IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Alon Liel
    Alon Liel “The move [Egypt joining South Africa's ICJ genocide case against Israel] is an unbelievable diplomatic blow to Israel. Egypt is the cornerstone of our standing in the Middle East. The connections that Israel has in the Middle East and North Africa today, including with Jordan, the UAE and Morocco, is all a result of what Egypt did 40 years ago. With Egypt joining South Africa now in The Hague, it's a real diplomatic punch. Israel would have to take it very seriously. This is what I have been warning about. It's coming from several directions. Israel has to … listen to the world - not only to the Israeli public opinion asking now for revenge. We have to look overall in the wider picture, in the long-term security of Israel, not only in the next few weeks in Gaza.” 19 hours ago
  • Franz-Stefan Gady
    Franz-Stefan Gady “The Russians have understood, just as a lot of analysts have, that the major disadvantage that Ukraine is currently suffering from is manpower. By thinning out the frontline, you are increasing the odds of a breakthrough.” 22 hours ago
  • Oleksandr Syrskyi
    Oleksandr Syrskyi “This week, the situation in Kharkiv Oblast deteriorated substantially. Currently, there are continuing battles along the state's border with Russia. The situation is challenging, but the Defence Forces are doing everything possible to maintain defensive lines and positions, resulting in defeat for the adversary.” 22 hours ago
  • John Kirby
    John Kirby “It is possible that Russia will make further advances in the coming weeks, but we do not anticipate any major breakthroughs, and over time, the influx of U.S. assistance will enable Ukraine to withstand these attacks over the course of 2024.” 23 hours ago
  • Volker Türk
    Volker Türk “I can see no way that the latest evacuation orders, much less a full assault, in an area with an extremely dense presence of civilians, can be reconciled with the binding requirements of international humanitarian law and with the two sets of binding provisional measures ordered by the International Court of Justice.” 23 hours ago
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Russia war in Ukraine - The situation in the city of Avdiivka

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russia war in Ukraine - The situation in the city of Avdiivka.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“Around 700 people stayed in Avdiivka. The situation is not easy; regular checks are ongoing. The excitement of the majority of those who remained and waited for the Russians has long faded. Even those who didn't care admit now that it was far better under Ukraine's control. Because there is no evidence of democracy or that it was 'liberators' that came to them.”

author
Head of the Avdiivka City Military Administration
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“In general, the enemy achieved certain tactical successes in these areas [villages of Berdychi and Semenivka, north of Avdiivka, and Novomykhailivka, near the town of Maryinka], but could not gain operational advantages.”

author
Ukraine’s commander of ground forces
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“Ukraine can't exploit the high levels of attrition that Russian units suffer. Russian forces lost at least three mechanized divisions of manpower and equipment in the campaign for Avdiivka, and Ukraine was unable to counterattack around Avdiivka and exploit the conditions of Russian exhaustion. Ukraine has no choice but to dig in and try to anticipate to the best of its ability where, when, and at what intensity Russian forces will attack next.”

author
Russia Deputy Team Lead and Analyst at the Institute for the Study of War in Washington
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“Russian forces seem to be attempting to push forward using small infantry assault groups, but are being decimated in the relatively open terrain west of Avdiivka.”

author
Analyst from the Black Bird Group, which analyzes satellite imagery and social media content from the battlefield
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“The capture of Avdiivka has not led to the collapse of Ukrainian lines, the possibility for the Russians to move onto open ground or even to make major gains. There's no decisive action or breakthrough.”

author
Deputy director of the Institute for Strategic and Defense Studies, a French research center
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“Outside of Avdiivka there are new positions being prepared, but they do not yet constitute a particularly formidable defensive line and are not comparable in scale to Russia's fortifications in the south.”

author
Analyst from the Black Bird Group, which analyzes satellite imagery and social media content from the battlefield
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“Our forces withdrew from the small villages of Syeverne and Stepove.... Heavy battles for Syeverne went on yesterday in the evening and night. Russia had taken significant losses in the fight. Ukrainian forces have consolidated new defensive positions west of Avdiivka.”

author
Ukrainian military spokesman
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“In 2022, the [US] administration [of Joe Biden] submitted funding requests in the spring, almost immediately after the invasion. But in 2023, it waited until mid-fall to announce what it plans to submit. Avdiivka demonstrates the cost of these political delays: human lives, lost territory, and encouraged Russia. If that's the plan 'to be with Ukraine as long as it takes', then the US delays in aid have just prolonged the war.”

author
Kyiv School of Economics director
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“The era of peace in Europe is over. And every time Ukrainian soldiers withdraw from a Ukrainian town because of the lack of ammunition, think of it not only in terms of democracy and defending the world-based order, but also in terms of Russian soldiers getting a few kilometres closer to your towns.”

author
Foreign Minister of Ukraine
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“Measures are being taken to completely clear the town of militants and to block Ukrainian units that have left the town and are entrenched at the Avdiivka Coke and Chemical Plant.”

author
Russian Defense Ministry Spokesman
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“Avdiivka is a very important strong point in the Ukrainian system of defense, because it protects Pokrovsk, about 30 miles to the northwest, a logistical hub for the Ukrainian Army. Taking control of Avdiivka might create an opening for Russia.”

author
Military analyst at the National Institute for Strategic Studies in Ukraine
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“In a situation where the enemy is advancing over the corpses of their own soldiers with a 10-to-one shelling advantage, under constant bombardment, this is the only right decision.”

author
Ukrainian brigadier general commander of the Avdiivka area
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“I decided to withdraw our units from the town and move to defence from more favourable lines in order to avoid encirclement and preserve the lives and health of servicemen.”

author
Commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
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“Fierce battles are taking place within the city. Our troops are using all available forces and means to restrain the enemy. New positions have been prepared and powerful fortifications continue to be prepared, taking into account all possible scenarios. Commanders have been tasked to stabilise the situation.”

author
Ukrainian General
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