IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
Check all the Authors in the last 24h
IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Simon Harris
    Simon Harris “Israel must stop firing on UN peacekeepers serving with UNIFIL in Lebanon. Israel must listen to the voice and the concerns of the international community.” 3 hours ago
  • Ramesh Poola
    Ramesh Poola “Obviously, we were looking for more details on what exactly his future plans are going to be and how he's [Elon Musk] going to monetise this new AI and robotics. He's shown the prototypes and definitely, there's some excitement around it. But widespread adoption of autonomous Cybercabs, where riders can hail rides through an Uber-style app, are still maybe three to four years away.” 4 hours ago
  • Matthew Wansley
    Matthew Wansley “Tesla software is at least years behind where Waymo is. That's the hard part. No flashy vehicle design is going to change that.” 4 hours ago
  • Ross Gerber
    Ross Gerber “His [Elon Musk] vision is lovely, but somebody has to actualise it. For now, for the next 24 months, Tesla has to sell EVs. Why aren't we focused on that?” 4 hours ago
  • Noemi Di Segni
    Noemi Di Segni “We are experiencing hours of grave tension for what happened with the attacks of the Israeli army against UNIFIL outposts, in a situation on the ground that is extremely complex and dangerous for everybody. We are fully aware of the critical nature of the ongoing situation, including on a political level, of these episodes which, we have learned, are being subjected to a careful investigation by all the appropriate.” 4 hours ago
  • Dorsa Jabbari
    Dorsa Jabbari “Hezbollah is standing firm; just this afternoon, we heard from the media relations department, which delivered a message to the internal parties in Lebanon not to bet on Hezbollah's defeat. The organisation has suffered hits, but they are not out. They haven't even used most of the military potential that they have despite the continuous Israeli bombardment. Of course, we are now seeing a huge civilian toll that is now caught in the middle of this fighting.” 9 hours ago
  • Touraj Atabaki
    Touraj Atabaki “Pezeshkian [Masud Pezeshkian] is trying to gauge to what extent Iran can rely on Russia for help. Russia wants to stand with Iran due to Iran's support in its war on Ukraine but Moscow doesn't want to darken its relationship with Israel further and cut all ties.” 10 hours ago
  • Barack Obama
    Barack Obama “We don't need four more years of arrogance and bumbling and bluster and division. America is ready to turn the page. We are ready for a better story, one that helped us work together instead of turning against each other. Pennsylvania, we're ready for President Kamala Harris. I am the hopey changey guy so I understand people feeling frustrated, feeling we can do better. What I cannot understand is why anybody would think that Donald Trump will shake things up in a way that is good for you, Pennsylvania. I don't understand that.” 10 hours ago
  • Masoud Pezeshkian
    Masoud Pezeshkian “European countries and the United States don't want relations between countries [in the Middle East] to develop peacefully. The situation in the region has escalated dramatically because Israel doesn't recognize any international legal and humanitarian standards.” 10 hours ago
  • Nicholas Eberstadt
    Nicholas Eberstadt “For the first time since the Black Death in the 1300s, the planetary population will decline. But whereas the last implosion was caused by a deadly disease borne by fleas, the coming one will be entirely due to choices made by people. With birthrates plummeting, more and more societies are heading into an era of pervasive and indefinite depopulation, one that will eventually encompass the whole planet. What lies ahead is a world made up of shrinking and aging societies.” 10 hours ago
  • Volodymyr Zelenskiy
    Volodymyr Zelenskiy “This is exactly what we need - the restoration of a just peace for Ukraine, and this is a victory for us, and this is what we are working for. Today I will present Olaf [German Chancellor Olaf Scholz] with a plan on how, in our opinion, to force Russia to peace, that is, how to end this war, I would like to say, no later than 2025. That is, this plan is not to replace our peace initiative, but to strengthen Ukraine's position for the sake of getting closer to peace.” 12 hours ago
  • Benjamin Soskis
    Benjamin Soskis “I'm not sure there is a precedent in modern history to how Musk has inserted himself into the presidential race.” 12 hours ago
  • Daniel Seidemann
    Daniel Seidemann “Since last year, the Israeli military and particularly the political echelons have become more promiscuous with how many human casualties they can tolerate. Any military operation requires proportionality. What we witnessed in Gaza and Lebanon and engagement with UNIFIL, it goes well beyond any reasonable interpretation of what proportionality is. These are unnecessary casualties. But my government is not interested in a diplomatic solution, my prime minister has a vested interest in prolonging the war.” 13 hours ago
  • Guy Shalev
    Guy Shalev “There are more than 20,000 Palestinians who await medical evacuation in Gaza who can't be treated there and can't get out. Only several hundred have been allowed to leave since May. In the occupied West Bank, the organisation is working closely with Palestinians to document settler violence and ethnic cleansing of Palestinian communities while trying to assist prisoners. Access is very restricted. For instance, the ICRC [International Committee of the Red Cross] has not had any access to any Israeli prison in the past year, which is a dire violation of prisoners' human rights and of international law. We're getting a lot of medical requests that we can't fully address because of the sheer amount and scale of violations. We're now trying to address the needs of people who weigh just 40kg and are in very bad health conditions after long months of not getting proper medical care and nutrition.” 13 hours ago
  • Mohammed Afif
    Mohammed Afif “Some media outlets, including global international outlets, cannot dare address the Israelis and tell them openly you are killing unarmed, defenceless innocent civilians. The Israeli army continues to bombard residential areas and kill civilians, under the false pretext that these are weapons depots. The Israelis are even targeting Dahiyeh with bombs saying there are weapons there. Above all, they impede and deny the civil defence and paramedics access to the areas.” 13 hours ago
  • Elon Musk
    Elon Musk “With autonomy, you get your time back. It'll save lives, a lot of lives, and prevent injuries. With that amount of training data it's obviously going to be much better than a human can be because you can't live a million lives. It doesn't get tired, and it doesn't text. It'll be 10, 20, 30 times safer than a human.” 13 hours ago
  • Trissia Wijaya
    Trissia Wijaya “I don't think the planned tariffs would have a major effect on Indonesia-China economic cooperation overall. This can be traced back to the real mainstay of our [Indonesian] relationship over the past few years, which is critical mineral trade volume, in which China absorbed more than 80 percent of our nickel output. The nickel supply is pivotal for China's strategic interests. As long as the mainstay is not destroyed, I don't think it would infuriate Beijing either as it is applicable to textiles, ceramics, and electronics.” 23 hours ago
  • Lin Jian
    Lin Jian “China will closely follow possible safeguard tariffs Indonesia may impose on specific products, and take necessary measures to safeguard the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese companies.” 23 hours ago
  • Siwage Dharma Negara
    Siwage Dharma Negara “Just reducing imports may not be an ideal goal. We need imports for raw materials and local industrial materials and, if tariffs are imposed, these industries will be affected. The government should place emphasis on supporting the growth of local businesses in addition to curbing imported goods. Businesses need to be helped to be more efficient and grow stronger, and for this the government needs to provide clear targets.” 23 hours ago
  • Ian Wilson
    Ian Wilson “Jakarta has pursued a model of new developmentalism that aims to foster rapid economic growth while shielding local businesses from competition. Southeast Asian style developmentalism is a well-known model beginning in the 1970s with a high degree of government intervention in the economy overseeing a transition of labour, output, and exports away from low productivity agriculture towards higher productivity manufacturing sector and industrialisation. The immediate question, however, is what is the calculation in imposing tariffs of this kind?” 23 hours ago
View All IPSEs inserted in the Last 24h

Russia war in Ukraine - Russia's strategy

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russia war in Ukraine - Russia's strategy.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“The repeated attacks [on commercial vessels carrying Ukrainian grain in the Black Sea] suggest the implicit bargain behind a period of relative calm in the Black Sea - which enabled Ukraine to operate its corridor without Russia's approval - may be coming to an end. Russia wasn't targeting grain ships and Ukraine was largely staying away from Russian Navy ships in the eastern Black Sea. Ukraine may now respond by resuming drone attacks on Russian assets. The reasoning behind Moscow's targeting of grain-exporting ships was not yet clear. Russia may be emboldened by its recent gains in Donbas, or it may be seeking retaliation for Ukraine's surprise attack across the border in the region of Kursk. It may also simply be looking for new ways to weaken Ukraine. If you can weaken Ukraine economically, that reduces its ability to resist. Rather than targeting ports, the intimidation of commercial shippers is a much better way to do that.”

author
Senior research scientist at CNA, a US-based security-focused think tank
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“They [Russians] have a firm position not to withdraw troops from these offensive operations. This is a strategic direction for them, and we now see that even though they realize they have no reserves to recapture Kursk, they are still focusing on the territory of Donetsk.”

author
Secretary of the defense and intelligence committee in Ukraine’s Parliament
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“Civilians are dying there [on border regions such as Belgorod]. It's obvious. They are shooting directly at the city center, at residential areas. And I said publicly that if this continues, we will be forced to create a security zone, a buffer zone. That is what we are doing.”

author
President of Russia
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“We have said many times that whoever is quicker to master the newest means of armed combat wins. We have to be one step ahead. We have everything we need for this, and much has been done, but we need to double and triple our efforts in this area.”

author
President of Russia
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“This is an unexpected, but, unfortunately for Ukraine, a very effective move. Unlike many top Russian officials, Belousov has not been involved in corruption scandals and has a reputation as a workaholic technocrat and a devout Orthodox Christian. Putin wants him to clean the Augean stables of the defence ministry so that military spending spearheads the resurgence of Russia's economy. The effectiveness of Russia's military-industrial complex will be boosted, and instead of being a 'black hole' of budget spendings, the defence ministry may become a driver of economic growth, when war spendings stimulate the growth of Russia's GDP.”

author
Kyiv-based analyst
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“Shoigu's replacement with a (relatively experienced and apparently competent) economist [Andrei Belousov] pretty clearly signals Putin believes victory in Ukraine will come via outproducing (and outlasting) Ukraine and her Western allies. He's preparing for many more years of war.”

author
Kyiv-based foreign policy analyst
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“With an economist taking over the Defence Ministry, and the old minister taking up a policy and advisory role, the technocrats are in the ascendant. The goal though is not peace, but a more efficient war. As Putin digs in for the long term, with the 'special military operation' now being the central organising principle of his regime, he knows he needs technocrats to keep his war machine going.”

author
Senior associate fellow at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)
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“This indicates that the Kremlin is not seeking an exit from Ukraine, but once to extend their ability to endure the conflict as long as possible. Russia is very limited [on] how much they can increase scale, due to economic deficiencies. However, they can maintain a certain level of attritional warfare. And are likely hoping to do that longer than Ukraine can.”

author
Doctoral candidate and guest teacher at the London School of Economics's international history department
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“The Russians have understood, just as a lot of analysts have, that the major disadvantage that Ukraine is currently suffering from is manpower. By thinning out the frontline, you are increasing the odds of a breakthrough.”

author
Vienna-based military analyst
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“To maintain the required pace of the offensive … it is necessary to increase the volume and quality of weapons and military equipment supplied to the troops, primarily weapons.”

author
Russian Defence Minister
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“In proportion to the threats posed by the United States and its allies, we will continue to improve the composition and structure of the armed forces and increase the production of the most popular weapons and military equipment. We will increase the intensity of attacks on logistics centres and storage bases for Western weapons.”

author
Russian Defence Minister
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“According to our assessment, we are anticipating a rather difficult situation shortly. However, it is not catastrophic, and this must be understood. Armageddon will not happen, despite what many are starting to claim. But we anticipate problems from mid-May. The Russians will adopt a multifaceted approach. They are orchestrating a complex operation... It will be a difficult period. [Expect this to unfold] around mid-May to early June.”

author
Head of Ukraine's military intelligence service
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“Since the fall of Avdiivka in Ukraine's east on February 17 [2024], its forces have oozed forward, swallowing several villages, as Ukrainian forces have performed tactical retreats. Here we are in April [2024], and [the Russians] are oozing out. Why is that? I think it's because that's the best the Russians can do. They do not have the capability to knock Ukraine out of the war. Russia lacked the ability to equip large armoured formations that could move rapidly, with supporting artillery, engineers and logistics. I don't think it exists. That's why I feel fairly confident that the mission for [Ukrainian] general Oleksandr Syrskyi for the next several months is to stabilise this as much as he can to buy time for Ukraine to grow the size of the army, to rebuild the defence industry of Ukraine, as well as give us time to find more ammunition for them. I think of 2024 as a year of industrial competition. So the army has got to buy time.”

author
Retired U.S. General and former Commander of NATO forces in Europe
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“The Russians both seemed to draw as much Ukrainian air defence as possible to Kyiv, then spread the rest out around the country with a series of attacks. And then, when they had basically reduced Kharkiv's air defence to as small as possible, they launched a mass attack against Kharkiv's power.”

author
Professor of Strategic Studies at St Andrews University
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“Russia is pushing ill-manned, ill-equipped local offensives anywhere it can. But ill-manned with enough bodies might be good enough.”

author
Associate professor and national security expert at the University of New Haven in Connecticut
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