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Russia war in Ukraine - Considerations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russia war in Ukraine - Considerations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“Russia is pushing ill-manned, ill-equipped local offensives anywhere it can. But ill-manned with enough bodies might be good enough.”

author
Associate professor and national security expert at the University of New Haven in Connecticut
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“They [Russian troops] are ready to pay bribes, which is happening on a massive scale, injure themselves or simply run away to avoid the frontline, as the chances of survival there and the number of losses…remain sky-high for Russians.”

author
Ukrainian Defense Intelligence representative
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“It is absolutely essential to get Ukrainians what they continue to need to defend themselves, particularly when it comes to munitions and air defences. It's another reason why the supplementary budget request that President [Joe] Biden has made to [the US] Congress must be fulfilled as quickly as possible.”

author
U.S. Secretary of State
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“Since the start of the year, 403 square kilometres [156 square miles] … have come under our control. Russian armed forces continue to push Ukrainian units westwards. Russian forces had captured five settlements, four in Donetsk and one in Zaporizhia, over the last month.”

author
Russian Defence Minister
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“He [Putin] makes it more than clear that he is beyond the reach of rational arguments and the values ​​of humanity. And he definitely doesn't want to negotiate. If Putin wins in Ukraine, our security and international order will be at risk. Ukraine's support is our own guarantee of security.”

author
Foreign Minister of Germany
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“All war crimes [committed] by the Kyiv regime are thoroughly documented. We were well aware of these crimes. And, of course, we will make sure that those behind these crimes are duly punished.”

author
Kremlin spokesman
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“We have no aggressive intentions towards these states. The idea that we will attack some other country - Poland, the Baltic States, and the Czechs are also being scared - is complete nonsense. It's just drivel. If they supply F-16s, and they are talking about this and are apparently training pilots, this will not change the situation on the battlefield. And we will destroy the aircraft just as we destroy today tanks, armoured vehicles and other equipment, including multiple rocket launchers. Of course, if they will be used from airfields in third countries, they become for us legitimate targets, wherever they might be located.”

author
President of Russia
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“Bolstering Ukraine's air defence and expediting the delivery of F-16s to Ukraine are vital tasks. There are no rational explanations for why Patriots, which are plentiful around the world, are still not covering the skies of Kharkiv and other cities.”

author
President of Ukraine
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“So will Russians blame Putin for failing to avert the tragedy? Collective psychology is notoriously unpredictable. Some may, but it is unlikely that anything would come of it. Even without this attack, it has been clear to the Russian population that the period of stability, security and economic growth that Putin has been lauded for is long over. War is literally at the door with Ukrainian forces conducting incursions into Russian territory, sending drones to strike oil refineries and destroying Russian battleships in the Black Sea.”

author
Freelance journalist based in Riga
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“We are not intimidated by Russia. And we think this is fair, that the revenues of those foreign assets will be used for Ukraine because they are victim of this aggression launched by Russia.”

author
President of the European Council
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“We are at war. Indeed, it started as a special military operation but as soon as a clique was formed and the collective West joined in on Ukraine's side, it turned into war for us. I am convinced of that. Everyone should understand this to summon up inner strength.”

author
Kremlin spokesman
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“Putin is… planning to mobilise more men, once the election is over. Among other things, he has banned the exit of fighting-age men from the country and banned the antiwar candidate, Boris Nadezhdin, from standing in the election, for fear he may generate opposition to the war effort. Putin appears to have concluded that further mobilisation is essential to press home Russia's advantage on the battlefield and that this is what he will do.”

author
Lecturer at Cambridge University's Centre for Geopolitics
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“There are two scenarios. Either the West will go in the direction of a complete conflict with Russia, or with the help of the USA and China, some kind of truce will be established, which would mean a huge relief for the world. If they enter into [a] conflict, I'm afraid nobody will gain anything from it. A potential conflict could have more casualties than the Second World War, which is unimaginable for the 21st century. We are small and insignificant in that sense, but in any case, it will affect Serbia. We have to be ready for either solution, and we will find out within 100 days.”

author
Serbian president
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“Domestically, Putin is poised to prioritise addressing Russia's demographic challenges, a longstanding focus of legislative efforts. On the foreign policy front, Russia is likely to persist in its opposition to what the Kremlin perceives as a unipolar global order dominated by the United States. On the Ukraine war front Putin is committed to continuing the war. From a military standpoint, there is little indication of a shift in the overarching strategy, although some refinements may be made regarding the roles of specific branches of the Russian armed forces, notably the Black Sea Fleet. Russian forces might adopt a gradual territorial expansion approach, particularly focusing on northern regions such as Kharkiv … and southern areas like Odesa.”

author
Postdoctoral researcher in the War Studies Department at King’s College London
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“As a result of the ill-considered provocative actions of even one or two EU or NATO member states, the Ukrainian crisis could absolutely go beyond its geographical borders, acquire a completely different scale and develop uncontrollably. Accordingly, the question today is how to avoid the risks of further escalation. They are obvious and frightening to all sensible people.”

author
Russia's foreign ministry spokeswoman
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“No one wants Vladimir Putin to prevail. I'm of the opinion that he wouldn't stop at Ukraine … and go all through the way through Europe. There is a right and wrong there, a good versus evil in my view and Ukraine is the victim here.”

author
US House of Representatives Speaker
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“We don't plan for our soldiers to take part in the war because the presence of Polish troops in Ukraine, even if it's for training purposes, would border on participation in the war.”

author
Polish Defence Ministry
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“If you can actually control the economy, then you can probably move a little bit faster than other countries out there. But the West will have more sustaining power. The West is just starting their ramp-up of building the infrastructure to add in the munitions capability that is needed.”

author
Deputy commander of US European Command
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