IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Theresa Fallon
    Theresa Fallon “Many people would like to see China play a constructive role, but I think now that we're in the third year of the war, this idea is wearing a bit thin.” 2 hours ago
  • Mahjoob Zweiri
    Mahjoob Zweiri “What we have witnessed in the past few hours is that they talk about an agreement on the first stage. It could be understood that Hamas wants to release itself from the pressure globally, including the United States. So, they are giving concessions on the first stage, which leads to 40 days of ceasefire and exchange of captives. I think 33 old and sick captives. And then moving on to other stages. But we are seeing that we are going back to the main conditions, which means we are still talking about the main principles [complete ceasefire and withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza] that Hamas talked about. As the time of some sort of agreement on the first stage came, the Israeli military and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu came to say actually, there is no agreement: We will go to Rafah regardless of any agreement. It reflects the divisions within the Israelis and crisis within the Israeli politics. On the other hand, Hamas has been more cautious. They do not want to show real progress made but they also do not want to say things have not changed. I think it's obvious some change has happened otherwise we would not expect [CIA chief] William Burns to be in the region.” 3 hours ago
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Russian economy

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russian economy.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“The sustainability of the Russian economy is determined by its place in the global division of labour: it stands at the very beginning of technological chains as a supplier of natural resources. Since the global economy cannot grow without increasing its consumption of natural resources, the demand for Russian raw materials is maintained. This, to a large extent, has protected the Russian economy from the impact of sanctions.”

author
Russian deputy finance minister in the 1990s
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“We will not have a closed economy, we have not had one and we will not have one. We did not have a closed economy - or rather we did in the Soviet times when we cut ourselves off, created the so-called Iron Curtain, we created it with our own hands. We will not make the same mistake again - our economy will be open. A country like Russia cannot be fenced in.”

author
President of Russia
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“The war against Ukraine is resulting in decoupling of the Russian economy from the global economy. We don't know when and how this process will stop. If Putin were to remain in power for another five years, even if he managed to strike some kind of a peace deal, the Russian economy would look like a mixture of the Soviet economy of 1985 and the North Korean economy of today. The economic legacy of Putin will be … a disaster.”

author
Russian deputy finance minister in the 1990s
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“Tajikistan will suffer from poverty and a sharp increase in unemployment. The total amount of Tajikistan's external debt exceeds $3bn. If the Russian economy drops, the crisis will break out in our country as well. We will not be able to pay off these debts. The only way that we can minimise the consequences of the crisis in Tajikistan is the adoption of the ruble system in Tajikistan by joining the Eurasian Customs Union and trading in roubles.”

author
Tajik economist
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“Over time, Putin was able to find workarounds. One of the workarounds was Putin's decision to pursue selective de-globalization. Even at its most open, Russia was closed off to foreign capital. Putin's other gamble was to forego growth of the Russian economy. By putting off investments and maintaining a tight monetary policy, Russia's balance sheet (including $630bn in foreign currency reserves) looked strong in the lead up to the Ukraine invasion, providing it with an early buffer for any upcoming economic pain.”

author
Adjunct Senior Fellow at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS)
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“Through the waves of the pandemic, we see that restrictions are having a diminishing effect on demand, and combined with supply restrictions and business closures, we consider that pandemic restrictions have more of an inflationary influence now.”

author
Head of the Central Bank of Russia
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“The [Russian] Central Bank continues to act decisively and ahead of the curve - which is fully justified in the current conditions in the global and Russian economy. An additional 50 basis point increase in December may now be considered the baseline scenario.”

author
Investment director at Loko Invest
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