“I think we just have to assume that it's going to get worse. We're between 100,000 and 200,000 new infections each day... I hope we don't just get to that level of continually seeing over 200,000. As you know, it staggers. You get cases, you get hospitalizations and then you get deaths. It's highly predictable that once you increase in those number of cases, in a staggered way, every couple of weeks you get increase in the hospitalization. We're in a very difficult situation. We never got down to a low baseline where you can actually control community spread by identification, isolation and contact tracing. When you get to the numbers that we are in right now it really is very, very difficult to do effective identification, isolation and contact tracing. For those who have already done the travel, the thing to do now is to try not to congregate with large numbers of people in social settings, like dinners. Try to keep it restricted to the immediate family and the immediate household. Because once you get to large numbers of people at a dinner inside, poor air ventilation and circulation, that's when you get into trouble. [Not following public health advice] could make January even worse than December. I hope that doesn't happen but it certainly is possible.”
29 Dec 2020
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