go in fully utilizing the China issue.”

Voanews

Director of a South China Sea studies center at Nanjing University

14 Jul 2020 3 3

Embassy of China in the US

Inserted 3 years ago

“The United States is not a country directly involved in the disputes. However, it has kept interfering in the issue. Under the pretext of preserving stability, it is flexing muscles, stirring up tension and inciting confrontation in the region. Under the pretext of endorsing rules, it is using UNCLOS [United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea] to attack China while refusing to ratify the Convention itself. Under the pretext of upholding freedom of navigation and overflight, it is recklessly infringing on other countries’ territorial sea and airspace and throwing its weight around in every sea of the world. We advise the US side to earnestly honor its commitment of not taking sides on the issue of territorial sovereignty, respect regional countries’ efforts for a peaceful and stable South China Sea and stop its attempts to disrupt and sabotage regional peace and stability.”

China-embassy

Remarks by Spokesperson of the Chinese Embassy in Washington

14 Jul 2020 3 5

Lijian Zhao

Inserted 3 years ago

“It frequently dispatched large-scale advanced warships and military aircraft to the South China Sea that militarised the region and promoted power logic and hegemony. The US is the destructor and troublemaker to peace and stability in the region.”

Aljazeera

Spokesman for the Chinese foreign ministry

14 Jul 2020 0 3

Mike Pompeo

Inserted 3 years ago

“We are making clear: Beijing’s claims to offshore resources across most of the South China Sea are completely unlawful, as is its campaign of bullying to control them.”

Scmp

U.S. Secretary of State

13 Jul 2020 1 4

Michele Flournoy

Inserted 3 years ago

“If the U.S. military had the capability to credibly threaten to sink all of China’s military vessels, submarines, and merchant ships in the South China Sea within 72 hours, Chinese leaders might think twice before, say, launching a blockade or invasion of Taiwan.”

Reuters

Former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy under President Bill Clinton and the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy under President Barack Obama

18 Jun 2020 3 6

Li-Shih Lu

Inserted 3 years ago

“Both the Pratas and Taiping Island in the Spratly chain have lost their geostrategic importance since the mainland developed eight artificial islands [in the South China Sea]. Beijing has three 3,000-metre airstrips on its man-made islands nearby, and they can each accommodate all kinds of [military and civilian] aircraft.”

Scmp

Former instructor at Taiwan’s Naval Academy in Kaohsiung

24 May 2020 (approx) 2 4

Brahma Chellaney

Inserted 3 years ago

“The Doklam affair [military standoff occurred between China and India as China attempted to extend a road on the Doklam plateau southwards] illustrated China's proclivity to miscalculate and overreach. India's refusal to bend while talking peace offers China's other neighbours an example of how to manage Chinese coercion. Doklam also raises a broader question: Had the US stood up to China in the South China Sea, would the seven artificial and now-militarised islands have been created? It is China's success in altering the status quo there - without incurring any international costs - that has emboldened its territorial revisionism in the East China Sea and the Himalayas.”

Dailymail

New Delhi-based geostrategist and author

01 Sep 2017 4 6

Ian Storey

Inserted 2 years ago

“This award represents a devastating legal blow to China's jurisdictional claims in the South China Sea. China will respond with fury, certainly in terms of rhetoric and possibly through more aggressive actions at sea.”

Aljazeera

Senior Fellow at Singapore’s ISEAS Yusof Ishak Institute

13 Jul 2016 1 2

Adrian Brown

Inserted 2 years ago

“It's fair to assume that the Chinese government knew which way this was going to go. Within minutes of the decision, the Chinese government released a fairly detailed statement restating why China always believes these islands belong to them, so now the question is really what is going to happen in the coming days.”

Aljazeera

Al Jazeera’s journalist reporting from Beijing

12 Jul 2016 1 2

Mikkal Herberg

Inserted 3 years ago

“The main impact of the territorial and maritime disputes has been to block the development of new oil and gas resources in the majority of the South China Sea, particularly in what could be the more attractive deeper-water areas. These waters are increasingly accessible as new technology advances. However, despite journalistic hyperbole about the petroleum riches of the South China Sea, the reality is that most Western estimates of the region's oil and gas resource potential suggest relatively modest resources, not nearly large enough to alter Asia's deep dependence on oil and gas imported from outside the region. For example, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) estimates reserves of 11 billion barrels of oil and 190 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. For perspective, according to the BP Statistical Review, in 2014 the Asia-Pacific consumed 11.2 billion barrels of oil and 24 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. Moreover, the region is mainly natural gas-prone, rather than oil-prone , and gas exploration and production conditions there are extremely challenging and unfavorable. In sum, the overall potential for the South China Sea is probably relatively limited. However, Chinese sources make much higher estimates than the USGS, which could suggest a correspondingly higher level of interest in establishing sovereignty and jurisdiction, either officially or within a lobby of maritime actors.”

Nbr

Senior Advisor to the National Bureau of Asian Research and Research Director of NBR's Energy Security Program

28 Jun 2016 1 2

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“It frequently dispatched large-scale advanced warships and military aircraft to the South China Sea that militarised the region and promoted power logic and hegemony. The US is the destructor and troublemaker to peace and stability in the region.”

“We are making clear: Beijing’s claims to offshore resources across most of the South China Sea are completely unlawful, as is its campaign of bullying to control them.”

“If the U.S. military had the capability to credibly threaten to sink all of China’s military vessels, submarines, and merchant ships in the South China Sea within 72 hours, Chinese leaders might think twice before, say, launching a blockade or invasion of Taiwan.”

“This award represents a devastating legal blow to China's jurisdictional claims in the South China Sea. China will respond with fury, certainly in terms of rhetoric and possibly through more aggressive actions at sea.”

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